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Warriors vs. Heat Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Warriors vs. Heat NBA game on November 19, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
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NBA
Warriors
90
100
Nov 20, 12:30AM Kaseya Center
Heat
Nov 20, 12:30AM Kaseya Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM1234T
Warriors
20 25 45 0 90
Heat
29 20 51 0 100
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
WarriorsGSW
Win %
14%
86%
HeatMIA
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Warriors
20 25 45 0 90
Heat
29 20 51 0 100
Q4 00:14 Moses Moody makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:19 Norman Powell makes three point jump shot (Andrew Wiggins assists)
Q4 00:34 Warriors makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:40 Heat makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:47 Pat Spencer makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:54 Buddy Hield misses three point pullup jump shot
Q4 1:00 Heat makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:19 Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:29 Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:48 Warriors misses three point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Q4 00:00
End of 4th Quarter.
Q4 00:14
+2
Moses Moody makes two point jump shot
90-100
Q4 00:19
+3
Norman Powell makes three point jump shot (Andrew Wiggins assists)
90-100
Q4 00:34
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
90-100
Q4 00:40
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
90-100
Q4 00:47
+2
Pat Spencer makes two point jump shot
90-100
Q4 00:52
Pat Spencer offensive rebound
Q4 00:54
Buddy Hield misses three point pullup jump shot
Q4 1:00
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
90-100
Q4 1:18
Norman Powell defensive rebound
Q4 1:19
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:28
Pat Spencer personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)
Q4 1:28
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
90-100
Q4 1:28
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
90-100
Q4 1:28
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Q4 1:29
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:44
Brandin Podziemski offensive rebound
Q4 1:48
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:54
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Norman Powell assists)
90-100
Q4 2:18
+3
Buddy Hield makes three point jump shot (Pat Spencer assists)
90-100
Q4 2:27
Davion Mitchell misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:27
Trayce Jackson-Davis defensive rebound
Q4 2:27
Heat personal foul
Q4 2:27
Warriors lineup change (Buddy Hield, Pat Spencer, Moses Moody, Quinten Post, Brandin Podziemski)
Q4 2:32
Quinten Post turnover (bad pass) (Andrew Wiggins steals)
Q4 2:45
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot
90-100
Q4 3:02
Brandin Podziemski turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
Q4 3:04
Heat turnover
Q4 3:08
Norman Powell defensive rebound
Q4 3:12
Brandin Podziemski misses three point jump shot
Q4 3:14
Heat personal foul
Q4 3:18
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q4 3:27
+3
Bam Adebayo makes three point jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)
90-100
Q4 3:43
+2
Quinten Post makes two point jump shot (Pat Spencer assists)
87-93
Q4 3:58
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
85-93
Q4 4:16
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Andrew Wiggins, Norman Powell, Davion Mitchell, Bam Adebayo)
Q4 4:16
Heat 60 second timeout
Q4 4:18
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
85-91
Q4 4:25
Quinten Post defensive rebound
Q4 4:27
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q4 4:37
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
83-91
Q4 5:00
Brandin Podziemski personal foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)
Q4 5:00
Heat offensive rebound
Q4 5:00
Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q4 5:00
+1
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
90-100
Q4 5:10
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
83-91
Q4 5:16
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 5:17
Warriors 60 second timeout
Q4 5:17
Warriors lineup change (Pat Spencer, Moses Moody, Quinten Post, Brandin Podziemski, Trayce Jackson-Davis)
Q4 5:18
+2
Norman Powell makes two point driving bank jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)
85-91
Q4 5:31
Quinten Post turnover
Q4 5:41
