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Warriors vs. Pelicans Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Warriors vs. Pelicans NBA game on November 16, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
124
106
Nov 17, 12AM Smoothie King Center
Nov 17, 12AM Smoothie King Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Warriors | 44 | 17 | 24 | 39 | 124 |
Pelicans | 28 | 21 | 22 | 35 | 106 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
>99%
<1%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Warriors | 44 | 17 | 24 | 39 | 124 |
Pelicans | 28 | 21 | 22 | 35 | 106 |
Q4 00:03 Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:11 Pelicans makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:28 Warriors makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:31 Gui Santos misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:48 Pelicans makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:51 Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:58 Warriors makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:07 Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:25 Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:34 Warriors makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Will Richard offensive rebound
End of 4th Quarter.
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
124-106
Yves Missi offensive rebound
Warriors personal foul
+1
Jeremiah Fears makes regular free throw 1 of 2
124-106
Jeremiah Fears misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Trayce Jackson-Davis offensive rebound
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
124-106
Gui Santos misses three point jump shot
Jeremiah Fears offensive rebound
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
124-106
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
124-106
Will Richard defensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Warriors turnover
Warriors defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
124-106
Derik Queen defensive rebound
Warriors personal foul
+1
Derik Queen makes regular free throw 1 of 2
124-106
+1
Derik Queen makes regular free throw 2 of 2
124-106
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
117-99
Warriors turnover
Warriors personal foul
+1
Bryce McGowens makes regular free throw 1 of 2
117-99
+1
Bryce McGowens makes regular free throw 2 of 2
117-99
Micah Peavy defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
117-99
Warriors personal foul
+1
Jeremiah Fears makes regular free throw 1 of 1
117-99
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
117-99
Buddy Hield defensive rebound
Jeremiah Fears misses two point driving layup
Warriors turnover
Pelicans lineup change (Derik Queen, Bryce McGowens, Yves Missi, Micah Peavy, Jeremiah Fears)
Warriors lineup change (Will Richard, Gui Santos, Pat Spencer, Buddy Hield, Trayce Jackson-Davis)
+2
Jose Alvarado makes two point jump shot
117-99
+3
Pat Spencer makes three point jump shot
114-90
+2
Bryce McGowens makes two point jump shot (Micah Peavy assists)
117-99
+3
Buddy Hield makes three point jump shot (Al Horford assists)
117-99
Gui Santos personal foul
+1
Derik Queen makes regular free throw 1 of 2
117-99
Pelicans lineup change (Derik Queen, Bryce McGowens, Micah Peavy, Saddiq Bey, Jose Alvarado)
+1
Derik Queen makes regular free throw 2 of 2
124-106
Derik Queen defensive rebound
Buddy Hield misses three point jump shot
Jeremiah Fears misses two point jump shot
Warriors defensive rebound
Instant replay (Challenge)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Instant replay (Challenge)
Warriors lineup change (Will Richard, Gui Santos, Pat Spencer, Buddy Hield, Al Horford)
Pelicans lineup change (Trey Murphy III, Derik Queen, Herbert Jones, Saddiq Bey, Jose Alvarado)
Warriors 60 second timeout
Jeremiah Fears turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
Jeremiah Fears defensive rebound
Derik Queen blocks Buddy Hield's two point driving layup
+2
Derik Queen makes two point driving dunk (Herbert Jones assists)
102-82
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
102-82
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
117-99
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
117-99
Warriors offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Al Horford misses three point jump shot
Pelicans turnover
Pelicans 60 second timeout
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
102-82
Pelicans lineup change (Trey Murphy III, Derik Queen, Herbert Jones, Jeremiah Fears, Saddiq Bey)
Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Buddy Hield, Al Horford, Gary Payton II)
Quinten Post defensive rebound
Bryce McGowens misses two point jump shot
Bryce McGowens defensive rebound
Draymond Green misses three point jump shot
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Warriors personal foul
Bryce McGowens misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Pelicans offensive rebound
Bryce McGowens misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Pelicans lineup change (Derik Queen, Bryce McGowens, Herbert Jones, Jeremiah Fears, Karlo Matkovic)
+3
Quinten Post makes three point jump shot (Brandin Podziemski assists)
