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Jannik Sinner vs. Tommy Paul Prediction, Odds, Picks for ATP Italian Open 2025

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Written by Nick Slade

Our expert prediction for Friday's Jannik Sinner vs Tommy Paul matchup.

Jannik Sinner vs Tommy Paul Tennis Prediction.
Our Jannik Sinner and Tommy Paul tennis prediction is based on thousands of simulations of the upcoming match.

Jannik Sinner will face Tommy Paul in the semifinals at the ATP Rome event on Friday.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven tennis model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts Jannik Sinner as the most likely winner of the match.

"Employing the latest data, we simulated Friday's Sinner-Paul match 10,000 times," said Dimers data analyst Greg Butyn.

"After computing the latest updates and thousands of other inputs, we predict Jannik Sinner's chance of winning is 77%, while Tommy Paul's is 23%."

For expanded analysis of Friday's match, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Sinner vs. Paul predictions page.

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Sinner vs. Paul Prediction: Who Will Win and Advance to the Final?

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Friday's Sinner-Paul men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives Sinner a 77% chance of winning against Paul at the ATP Italian Open tournament.

Additionally, Sinner has a 73% chance of winning the first set, according to our model.

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For more insights into the growing popularity of betting on the sport, check out our comprehensive analysis of tennis' rise in the U.S. sports betting market.

Jannik Sinner vs. Tommy Paul Odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

Bet Type Sinner Paul
Moneyline -1000 +600
First Set -625 +400

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Sinner vs. Paul Picks and Best Bets

Our model's strongest edge in today's Sinner vs. Paul match is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, matched against the current odds, reveal the best tennis picks and tennis best bets for every match throughout the year.

Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Unlock Every ATP Italian Open Pick

Sinner vs. Paul Updates and Essential Details

The ATP Italian Open match between Jannik Sinner and Tommy Paul is scheduled to commence on Friday at 2:30PM ET.

  • Who: Jannik Sinner vs. Tommy Paul
  • Date: Friday, May 16, 2025
  • Approx. Time: 2:30PM ET/11:30AM PT
  • Tournament: ATP Rome, Italy Men's Singles 2025
  • Round: Semifinals

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Friday's Sinner vs. Paul match includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Jannik Sinner vs. Tommy Paul picks, be sure to check out the latest tennis predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Key Tennis Betting Guides and Insights

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Conclusion

We predict Jannik Sinner, with a 77% win probability, will likely beat Tommy Paul at the ATP Italian Open tournament.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Sinner vs. Paul insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on Tennis

Stay informed with the latest tennis news and parlay picks throughout the year. Plus, Dimers' ATP and WTA world rankings showcase our in-house approach to accurately ranking every men's and women's player in the world.

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Written by
Nick Slade
Chief Content Officer

Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.

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