Buddy Hield shooting foul (Norman Powell draws the foul)
Q4 5:41
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
90-100
Q4 5:41
Warriors lineup change (Buddy Hield, Pat Spencer, Moses Moody, Quinten Post, Brandin Podziemski)
Q4 5:41
+1
Norman Powell makes regular free throw 1 of 1
90-100
Q4 5:48
Quinten Post turnover (lost ball) (Bam Adebayo steals)
Q4 5:53
Quinten Post defensive rebound
Q4 5:56
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 6:07
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Q4 6:11
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q4 6:24
+2
Norman Powell makes two point jump shot
90-100
Q4 6:38
Pelle Larsson shooting foul (Brandin Podziemski draws the foul)
Q4 6:38
Brandin Podziemski misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q4 6:38
Warriors offensive rebound
Q4 6:38
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Pelle Larsson, Norman Powell, Dru Smith, Bam Adebayo)
Q4 6:38
Warriors lineup change (Buddy Hield, Will Richard, Moses Moody, Quinten Post, Brandin Podziemski)
Q4 6:38
+1
Brandin Podziemski makes regular free throw 2 of 2
90-100
Q4 6:41
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Q4 6:43
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q4 6:49
Buddy Hield turnover (bad pass) (Jaime Jaquez Jr. steals)
Q4 6:52
Buddy Hield turnover (Buddy Hield steals)
Q4 6:56
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Q4 7:00
Brandin Podziemski misses three point jump shot
Q4 7:21
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
77-83
Q4 7:31
Gui Santos turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Q4 7:31
Instant replay (Challenge: Stands)
Q4 7:31
Warriors lineup change (Buddy Hield, Will Richard, Moses Moody, Brandin Podziemski, Trayce Jackson-Davis)
Q4 7:31
Warriors 60 second timeout
Q4 7:31
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kel'el Ware, Pelle Larsson, Norman Powell, Dru Smith)
Q4 7:32
Gui Santos defensive rebound
Q4 7:38
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 7:48
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Q4 7:54
Brandin Podziemski misses three point jump shot
Q4 8:17
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
90-100
Q4 8:17
Warriors violation
Q4 8:17
Jaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound
Q4 8:20
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 8:28
Warriors turnover
Q4 8:30
Trayce Jackson-Davis offensive rebound
Q4 8:32
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q4 8:45
Trayce Jackson-Davis defensive rebound
Q4 8:47
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q4 8:49
Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
Q4 8:51
Simone Fontecchio misses two point jump shot
Q4 9:03
Brandin Podziemski personal foul (Simone Fontecchio draws the foul)
Q4 9:03
Warriors lineup change (Buddy Hield, Moses Moody, Brandin Podziemski, Gui Santos, Trayce Jackson-Davis)
Q4 9:03
Heat personal foul
Q4 9:20
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
90-100
Q4 9:39
+2
Kel'el Ware makes two point alley-oop layup (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)
90-100
Q4 9:42
Kel'el Ware misses two point tip layup
Q4 9:42
Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
Q4 9:42
Dru Smith offensive rebound
Q4 9:45
Dru Smith misses two point jump shot
Q4 9:55
Warriors turnover
Q4 10:03
+1
Simone Fontecchio makes regular free throw 2 of 3
74-74
Q4 10:03
+1
Simone Fontecchio makes regular free throw 3 of 3
77-83
Q4 10:03
Warriors personal foul
Q4 10:03
+1
Simone Fontecchio makes regular free throw 1 of 3
90-100
Q4 10:03
Warriors lineup change (Buddy Hield, Pat Spencer, Brandin Podziemski, Gui Santos, Trayce Jackson-Davis)
Q4 10:10
Warriors turnover
Q4 10:28
Gui Santos defensive rebound
Q4 10:32
Simone Fontecchio misses three point jump shot
Q4 10:40
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Q4 10:43
Gui Santos misses three point jump shot
Q4 11:03
Heat turnover
Q4 11:06
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Q4 11:08
Pat Spencer misses three point pullup jump shot
Q4 11:15
Gary Payton II defensive rebound
Q4 11:17
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q4 11:23
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Q4 11:25
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q4 11:34
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
90-100
Q4 11:44
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q4 11:44
Heat offensive rebound
Q4 11:44
Gui Santos personal foul
Q3 00:00
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q3 00:00
End of 3rd Quarter.