102-82
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
97-82
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
117-99
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
117-99
Derik Queen shooting foul (Jimmy Butler III draws the foul)
+1
Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 1 of 2
102-82
+1
Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 2 of 2
117-99
+2
Bryce McGowens makes two point driving layup (Derik Queen assists)
102-82
Jimmy Butler III turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Pelicans lineup change (Derik Queen, Bryce McGowens, Jordan Hawkins, Jeremiah Fears, Karlo Matkovic)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Warriors defensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
+2
Jimmy Butler III makes two point pullup jump shot
102-82
Karlo Matkovic turnover (illegal assist)
Pelicans lineup change (Derik Queen, Bryce McGowens, Jordan Hawkins, Karlo Matkovic, Jose Alvarado)
Pelicans personal foul
+1
Moses Moody makes regular free throw 1 of 2
102-82
+1
Moses Moody makes regular free throw 2 of 2
102-82
+2
Jose Alvarado makes two point driving layup (Trey Murphy III assists)
88-75
Warriors personal foul
+1
Jose Alvarado makes regular free throw 1 of 1
97-82
Jimmy Butler III turnover (lost ball) (Karlo Matkovic steals)
+2
Jordan Hawkins makes two point pullup jump shot (Jose Alvarado assists)
85-71
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
92-76
Pelicans personal foul
+1
Moses Moody makes regular free throw 1 of 1
102-82
Quinten Post defensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Saddiq Bey turnover (bad pass) (Al Horford steals)
End of 3rd Quarter.
Warriors lineup change (Brandin Podziemski, Moses Moody, Jimmy Butler III, Quinten Post, Draymond Green)
Pelicans lineup change (Trey Murphy III, Bryce McGowens, Jordan Hawkins, Karlo Matkovic, Jose Alvarado)
Brandin Podziemski personal foul (Jose Alvarado draws the foul)
Pelicans lineup change (Trey Murphy III, Yves Missi, Jordan Hawkins, Saddiq Bey, Jose Alvarado)
Warriors lineup change (Brandin Podziemski, Moses Moody, Jimmy Butler III, Al Horford, Gary Payton II)
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
85-71
Yves Missi offensive rebound
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
85-71
Saddiq Bey misses two point jump shot
Warriors turnover
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
85-71
Pelicans turnover
Jordan Hawkins defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
+3
Pelicans makes three point jump shot
85-71
Saddiq Bey defensive rebound
Al Horford misses three point jump shot
Gary Payton II personal foul
Saddiq Bey misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Pelicans offensive rebound
Warriors lineup change (Brandin Podziemski, Moses Moody, Jimmy Butler III, Buddy Hield, Al Horford)
+1
Saddiq Bey makes regular free throw 2 of 2
85-71
Saddiq Bey offensive rebound
Yves Missi offensive rebound
Yves Missi misses two point jump shot
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Saddiq Bey defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Karlo Matkovic offensive rebound
+2
Karlo Matkovic makes two point tip layup
80-65
Yves Missi misses two point driving layup
+3
Stephen Curry makes three point jump shot (Al Horford assists)
80-65
Pelicans turnover
Pelicans personal foul
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Gary Payton II offensive rebound
Stephen Curry offensive rebound
Stephen Curry misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Warriors offensive rebound
+1
Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 2 of 2
80-65
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Herbert Jones turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Buddy Hield, Al Horford, Gary Payton II)
Pelicans lineup change (Yves Missi, Jordan Hawkins, Karlo Matkovic, Saddiq Bey, Jose Alvarado)
Yves Missi defensive rebound
Stephen Curry misses two point jump shot
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
80-65
Herbert Jones personal foul (Moses Moody draws the foul)
Moses Moody misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Warriors offensive rebound
+1
Moses Moody makes regular free throw 2 of 2
80-65
Pelicans lineup change (Herbert Jones, Yves Missi, Jordan Hawkins, Karlo Matkovic, Jose Alvarado)
Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Moses Moody, Al Horford, Gary Payton II)
Jose Alvarado turnover (lost ball) (Moses Moody steals)
Jose Alvarado defensive rebound
Brandin Podziemski misses three point jump shot
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
75-61
Trey Murphy III offensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Karlo Matkovic defensive rebound
Stephen Curry misses three point jump shot
Jump ball. (Brandin Podziemski gains possession)
Herbert Jones personal foul (Stephen Curry draws the foul)
Pelicans defensive rebound
Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Moses Moody, Al Horford, Gary Payton II)
Pelicans lineup change (Trey Murphy III, Herbert Jones, Yves Missi, Karlo Matkovic, Jose Alvarado)
Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Moses Moody, Al Horford, Gary Payton II)
