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Read Article Gold Coast Suns vs. Hawthorn Hawks Prediction: Suns Predicted to Win Thursday's AFL Round 10 Matchup [5/15/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Our expert prediction for Thursday's Gold Coast Suns vs Hawthorn Hawks matchup.
The Gold Coast Suns and Hawthorn Hawks will meet in the Australian Football League (AFL) at Metricon Stadium on Thursday, starting at 5:30AM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced AFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Suns as the most likely winner of the game.
"Using the latest data, our experts simulated Thursday's Hawthorn-Gold Coast game 10,000 times," said Ryan Leaver from Dimers.
"Taking into account recent updates and various additional inputs, we forecast the Suns with a win probability of 66% and the Hawks with 34%."
For a closer look at Thursday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Hawks vs. Suns predictions page.
Get 20% off Dimers Pro With Code 20AFL Get Dimers Pro Suns vs. Hawks Prediction: Who Will Win Round 10 Game?
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's AFL matchup between the Hawks and Suns 10,000 times as part of our AFL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Suns a 66% chance of beating the Hawks.
According to our model, the Hawks (+12.5) have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 185.5 has a 55% chance of staying under.
Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 8:58AM, May 15
Moneyline
Spread
Over / Under
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Hawthorn vs. Gold Coast Odds
We have researched the best AFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Hawks | Suns |
|---|---|---|
| H2H (Moneyline) | +125 | -154 |
| Line (Spread) | +12.5 (-115) | -12.5 (-115) |
| Total | o185.5 (-115) | u185.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
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Suns vs. Hawks Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
Thursday's Australian rules football action between the Suns and Hawks at Metricon Stadium is scheduled to begin at 5:30AM ET.
- Who: Hawthorn Hawks vs. Gold Coast Suns
- Date: Thursday, May 15, 2025
- Time: 5:30AM ET/2:30AM PT
- Venue: Metricon Stadium
The AFL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with fans highlighting the high-octane 360-degree nature of the sport as a top reason to follow it.
Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Thursday's Hawks vs. Suns matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Hawthorn vs. Gold Coast picks, be sure to check out the latest AFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Conclusion
We predict the Suns, with a 66% win probability, will likely beat the Hawks on Thursday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Hawks vs. Suns insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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