Q4 12:00
Warriors lineup change (Buddy Hield, Gary Payton II, Pat Spencer, Gui Santos, Trayce Jackson-Davis)
Q3 00:17
Buddy Hield defensive rebound
Q3 00:19
Heat defensive rebound
Q3 00:19
Warriors personal foul
Q3 00:19
+1
Dru Smith makes regular free throw 1 of 2
90-100
Q3 00:19
Warriors lineup change (Buddy Hield, Pat Spencer, Moses Moody, Gui Santos, Trayce Jackson-Davis)
Q3 00:19
Dru Smith misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q3 00:21
Gui Santos misses three point jump shot
Q3 00:37
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)
87-93
Q3 00:46
+3
Trayce Jackson-Davis makes three point jump shot
87-93
Q3 00:51
Andrew Wiggins turnover (Moses Moody steals)
Q3 00:57
Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
Q3 1:00
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q3 1:09
Moses Moody defensive rebound
Q3 1:16
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q3 1:21
Gui Santos turnover
Q3 1:22
Gui Santos offensive rebound
Q3 1:26
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q3 1:30
Gary Payton II defensive rebound
Q3 1:34
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q3 1:49
Quinten Post turnover
Q3 1:49
Stoppage (Blood rule)
Q3 1:49
Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Pat Spencer, Moses Moody, Gui Santos, Trayce Jackson-Davis)
Q3 1:49
Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Pat Spencer, Moses Moody, Quinten Post, Gui Santos)
Q3 2:08
+2
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point layup
71-69
Q3 2:09
Kel'el Ware misses two point jump shot
Q3 2:09
Jaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound
Q3 2:09
Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
Q3 2:13
Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point driving floating jump shot
Q3 2:24
Jaime Jaquez Jr. shooting foul (Gui Santos draws the foul)
Q3 2:24
Gui Santos misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q3 2:24
Warriors offensive rebound
Q3 2:24
+1
Gui Santos makes regular free throw 2 of 2
90-100
Q3 2:42
Gui Santos personal foul
Q3 2:42
Dru Smith misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q3 2:42
Heat offensive rebound
Q3 2:42
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Andrew Wiggins, Simone Fontecchio, Kel'el Ware, Dru Smith)
Q3 2:42
+1
Dru Smith makes regular free throw 2 of 2
87-93
Q3 3:00
+2
Quinten Post makes two point jump shot
87-93
Q3 3:14
Buddy Hield defensive rebound
Q3 3:17
Dru Smith misses two point driving floating bank jump shot
Q3 3:30
+3
Quinten Post makes three point jump shot
87-93
Q3 3:35
Buddy Hield defensive rebound
Q3 3:35
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q3 3:35
Pelle Larsson offensive rebound
Q3 3:39
Pelle Larsson misses two point driving floating jump shot
Q3 3:56
Pat Spencer offensive rebound
Q3 3:56
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
87-93
Q3 4:01
Buddy Hield misses three point jump shot
Q3 4:06
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q3 4:06
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kel'el Ware, Pelle Larsson, Norman Powell, Dru Smith)
Q3 4:26
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
87-93
Q3 4:43
Heat 60 second timeout
Q3 4:43
Warriors lineup change (Buddy Hield, Gary Payton II, Pat Spencer, Quinten Post, Gui Santos)
Q3 4:44
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
87-93
Q3 4:54
Brandin Podziemski offensive rebound
Q3 4:57
Pat Spencer misses two point jump shot
Q3 5:23
Warriors personal foul
Q3 5:23
+1
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
87-93
Q3 5:23
+1
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
90-100
Q3 5:28
Warriors personal foul
Q3 5:32
Warriors turnover
Q3 5:50
+3
Bam Adebayo makes three point jump shot (Pelle Larsson assists)
70-67
Q3 6:03
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
70-67
Q3 6:19
Heat turnover
Q3 6:32
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Pelle Larsson, Norman Powell, Dru Smith, Bam Adebayo)
Q3 6:32
Davion Mitchell personal foul
Q3 6:32
+1
Brandin Podziemski makes regular free throw 1 of 2
87-93
Q3 6:32
+1
Brandin Podziemski makes regular free throw 2 of 2
87-93
Q3 6:52
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Q3 6:54
Andrew Wiggins misses two point floating jump shot
Q3 7:00
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q3 7:00
Heat offensive rebound
Q3 7:00
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q3 7:12
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
70-67
Q3 7:27
Quinten Post defensive rebound
Q3 7:29
Andrew Wiggins offensive rebound
Q3 7:29
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q3 7:32
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q3 7:56
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