Pelicans lineup change (Trey Murphy III, Herbert Jones, Yves Missi, Karlo Matkovic, Jose Alvarado)
Pelicans lineup change (Trey Murphy III, Herbert Jones, Yves Missi, Karlo Matkovic, Jose Alvarado)
Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Moses Moody, Al Horford, Gary Payton II)
Will Richard misses three point jump shot
+3
Pelicans makes three point jump shot
75-59
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
75-56
Pelicans turnover
Warriors turnover
+3
Pelicans makes three point jump shot
73-56
Trey Murphy III defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Jimmy Butler III defensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Herbert Jones defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Pelicans personal foul
Pelicans personal foul
Trey Murphy III turnover (offensive foul)
Warriors 60 second timeout
Pelicans lineup change (Trey Murphy III, Herbert Jones, Yves Missi, Saddiq Bey, Jose Alvarado)
Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Will Richard, Moses Moody, Jimmy Butler III, Al Horford)
Warriors turnover
Stephen Curry defensive rebound
Jeremiah Fears misses two point jump shot
Warriors turnover
Stephen Curry defensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
73-53
Will Richard offensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Will Richard offensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Warriors personal foul
Yves Missi misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Pelicans offensive rebound
Yves Missi misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
71-53
Pelicans turnover
Warriors personal foul
Draymond Green turnover (offensive foul)
Pelicans lineup change (Trey Murphy III, Herbert Jones, Yves Missi, Jeremiah Fears, Saddiq Bey)
Jimmy Butler III defensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
69-53
Pelicans turnover
Warriors turnover
Moses Moody defensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Pelicans personal foul
Derik Queen turnover (offensive foul)
Pelicans 60 second timeout
Instant replay
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
67-53
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
64-53
Saddiq Bey defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Stephen Curry defensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
64-51
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
61-51
Saddiq Bey offensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Warriors turnover
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
61-49
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Pelicans offensive rebound
End of 1st Half.
Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Will Richard, Moses Moody, Jimmy Butler III, Draymond Green)
Pelicans lineup change (Trey Murphy III, Derik Queen, Herbert Jones, Jeremiah Fears, Saddiq Bey)
Pelicans turnover
Herbert Jones defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Pelicans turnover
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
59-49
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Warriors defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
57-49
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Pelicans personal foul
+1
Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 1 of 2
54-49
+1
Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 2 of 2
55-49
Warriors personal foul
+1
Herbert Jones makes regular free throw 1 of 2
53-48
+1
Herbert Jones makes regular free throw 2 of 2
53-49
Warriors turnover
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Yves Missi offensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Trey Murphy III defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Yves Missi offensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Warriors turnover
Pelicans personal foul
Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Moses Moody, Jimmy Butler III, Draymond Green)
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
53-47
Yves Missi offensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Jeremiah Fears defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Warriors 60 second timeout
Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Jimmy Butler III, Buddy Hield, Al Horford)
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
53-45
Warriors turnover
Warriors personal foul
+1
Trey Murphy III makes regular free throw 1 of 2
53-42
+1
Trey Murphy III makes regular free throw 2 of 2
53-43
Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Will Richard, Jimmy Butler III, Buddy Hield, Al Horford)
Pelicans lineup change (Trey Murphy III, Herbert Jones, Yves Missi, Jeremiah Fears, Saddiq Bey)
Warriors turnover
Pelicans turnover
Saddiq Bey defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
53-41
Warriors personal foul
Pelicans lineup change (Trey Murphy III, Herbert Jones, Yves Missi, Jeremiah Fears, Saddiq Bey)
Pelicans lineup change (Trey Murphy III, Herbert Jones, Yves Missi, Jeremiah Fears, Saddiq Bey)
Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Will Richard, Buddy Hield, Al Horford, Gary Payton II)
Pelicans lineup change (Trey Murphy III, Herbert Jones, Yves Missi, Jeremiah Fears, Saddiq Bey)
