Jun 13, 2026
WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Saturday, June 13, 2026
Read Article Fever vs. Sun prediction: Caitlin Clark projected to score 19 points in Saturday's WNBA matchup [6/13/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Indiana Fever vs Connecticut Sun predictions for WNBA Saturday.
The Connecticut Sun and Indiana Fever will lock horns in the WNBA at Mohegan Sun Arena on Saturday, with tipoff at 6:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced WNBA model projects the Fever as the most likely winner of the Fever vs. Sun game.
The Sun, powered by Leila Lacan, Brittney Griner and Saniya Rivers, are set to take on the Fever, who feature Kelsey Mitchell, Caitlin Clark and Aliyah Boston.
Clark, the Fever's No. 1 pick in the 2024 WNBA draft, is expected to shine with a projected 19 points and 3 threes.
This article offers further insights into Saturday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Fever vs. Sun prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's WNBA matchup between the Fever and Sun, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Fever a 75.9% chance of beating the Sun.
According to our model, the Sun (+8.5) have a 55.1% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 170.5 points has a 61.1% chance of staying under,.
Fever vs. Sun odds
We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Fever | Sun |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -8.5 (-118) | +8.5 (-102) |
| Moneyline | -410 | +320 |
| Total | o170.5 (-104) | u170.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Fever vs. Sun picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Sun +8.5 | -102 |
| Moneyline | Sun | +320 |
| Total | Under 170.5 | -110 |
According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 170.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Fever vs. Sun player props
WNBA player props are a great way to wager on Saturday's Fever vs. Sun matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Mohegan Sun Arena.
Kelsey Mitchell is expected to lead the Fever with 22 points, 2 rebounds and 3 assists, while Leila Lacan is projected to have 11 points, 2 rebounds and 4 assists for the Sun.
Looking at the opening tip, the numbers point to Aliyah Boston striking first with a 13.2% probability.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.
Fever prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Fever are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Mitchell | 22 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 34 |
| Caitlin Clark | 19 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 47 |
| Aliyah Boston | 17 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 40 |
| S. Cunningham | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 |
| M. Hines-Allen | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 19 |
Sun prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Sun:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leila Lacan | 11 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 26 |
| Brittney Griner | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 21 |
| Saniya Rivers | 10 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 24 |
| Aneesah Morrow | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 22 |
| Aaliyah Edwards | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 18 |
Fever vs. Sun game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's matchup between the Sun and Fever at Mohegan Sun Arena is scheduled to start at 6:00 PM ET.
- Who: Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun
- Date: Saturday, June 13, 2026
- Time: 6:00 PM ET/3:00PM PT
- Venue: Mohegan Sun Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Fever, with a 75.9% win probability, will likely beat the Sun in Saturday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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