54-59
Q3 8:20
Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Pat Spencer, Moses Moody, Quinten Post, Brandin Podziemski)
Q3 8:20
Warriors 60 second timeout
Q3 8:21
+3
Norman Powell makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)
51-59
Q3 8:22
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Q3 8:26
Pelle Larsson misses three point jump shot
Q3 8:41
Warriors turnover
Q3 8:52
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Q3 8:54
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q3 9:01
+2
Buddy Hield makes two point jump shot
70-67
Q3 9:11
+2
Andrew Wiggins makes two point jump shot
90-100
Q3 9:16
Buddy Hield turnover (lost ball) (Norman Powell steals)
Q3 9:35
Moses Moody shooting foul (Pelle Larsson draws the foul)
Q3 9:35
+1
Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
70-67
Q3 9:35
+1
Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
90-100
Q3 9:38
Norman Powell defensive rebound
Q3 9:40
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q3 9:49
Buddy Hield defensive rebound
Q3 9:53
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q3 9:58
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Q3 10:00
Moses Moody misses two point jump shot
Q3 10:16
Davion Mitchell personal foul (Trayce Jackson-Davis draws the foul)
Q3 10:40
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q3 10:40
Warriors defensive rebound
Q3 10:54
Moses Moody misses two point floating jump shot
Q3 10:54
Moses Moody offensive rebound
Q3 10:54
Heat personal foul
Q3 10:54
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
90-100
Q3 10:54
+1
Trayce Jackson-Davis makes regular free throw 1 of 1
90-100
Q3 11:15
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
90-100
Q3 11:30
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Q3 11:33
Heat personal foul
Q3 11:33
Trayce Jackson-Davis misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q3 11:33
+1
Trayce Jackson-Davis makes regular free throw 1 of 2
90-100
Q3 11:43
Moses Moody defensive rebound
Q3 11:45
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q3 11:56
Brandin Podziemski turnover (Norman Powell steals)
Q3 11:59
Warriors offensive rebound
Q2 00:00
Andrew Wiggins misses three point jump shot
Q2 00:00
Heat offensive rebound
Q2 00:00
End of 1st Half.
Q3 12:00
Heat lineup change (Andrew Wiggins, Pelle Larsson, Norman Powell, Davion Mitchell, Bam Adebayo)
Q3 12:00
Warriors lineup change (Buddy Hield, Will Richard, Moses Moody, Brandin Podziemski, Trayce Jackson-Davis)
Q2 00:01
Trayce Jackson-Davis offensive rebound
Q2 00:01
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
54-59
Q2 00:04
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q2 00:25
Warriors lineup change (Buddy Hield, Moses Moody, Quinten Post, Brandin Podziemski, Trayce Jackson-Davis)
Q2 00:25
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Andrew Wiggins, Pelle Larsson, Dru Smith, Bam Adebayo)
Q2 00:25
+1
Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 2 of 2
45-49
Q2 00:25
Warriors personal foul
Q2 00:25
Andrew Wiggins misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q2 00:25
Heat offensive rebound
Q2 00:31
Pelle Larsson defensive rebound
Q2 00:34
Pat Spencer misses two point turnaround jump shot
Q2 00:48
Heat personal foul
Q2 00:48
Heat personal foul
Q2 00:48
Pat Spencer technical foul (Double)
Q2 00:52
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
54-59
Q2 00:53
Jaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound
Q2 00:54
Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point driving layup
Q2 1:02
Quinten Post turnover
Q2 1:13
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)
43-48
Q2 1:13
Pat Spencer shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)
Q2 1:13
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 1
54-59
Q2 1:18
Pat Spencer turnover
Q2 1:28
Quinten Post defensive rebound
Q2 1:31
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q2 1:37
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 1:37
Heat offensive rebound
Q2 1:38
Moses Moody blocks Pelle Larsson's three point jump shot
Q2 1:53
Buddy Hield turnover (back court violation)
Q2 1:57
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 2:04
Pat Spencer offensive rebound
Q2 2:07
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q2 2:17
Moses Moody defensive rebound
Q2 2:22
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q2 2:42
Heat 60 second timeout
Q2 2:43
+3
Quinten Post makes three point jump shot
45-49
Q2 2:45
Pat Spencer offensive rebound
Q2 2:49
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q2 2:54
Buddy Hield defensive rebound
Q2 2:58
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q2 3:10
Warriors personal foul
Q2 3:10
Moses Moody turnover (offensive foul)