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Pelicans defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pelicans lineup change (Trey Murphy III, Bryce McGowens, Herbert Jones, Yves Missi, Jeremiah Fears)
Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Buddy Hield, Al Horford, Gary Payton II, Draymond Green)
Al Horford offensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Gary Payton II defensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Warriors personal foul
Pelicans lineup change (Trey Murphy III, Derik Queen, Bryce McGowens, Herbert Jones, Jose Alvarado)
Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Buddy Hield, Al Horford, Gary Payton II, Draymond Green)
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
53-39
Gary Payton II defensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
50-39
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Buddy Hield, Al Horford, Gary Payton II, Draymond Green)
Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Will Richard, Buddy Hield, Al Horford, Gary Payton II)
Pelicans offensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
+3
Jeremiah Fears makes three point jump shot
47-37
Derik Queen defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Pelicans turnover
Pelicans 60 second timeout
Pelicans lineup change (Trey Murphy III, Derik Queen, Bryce McGowens, Herbert Jones, Jeremiah Fears)
Will Richard offensive rebound
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
47-37
Warriors misses two point jump shot
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
45-36
Warriors personal foul
Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Will Richard, Gary Payton II, Quinten Post, Draymond Green)
+1
Jeremiah Fears makes regular free throw 1 of 1
45-37
Derik Queen defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Jump ball. (Quinten Post gains possession)
Derik Queen turnover (lost ball)
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Pelicans defensive rebound
Pelicans lineup change (Derik Queen, Bryce McGowens, Jeremiah Fears, Karlo Matkovic, Jose Alvarado)
Quinten Post defensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Trey Murphy III defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Quinten Post offensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
45-34
Warriors 60 second timeout
Derik Queen defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Quinten Post defensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Pelicans personal foul
Quinten Post misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Warriors offensive rebound
+1
Quinten Post makes regular free throw 2 of 2
45-32
Pelicans lineup change (Trey Murphy III, Derik Queen, Jeremiah Fears, Karlo Matkovic, Jose Alvarado)
+3
Pelicans makes three point jump shot
44-32
Jordan Hawkins defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Quinten Post defensive rebound
Warriors personal foul
+1
Derik Queen makes regular free throw 1 of 2
44-29
Derik Queen misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Warriors turnover
Moses Moody offensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Derik Queen defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Quinten Post defensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Trey Murphy III defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Pelicans offensive rebound
End of 1st Quarter.
Warriors lineup change (Brandin Podziemski, Moses Moody, Jimmy Butler III, Quinten Post, Draymond Green)
Pelicans lineup change (Trey Murphy III, Derik Queen, Jordan Hawkins, Karlo Matkovic, Jose Alvarado)
Saddiq Bey defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Buddy Hield defensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
44-28
Al Horford defensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Jordan Hawkins offensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Warriors turnover
+3
Pelicans makes three point jump shot
41-28
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
41-25
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+3
Pelicans makes three point jump shot
39-25
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
39-22
Pelicans 60 second timeout
Pelicans lineup change (Yves Missi, Jordan Hawkins, Karlo Matkovic, Saddiq Bey, Jose Alvarado)
Pelicans turnover
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
37-22
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
34-22
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
34-20
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
31-20
Jordan Hawkins offensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
31-18
Warriors personal foul
+1
Jose Alvarado makes regular free throw 1 of 2
28-17
Warriors lineup change (Brandin Podziemski, Moses Moody, Jimmy Butler III, Buddy Hield, Al Horford)
Pelicans lineup change (Herbert Jones, Yves Missi, Jordan Hawkins, Karlo Matkovic, Jose Alvarado)
+1
Jose Alvarado makes regular free throw 2 of 2
28-18
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
28-16
Jump ball. (Buddy Hield gains possession)
Trey Murphy III turnover (lost ball)
Trey Murphy III defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Warriors personal foul
+1
Trey Murphy III makes regular free throw 1 of 2
