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Warriors vs. Pelicans prediction: Golden State to win, Stephen Curry projected for big game in Sunday's NBA matchup [11/16/2025]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Get Golden State Warriors vs New Orleans Pelicans predictions for NBA Sunday.

Golden State Warriors-New Orleans Pelicans Predictions and Game Preview.
Golden State Warriors vs. New Orleans Pelicans NBA prediction for Sunday, November 16, 2025.

NBA action continues on Sunday at 7:00PM ET as the Golden State Warriors take on the New Orleans Pelicans at Smoothie King Center.

Based on the latest simulation results and today’s injury reports, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Warriors as the most likely winner of the Warriors vs. Pelicans game.

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Pelicans lineup will feature stars like Zion Williamson, Trey Murphy and Jeremiah Fears, while the Warriors will rely on Stephen Curry, Jimmy Butler and Moses Moody.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.

Warriors vs. Pelicans prediction: Who will win and cover?

As part of Dimers' NBA predictions coverage—and following a review of recent results—our pregame model has generated moneyline, spread, and over/under probabilities for Sunday's clash between the Warriors and Pelicans.

According to our model, the Pelicans (+10.5) have a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 226.5 points has a 51% chance of going over.

 

Warriors vs. Pelicans odds

We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Warriors Pelicans
Spread -10.5 (-112) +10.5 (-105)
Moneyline -500 +410
Total o226.5 (-110) u226.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Warriors vs. Pelicans picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Spread Pelicans +10.5 -105
Moneyline Pelicans +410
Total Over 226.5 -110

According to our best NBA bets for Sunday, the top play to make on this game is Pelicans +10.5 at the spread.

 

Warriors vs. Pelicans player props

NBA prop bets are an exciting way to wager on Sunday's Warriors vs. Pelicans matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Smoothie King Center.

Stephen Curry is expected to lead the Warriors with 29 points, 4 rebounds and 5 assists, while Zion Williamson is projected to have 22 points, 5 rebounds and 4 assists for the Pelicans.

Stephen Curry 2025.
Stephen Curry is projected to score 29 points tonight.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every game this season.

Warriors prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Warriors are:

Player PTS REB AST 3PM DFS
Stephen Curry 29 4 5 5 49
Jimmy Butler 21 6 6 1 42
Moses Moody 13 3 2 2 25
B. Podziemski 13 5 4 2 29
Will Richard 11 3 2 2 22

Pelicans prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Pelicans:

Player PTS REB AST 3PM DFS
Zion Williamson 22 5 4 0 41
Trey Murphy 20 5 3 3 37
Jeremiah Fears 15 3 3 1 29
Saddiq Bey 13 5 2 2 25
Derik Queen 13 7 3 0 30

Warriors vs. Pelicans game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's action between the Pelicans and Warriors at Smoothie King Center is scheduled to commence at 7:00PM ET.

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To make the most of Sunday's enormous day of sports, headlined by NFL Sunday action, check out details on the latest Bet365 bonus code "DIMERS" that unlocks $200 in bonus bets from a $5 bet — win or lose. Don't miss out!

Conclusion

We predict the Warriors, with an 80% win probability, will likely beat the Pelicans on Sunday, with Stephen Curry projected for a game-high 49 fantasy points.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Warriors vs. Pelicans insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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