Q2 3:26
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
43-48
Q2 3:43
+3
Buddy Hield makes three point jump shot (Moses Moody assists)
40-41
Q2 3:48
Norman Powell personal foul (Brandin Podziemski draws the foul)
Q2 3:48
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Andrew Wiggins, Pelle Larsson, Davion Mitchell, Bam Adebayo)
Q2 3:55
Pat Spencer defensive rebound
Q2 3:58
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q2 4:02
Norman Powell defensive rebound
Q2 4:05
Bam Adebayo blocks Brandin Podziemski's two point jump shot
Q2 4:17
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 4:27
Simone Fontecchio turnover
Q2 4:27
Warriors lineup change (Buddy Hield, Pat Spencer, Moses Moody, Quinten Post, Brandin Podziemski)
Q2 4:36
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
37-41
Q2 4:40
Heat turnover
Q2 4:53
Heat personal foul
Q2 4:53
+1
Trayce Jackson-Davis makes regular free throw 1 of 2
43-48
Q2 4:53
+1
Trayce Jackson-Davis makes regular free throw 2 of 2
43-48
Q2 5:03
Trayce Jackson-Davis defensive rebound
Q2 5:07
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q2 5:18
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
43-48
Q2 5:25
Trayce Jackson-Davis offensive rebound
Q2 5:28
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q2 5:36
Heat personal foul
Q2 5:36
Warriors lineup change (Buddy Hield, Pat Spencer, Moses Moody, Brandin Podziemski, Trayce Jackson-Davis)
Q2 5:36
Warriors 60 second timeout
Q2 5:52
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
43-43
Q2 5:54
Simone Fontecchio defensive rebound
Q2 6:02
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q2 6:06
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Q2 6:10
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q2 6:26
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q2 6:26
Gary Payton II offensive rebound
Q2 6:26
Heat personal foul
Q2 6:26
+1
Gary Payton II makes regular free throw 1 of 2
40-43
Q2 6:26
Heat lineup change (Simone Fontecchio, Pelle Larsson, Norman Powell, Davion Mitchell, Bam Adebayo)
Q2 6:26
+1
Gary Payton II makes regular free throw 2 of 2
40-43
Q2 6:49
Jaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound
Q2 6:49
Heat turnover
Q2 6:49
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Pelle Larsson, Norman Powell, Davion Mitchell, Bam Adebayo)
Q2 6:51
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q2 7:01
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
40-43
Q2 7:15
Will Richard defensive rebound
Q2 7:16
Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
Q2 7:16
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q2 7:17
Warriors lineup change (Buddy Hield, Will Richard, Brandin Podziemski, Gui Santos, Trayce Jackson-Davis)
Q2 7:17
Warriors personal foul
Q2 7:17
+1
Kel'el Ware makes regular free throw 1 of 2
37-41
Q2 7:17
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kel'el Ware, Pelle Larsson, Norman Powell, Davion Mitchell)
Q2 7:17
Kel'el Ware misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q2 7:17
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kel'el Ware, Pelle Larsson, Norman Powell, Davion Mitchell)
Q2 7:25
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q2 7:25
Heat defensive rebound
Q2 7:25
Trayce Jackson-Davis misses two point tip layup
Q2 7:25
Heat defensive rebound
Q2 7:32
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 7:32
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Andrew Wiggins, Kel'el Ware, Norman Powell, Davion Mitchell)
Q2 7:32
Warriors lineup change (Buddy Hield, Will Richard, Brandin Podziemski, Gui Santos, Trayce Jackson-Davis)
Q2 7:43
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
37-41
Q2 7:50
Moses Moody personal foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)
Q2 7:50
Warriors lineup change (Buddy Hield, Will Richard, Brandin Podziemski, Gui Santos, Trayce Jackson-Davis)
Q2 7:50
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Andrew Wiggins, Kel'el Ware, Norman Powell, Dru Smith)
Q2 7:50
Warriors lineup change (Buddy Hield, Will Richard, Gary Payton II, Brandin Podziemski, Trayce Jackson-Davis)
Q2 7:50
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Andrew Wiggins, Kel'el Ware, Norman Powell, Dru Smith)
Q2 7:53
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Q2 7:58
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q2 8:00
Pat Spencer offensive rebound
Q2 8:02
Will Richard misses two point driving layup
Q2 8:03
Will Richard offensive rebound
Q2 8:06
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q2 8:11
Gui Santos offensive rebound
Q2 8:13
Gui Santos misses three point jump shot
Q2 8:36
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
37-41
Q2 8:44
Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
