Warriors vs. Heat prediction: Why Miami is favored to win Wednesday's NBA matchup [11/19/2025]

The Miami Heat will take on the Golden State Warriors in NBA action at Kaseya Center on Wednesday, starting at 7:30PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations and today’s injury reports, Dimers' proven NBA model predicts the Heat as the most likely winner of the Warriors vs. Heat game.

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Heat lineup will feature players like Norman Powell, Andrew Wiggins and Jaime Jaquez, while the Warriors will look to Moses Moody, Will Richard and Brandin Podziemski.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Wednesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.

Warriors vs. Heat prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's NBA game between the Warriors and Heat 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Heat a 78% chance of defeating the Warriors. Our predicted final score has the Heat winning 121-112.

According to our model, the Warriors (+9.5) have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the 234.5-point over/under has a 51% chance of staying under.

Warriors vs. Heat odds

We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Warriors	Heat
Spread	+9.5 (-105)	-9.5 (-115)
Moneyline	+340	-410
Total	o234.5 (-110)	u234.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Warriors vs. Heat picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Warriors +9.5	-105
Moneyline	Warriors	+340
Total	Under 234.5	-110

According to our best NBA bets for Wednesday, the top play to make on this game is Warriors +9.5 at the spread.

Warriors vs. Heat player props

Betting on Golden State vs. Miami NBA prop bets? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Kaseya Center.

Moses Moody is expected to lead the Warriors with 16 points, 4 rebounds and 3 assists, while Norman Powell is projected to have 21 points, 3 rebounds and 2 assists for the Heat.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every game this season.

Warriors prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Warriors are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Moses Moody	16	4	3	3	31
Will Richard	16	4	3	2	31
B. Podziemski	15	6	4	2	34
Buddy Hield	12	4	2	2	24
T. Jackson-Davis	10	7	2	0	26

Heat prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Heat:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Norman Powell	21	3	2	2	34
Andrew Wiggins	18	5	3	2	35
Jaime Jaquez	15	6	4	1	33
Bam Adebayo	15	7	3	1	32
Davion Mitchell	11	3	7	1	29

Warriors vs. Heat game-day updates and essential details

Wednesday's matchup between the Heat and Warriors at Kaseya Center is scheduled to start at 7:30PM ET.

• Who: Golden State Warriors vs. Miami Heat
• Date: Wednesday, November 19, 2025
• Time: 7:30PM ET/4:30PM PT
• Venue: Kaseya Center

Conclusion

We predict the Heat, with a 78% win probability, will likely beat the Warriors on Wednesday, with Andrew Wiggins projected for a game-high 35 fantasy points.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Warriors vs. Heat insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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