Jakub Mensik vs. Joao Fonseca prediction, odds, picks for ATP Swiss Indoors 2025

Jakub Mensik will face Joao Fonseca in the round of 16 at the ATP Basel event on Wednesday.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven tennis model projects Joao Fonseca as the most likely winner of the match.

"We have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's Mensik-Fonseca match 10,000 times," said Dimers data analyst Greg Butyn.

"With the latest updates and numerous other variables, we estimate Joao Fonseca's chance of winning at 54%, with Jakub Mensik at 46%."

For expanded analysis of Wednesday's match, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Mensik vs. Fonseca predictions page.

Mensik vs. Fonseca prediction: Who will win and advance to the quarterfinals?

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's Mensik-Fonseca men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives Fonseca a 54% chance of winning against Mensik at the ATP Swiss Indoors tournament.

Additionally, Fonseca has a 53% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show that the bookmakers have got it right with the +1.5 games spread, with each player projected to have a 50-50 chance of covering, while the under 25.5 games has a 63% chance** of hitting, according to our model.

Jakub Mensik vs. Joao Fonseca odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Mensik	Fonseca
Moneyline	+124	-150
First Set	+110	-139
Game Spread	-1.5 (-122)	+1.5 (-110)
Total Games	o25.5 (-110)	u25.5 (-135)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Mensik vs. Fonseca picks and best bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Mensik vs. Fonseca match is on the first set.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the latest odds, reveal the best tennis picks and tennis best bets for every tournament throughout the year.

Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Mensik vs. Fonseca updates and essential details

The ATP Swiss Indoors match between Jakub Mensik and Joao Fonseca is scheduled to commence on Wednesday at 1:10PM ET.

• Who: Jakub Mensik vs. Joao Fonseca
• Date: Wednesday, October 22, 2025
• Approx. Time: 1:10PM ET/10:10AM PT
• Tournament: ATP Basel, Switzerland Men's Singles 2025
• Round: Round of 16

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Dimers' full preview of Wednesday's Mensik vs. Fonseca match includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Jakub Mensik vs. Joao Fonseca picks, be sure to check out the latest tennis predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Key tennis betting guides and insights

• Learn how to bet on tennis and understand how tennis odds work
• Explore where sports odds come from and how they’re applied to tennis matches
• Stay informed with guides on where online sports betting is currently legal and which states could legalize next
• Improve your chances with proven sports betting strategies that apply to tennis and more

Conclusion

We predict Joao Fonseca, with a 54% win probability, will likely beat Jakub Mensik at the ATP Swiss Indoors tournament.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Mensik vs. Fonseca insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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Keep up with the latest tennis news and parlay picks throughout the year. Plus, Dimers' ATP and WTA world rankings showcase our in-house approach to accurately ranking every men's and women's player in the world.

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