Q2 8:47
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q2 8:50
Will Richard defensive rebound
Q2 8:53
Simone Fontecchio misses three point jump shot
Q2 8:59
Will Richard personal foul
Q2 8:59
Simone Fontecchio defensive rebound
Q2 9:03
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q2 9:20
+3
Simone Fontecchio makes three point jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)
26-34
Q2 9:33
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
26-38
Q2 9:44
Pat Spencer defensive rebound
Q2 9:47
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q2 9:52
Moses Moody turnover (Dru Smith steals)
Q2 10:02
Instant replay (Challenge: Ruling Overturned)
Q2 10:02
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 10:02
Warriors 60 second timeout
Q2 10:02
Simone Fontecchio turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
Q2 10:12
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
24-31
Q2 10:30
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
22-31
Q2 10:42
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Q2 10:44
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q2 10:56
Moses Moody defensive rebound
Q2 11:00
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q2 11:07
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Q2 11:09
Moses Moody misses three point jump shot
Q2 11:18
Pat Spencer defensive rebound
Q2 11:19
Kel'el Ware misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
Q2 11:40
+2
Quinten Post makes two point jump shot (Pat Spencer assists)
22-29
Q1 00:00
Moses Moody defensive rebound
Q1 00:00
Simone Fontecchio misses two point jump shot
Q1 00:00
Warriors offensive rebound
Q1 00:00
End of 1st Quarter.
Q2 12:00
Warriors lineup change (Will Richard, Pat Spencer, Moses Moody, Quinten Post, Gui Santos)
Q1 00:01
Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point jump shot
Q1 00:17
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
20-29
Q1 00:34
Quinten Post defensive rebound
Q1 00:37
Andrew Wiggins misses two point jump shot
Q1 00:45
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Q1 00:47
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q1 00:58
Gary Payton II defensive rebound
Q1 1:01
Simone Fontecchio misses three point pullup jump shot
Q1 1:05
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Q1 1:07
Quinten Post misses two point jump shot
Q1 1:22
+3
Simone Fontecchio makes three point jump shot
20-29
Q1 1:40
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
20-29
Q1 1:51
Dru Smith turnover (Gary Payton II steals)
Q1 2:02
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Q1 2:07
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q1 2:11
Quinten Post defensive rebound
Q1 2:14
Dru Smith misses three point jump shot
Q1 2:20
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Q1 2:24
Moses Moody misses three point jump shot
Q1 2:41
Buddy Hield defensive rebound
Q1 2:43
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q1 2:43
Simone Fontecchio offensive rebound
Q1 2:43
Warriors personal foul
Q1 2:43
Heat 60 second timeout
Q1 2:43
Warriors lineup change (Buddy Hield, Gary Payton II, Pat Spencer, Moses Moody, Quinten Post)
Q1 2:43
+1
Simone Fontecchio makes regular free throw 1 of 2
15-26
Q1 2:43
Simone Fontecchio misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q1 2:48
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Q1 2:51
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q1 2:55
Heat turnover
Q1 3:00
Dru Smith defensive rebound
Q1 3:04
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q1 3:06
Gary Payton II defensive rebound
Q1 3:12
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q1 3:14
Dru Smith offensive rebound
Q1 3:17
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q1 3:30
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
14-25
Q1 3:30
Heat personal foul
Q1 3:30
+1
Brandin Podziemski makes regular free throw 1 of 1
15-25
Q1 3:30
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Andrew Wiggins, Simone Fontecchio, Kel'el Ware, Dru Smith)
Q1 3:37
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
12-25
Q1 3:41
Pelle Larsson defensive rebound
Q1 3:45
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q1 3:48
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Q1 3:50
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q1 3:55
Simone Fontecchio defensive rebound
Q1 3:57
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q1 4:03
Heat turnover
Q1 4:10
Dru Smith defensive rebound
Q1 4:15
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q1 4:18
Warriors turnover
Q1 4:18
Heat turnover
Q1 4:22
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
12-23
Q1 4:33
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
