Jannik Sinner vs. Carlos Alcaraz Prediction, Odds, Picks for ATP Italian Open 2025

Jannik Sinner and Carlos Alcaraz are scheduled to meet in the final of the ATP Italian Open event on Sunday.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven tennis model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts Jannik Sinner as the most likely winner of the match.

"Using the most recent data, we ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Sinner-Alcaraz match," said Dimers data analyst Greg Butyn.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows Jannik Sinner with a win probability of 51%, while Carlos Alcaraz has 49%."

For expanded analysis of Sunday's match, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Sinner vs. Alcaraz predictions page.

Sinner vs. Alcaraz Prediction: Who Will Win the Final?

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's Sinner-Alcaraz men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives Sinner a 51% chance of defeating Alcaraz at the ATP Italian Open tournament.

Additionally, Sinner has a 51% chance of winning the first set, according to our model.

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Jannik Sinner vs. Carlos Alcaraz Odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Sinner	Alcaraz
Moneyline	-152	+120
First Set	-139	+110

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Sinner vs. Alcaraz Picks and Best Bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Sinner vs. Alcaraz match is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, matched against the current odds, reveal the best tennis picks and tennis best bets for every match throughout the year.

Unlimited access to our full suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Sinner vs. Alcaraz Updates and Essential Details

The ATP Italian Open match between Jannik Sinner and Carlos Alcaraz is scheduled to commence on Sunday at 11:00AM ET.

• Who: Jannik Sinner vs. Carlos Alcaraz
• Date: Sunday, May 18, 2025
• Approx. Time: 11:00AM ET/8:00AM PT
• Tournament: ATP Rome, Italy Men's Singles 2025
• Round: Final

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Sunday's Sinner vs. Alcaraz match includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Jannik Sinner vs. Carlos Alcaraz picks, be sure to check out the latest tennis predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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Conclusion

We predict Jannik Sinner, with a 51% win probability, will likely beat Carlos Alcaraz at the ATP Italian Open tournament.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Sinner vs. Alcaraz insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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