Jun 13, 2026
Best WNBA bets today: Saturday's picks include Sparks vs. Mercury play [6/13/2026]
Read Article WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Saturday, June 13, 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get first basket predictions today driven by expert analysis of WNBA slate on 6/13.
Our WNBA first basket picks and predictions for today—Saturday, June 13, 2026—are live with the Aces' A'ja Wilson projected as the most likely player to score first.
These projections are based on key first basket stats, including player efficiency, shot frequency, and expected starting lineups, forming part of our daily WNBA player projections.
Wilson, Kelsey Plum and Natasha Howard lead Saturday’s most likely first basket scorers, while we also highlight tonight's top first basket value picks by comparing real-time odds to model-generated probabilities.
WNBA first basket predictions tonight (June 13, 2026)
| Player (Team) | FB Probability |
|---|---|
| A'ja Wilson (Aces) | 16.2% |
| Kelsey Plum (Sparks) | 13.9% |
| Natasha Howard (Lynx) | 13.7% |
| Kelsey Mitchell (Fever) | 13.5% |
| Aliyah Boston (Fever) | 13.1% |
| Kahleah Copper (Mercury) | 13.0% |
| Brittney Griner (Sun) | 13.0% |
| Courtney Williams (Lynx) | 12.8% |
| Megan Gustafson (Fire) | 12.6% |
| Alyssa Thomas (Mercury) | 12.5% |
| Caitlin Clark (Fever) | 11.7% |
| Paige Bueckers (Wings) | 11.7% |
| Aaliyah Edwards (Sun) | 11.2% |
| NaLyssa Smith (Aces) | 11.1% |
| Nneka Ogwumike (Sparks) | 10.9% |
| Leila Lacan (Sun) | 10.9% |
| Carla Leite (Fire) | 10.6% |
| Maddy Siegrist (Wings) | 10.5% |
| Dearica Hamby (Sparks) | 10.4% |
| Jackie Young (Aces) | 10.4% |
| Olivia Miles (Lynx) | 10.1% |
| Sarah Ashlee Barker (Fire) | 10.0% |
| Jessica Shepard (Wings) | 10.0% |
| Monique Akoa-Makani (Mercury) | 9.7% |
| Azzi Fudd (Wings) | 9.7% |
| Emily Engstler (Fire) | 8.7% |
| Arike Ogunbowale (Wings) | 8.0% |
| Bridget Carleton (Fire) | 8.0% |
| Saniya Rivers (Sun) | 8.0% |
| Rae Burrell (Sparks) | 7.6% |
| DeWanna Bonner (Mercury) | 7.4% |
| Noemie Brochant (Mercury) | 7.4% |
| Chelsea Gray (Aces) | 7.2% |
| Ariel Atkins (Sparks) | 7.2% |
| Kennedy Burke (Sun) | 6.9% |
| Kayla McBride (Lynx) | 6.9% |
| Nia Coffey (Lynx) | 6.4% |
| Lexie Hull (Fever) | 5.9% |
| Monique Billings (Fever) | 5.8% |
| Jewell Loyd (Aces) | 5.2% |
WNBA first basket picks today (June 13, 2026)
| Player | Team | Edge | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Gustafson | Fire | 4.9% | +1200 | 12.6% |
| Courtney Williams | Lynx | 3.7% | +1000 | 12.8% |
| Caitlin Clark | Fever | 2.2% | +950 | 11.7% |
| Kelsey Mitchell | Fever | 1.7% | +750 | 13.5% |
| Maddy Siegrist | Wings | 1.4% | +1000 | 10.5% |
| Chelsea Gray | Aces | 1.3% | +1600 | 7.2% |
| Kelsey Plum | Sparks | 0.6% | +650 | 13.9% |
| NaLyssa Smith | Aces | 0.5% | +850 | 11.1% |
| Ariel Atkins | Sparks | 0.5% | +1400 | 7.2% |
| Lexie Hull | Fever | 0.3% | +1700 | 5.9% |
| Arike Ogunbowale | Wings | 0.3% | +1200 | 8.0% |
| Aaliyah Edwards | Sun | 0.1% | +800 | 11.2% |
Edges represent the difference between model probability and implied odds.
For more insights on prop markets and value plays across the league, explore our full list of NBA prop bets for 6/13.
Conclusion: Betting on today's NBA first basket
For Saturday, June 13, 2026, A'ja Wilson, Kelsey Plum and Natasha Howard lead our first basket projections, while Megan Gustafson shapes as the strongest value play at +1200. All picks and predictions are derived from Dimers’ WNBA first basket model.
For tips and resources on responsible wagering, visit our Responsible Gambling section.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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