26-15
+1
Trey Murphy III makes regular free throw 2 of 2
26-16
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
26-14
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
23-14
Warriors personal foul
Pelicans lineup change (Trey Murphy III, Herbert Jones, Yves Missi, Karlo Matkovic, Jose Alvarado)
Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Buddy Hield, Al Horford, Gary Payton II)
Trey Murphy III defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+3
Pelicans makes three point jump shot
23-12
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
23-9
Will Richard defensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Warriors turnover
Pelicans turnover
Pelicans personal foul
Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Will Richard, Moses Moody, Gary Payton II, Draymond Green)
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
20-9
Moses Moody defensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
17-9
Warriors personal foul
Warriors 60 second timeout
Instant replay
Trey Murphy III turnover (offensive foul)
Pelicans lineup change (Trey Murphy III, Herbert Jones, Yves Missi, Saddiq Bey, Jose Alvarado)
Trey Murphy III defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Warriors turnover
+3
Pelicans makes three point jump shot
14-9
Pelicans personal foul
Instant replay
+1
Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 1 of 3
12-6
+1
Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 2 of 3
13-6
+1
Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 3 of 3
14-6
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Warriors offensive rebound
Pelicans personal foul
Pelicans lineup change (Trey Murphy III, Derik Queen, Herbert Jones, Saddiq Bey, Jose Alvarado)
Pelicans lineup change (Bryce McGowens, Herbert Jones, Yves Missi, Karlo Matkovic, Jose Alvarado)
Pelicans lineup change (Bryce McGowens, Herbert Jones, Yves Missi, Karlo Matkovic, Jose Alvarado)
Pelicans lineup change (Trey Murphy III, Derik Queen, Herbert Jones, Saddiq Bey, Jose Alvarado)
Pelicans lineup change (Bryce McGowens, Herbert Jones, Yves Missi, Karlo Matkovic, Jose Alvarado)
Stephen Curry defensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
10-6
Pelicans personal foul
Pelicans 60 second timeout
+1
Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 1 of 1
11-6
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Warriors personal foul
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
8-6
Will Richard offensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Moses Moody defensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
5-6
Draymond Green offensive rebound
Jimmy Butler III offensive rebound
Draymond Green misses two point tip layup
Draymond Green offensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Draymond Green offensive rebound
Draymond Green offensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Warriors personal foul
+1
Trey Murphy III makes regular free throw 1 of 2
2-5
+1
Trey Murphy III makes regular free throw 2 of 2
2-6
Warriors turnover
Pelicans turnover
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
2-4
Saddiq Bey offensive rebound
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
0-4
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Derik Queen defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
0-2
Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Will Richard, Moses Moody, Jimmy Butler III, Draymond Green)
Pelicans lineup change (Trey Murphy III, Derik Queen, Herbert Jones, Jeremiah Fears, Saddiq Bey)
Draymond Green (Jeremiah Fears gains possession)
Start of 1st Quarter
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 3 | W. Richard | 9 | 7 | 1 |
| G | 61 | P. Spencer | 3 | 0 | 2 |
| G | 7 | B. Hield | 11 | 2 | 2 |
| F | 15 | G. Santos | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| F | 32 | T. Jackson-Davis | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 11 | B. McGowens | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| C | 21 | Y. Missi | 8 | 7 | 2 |
| C | 22 | D. Queen | 9 | 7 | 6 |
| G-F | 14 | M. Peavy | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| G | 0 | J. Fears | 17 | 5 | 1 |
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Warriors vs. Pelicans: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Warriors vs. Pelicans
- Date: Sunday, November 16, 2025
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Smoothie King Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Warriors favored at -10.5
- Total (Over/Under): 225.5
- Moneyline Odds: Warriors -500, Pelicans +410
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Warriors: 80%
- Pelicans: 20%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Warriors 118-108 Pelicans.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Warriors a win probability of 80%, while the Pelicans have a win probability of 20%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Warriors are more likely to beat the Pelicans in the NBA game at Smoothie King Center on Monday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Warriors vs. Pelicans predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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