9-22
Q1 4:33
Warriors personal foul
Q1 4:33
Warriors lineup change (Buddy Hield, Gary Payton II, Pat Spencer, Quinten Post, Brandin Podziemski)
Q1 4:33
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Simone Fontecchio, Kel'el Ware, Pelle Larsson, Dru Smith)
Q1 4:33
+1
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 1
9-23
Q1 4:41
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
9-20
Q1 4:46
Heat turnover
Q1 4:49
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Q1 4:51
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q1 5:11
Gary Payton II defensive rebound
Q1 5:13
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q1 5:19
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
6-20
Q1 5:38
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
4-20
Q1 5:49
Warriors turnover
Q1 5:49
Warriors lineup change (Buddy Hield, Gary Payton II, Pat Spencer, Brandin Podziemski, Trayce Jackson-Davis)
Q1 5:52
Gary Payton II defensive rebound
Q1 5:54
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q1 6:02
Davion Mitchell defensive rebound
Q1 6:05
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q1 6:22
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
4-17
Q1 6:26
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Q1 6:30
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q1 6:30
Trayce Jackson-Davis offensive rebound
Q1 6:30
Heat personal foul
Q1 6:30
Trayce Jackson-Davis misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q1 6:30
Warriors offensive rebound
Q1 6:30
Trayce Jackson-Davis misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q1 6:30
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Pelle Larsson, Norman Powell, Davion Mitchell, Bam Adebayo)
Q1 6:34
Trayce Jackson-Davis offensive rebound
Q1 6:36
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q1 6:56
Heat personal foul
Q1 6:56
Warriors personal foul
Q1 6:56
+1
Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
4-14
Q1 6:56
Warriors lineup change (Buddy Hield, Will Richard, Gary Payton II, Brandin Podziemski, Trayce Jackson-Davis)
Q1 6:56
Heat offensive rebound
Q1 6:56
+1
Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
4-14
Q1 7:05
Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
Q1 7:08
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q1 7:30
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
4-13
Q1 7:37
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q1 7:38
Warriors offensive rebound
Q1 7:38
Warriors turnover
Q1 8:00
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Q1 8:03
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q1 8:15
Norman Powell defensive rebound
Q1 8:18
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q1 8:33
Warriors 60 second timeout
Q1 8:44
Heat personal foul
Q1 8:45
Trayce Jackson-Davis defensive rebound
Q1 8:47
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q1 9:00
Trayce Jackson-Davis offensive rebound
Q1 9:01
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q1 9:02
Warriors turnover
Q1 9:10
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q1 9:10
Warriors offensive rebound
Q1 9:10
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q1 9:29
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
4-10
Q1 9:31
Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
Q1 9:34
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q1 9:38
Trayce Jackson-Davis defensive rebound
Q1 9:43
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q1 9:54
Andrew Wiggins shooting foul (Moses Moody draws the foul)
Q1 9:54
+1
Moses Moody makes regular free throw 2 of 2
4-7
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
Warriors
PosPlayerPtsRebAst
Heat
PosPlayerPtsRebAst

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Warriors vs. Heat: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Warriors vs. Heat
  • Date: Wednesday, November 19, 2025
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Kaseya Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Heat favored at -9.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 234.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Warriors +340, Heat -410

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Warriors: 22%
  • Heat: 78%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Warriors 112-122 Heat.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Warriors a win probability of 22%, while the Heat have a win probability of 78%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Heat are more likely to beat the Warriors in the NBA game at Kaseya Center on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Warriors vs. Heat predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.

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