Jack Draper vs. Tommy Paul Prediction, Odds, Picks for ATP Madrid Open 2025

Jack Draper and Tommy Paul are scheduled to meet in the round of 16 of the ATP Madrid Open event on Wednesday.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced tennis model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects Jack Draper as the most likely winner of the match.

"We have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's Draper-Paul match 10,000 times," said Dimers data analyst Greg Butyn.

"With the latest updates and numerous other variables, we estimate Jack Draper's chance of winning at 54%, with Tommy Paul at 46%."

For expanded analysis of Wednesday's match, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Draper vs. Paul predictions page.

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Draper vs. Paul Prediction: Who Will Win and Advance to the Quarterfinals?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's Draper-Paul men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives Draper a 54% chance of winning against Paul at the ATP Madrid Open tournament.

Additionally, Draper has a 53% chance of winning the first set, according to our model.

Pre-Match Probabilities

Last Updated: 10:03PM, Apr 30

Moneyline

1st Set

JackDraper

Win %

55%

45%

-189

+150

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See Matchup

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TommyPaul

JackDraper

-189

Win %

55%

45%

See Matchup

TommyPaul

+150

Get the best bets with Dimers Pro

Get Dimers Pro

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Jack Draper vs. Tommy Paul Odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Draper vs. Paul Picks and Best Bets

Our model's strongest edge in the Draper vs. Paul match is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the latest odds, reveal the best tennis picks and tennis best bets for every match throughout the year.

Unlimited access to our full set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

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Draper vs. Paul Updates and Essential Details

The ATP Madrid Open match between Jack Draper and Tommy Paul is scheduled to start on Wednesday at 10:00AM ET.

• Who: Jack Draper vs. Tommy Paul
• Date: Wednesday, April 30, 2025
• Approx. Time: 10:00AM ET/7:00AM PT
• Tournament: ATP Madrid, Spain Men's Singles 2025
• Round: Round of 16

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Wednesday's Draper vs. Paul match includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Jack Draper vs. Tommy Paul picks, be sure to check out the latest tennis predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Key Tennis Betting Guides and Insights

• Learn how to bet on tennis and understand how tennis odds work
• Explore where sports odds come from and how they’re applied to tennis matches
• Stay informed with guides on where online sports betting is currently legal and which states could legalize next
• Improve your chances with proven sports betting strategies that apply to tennis and more

Conclusion

We predict Jack Draper, with a 54% win probability, will likely beat Tommy Paul at the ATP Madrid Open tournament.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Draper vs. Paul insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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