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Grigor Dimitrov vs. Gabriel Diallo Prediction, Odds, Picks for ATP Madrid Open 2025

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Written by Ryan Leaver

Our expert prediction for Wednesday's Grigor Dimitrov vs Gabriel Diallo matchup.

Grigor Dimitrov vs Gabriel Diallo Tennis Prediction.
Our Grigor Dimitrov and Gabriel Diallo tennis prediction is based on thousands of simulations of the upcoming match.

Grigor Dimitrov will take on Gabriel Diallo in the round of 16 at the ATP Madrid event on Wednesday.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced tennis model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects Grigor Dimitrov as the most likely winner of the match.

"We have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's Dimitrov-Diallo match 10,000 times," said Dimers data analyst Greg Butyn.

"With the latest updates and numerous other variables, we estimate Grigor Dimitrov's chance of winning at 71%, with Gabriel Diallo at 29%."

For further insights into Wednesday's match, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Dimitrov vs. Diallo predictions page.

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Dimitrov vs. Diallo Prediction: Who Will Win and Advance to the Quarterfinals?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's Dimitrov-Diallo men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives Dimitrov a 71% chance of beating Diallo at the ATP Madrid Open tournament.

Additionally, Dimitrov has a 67% chance of winning the first set, according to our model.

Pre-Match Probabilities
Last Updated: 11:03PM, Apr 30
Moneyline
1st Set
GrigorDimitrov
Win %
71%
29%
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro
See Matchup
GabrielDiallo
GrigorDimitrov
Win %
71%
29%
See Matchup
GabrielDiallo
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro

For more insights into the growing popularity of betting on the sport, check out our comprehensive analysis of tennis' rise in the U.S. sports betting market.

Grigor Dimitrov vs. Gabriel Diallo Odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

Bet Type Dimitrov Diallo
Moneyline -278 +220
First Set -227 +175

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Dimitrov vs. Diallo Picks and Best Bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Dimitrov vs. Diallo match is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the best odds, reveal the best tennis picks and tennis best bets for every tournament throughout the year.

Unlimited access to our complete set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

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Dimitrov vs. Diallo Updates and Essential Details

The ATP Madrid Open match between Grigor Dimitrov and Gabriel Diallo is scheduled to begin on Wednesday at 1:30PM ET.

  • Who: Grigor Dimitrov vs. Gabriel Diallo
  • Date: Wednesday, April 30, 2025
  • Approx. Time: 1:30PM ET/10:30AM PT
  • Tournament: ATP Madrid, Spain Men's Singles 2025
  • Round: Round of 16

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Wednesday's Dimitrov vs. Diallo match includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Grigor Dimitrov vs. Gabriel Diallo picks, be sure to check out the latest tennis predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Key Tennis Betting Guides and Insights

Conclusion

We predict Grigor Dimitrov, with a 71% win probability, will likely beat Gabriel Diallo at the ATP Madrid Open tournament.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Dimitrov vs. Diallo insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on Tennis

Keep up with the latest tennis betting news and parlay picks throughout the year. Plus, Dimers' ATP and WTA world rankings showcase our in-house approach to accurately ranking every men's and women's player in the world.

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Written by
Ryan Leaver
Senior Sports and Betting Editor

Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.

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