May 21, 2026
Richmond Tigers vs. Essendon Bombers prediction: Why Bombers are favored to win Friday's AFL Round 11 matchup [5/22/2026]
Read Article North Melbourne Kangaroos vs. Gold Coast Suns prediction: Suns favored to win Friday's AFL Round 11 matchup [5/22/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Damien Souness, Chief Experience Officer
Get North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Gold Coast Suns predictions for AFL Friday.
The North Melbourne Kangaroos will face the Gold Coast Suns in Australian Football League (AFL) action at Marvel Stadium on Friday, starting at 11:15 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced AFL model predicts the Suns as the most likely winner of the Suns vs. Kangaroos game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Friday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Kangaroos vs. Suns prediction: Who will win Round 11 game?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's AFL matchup between the Suns and Kangaroos, forming part of our AFL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Suns a 61% chance of beating the Kangaroos.
According to our model, the Kangaroos (+9.5) have a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the 184.5-point over/under has a 52% chance of staying under.
Gold Coast vs. North Melbourne odds
We have researched the best AFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Suns | Kangaroos |
|---|---|---|
| H2H (Moneyline) | -185 | +145 |
| Line (Spread) | -9.5 (-115) | +9.5 (-115) |
| Total | o184.5 (-115) | u184.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Suns vs. Kangaroos picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Kangaroos +9.5 | -115 |
| Moneyline | Kangaroos | +145 |
| Total | Under 184.5 | -115 |
According to our AFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 184.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Kangaroos vs. Suns game-day updates and essential details
Friday's Australian rules football action between the Kangaroos and Suns at Marvel Stadium is scheduled to start at 11:15 PM ET.
- Who: Gold Coast Suns vs. North Melbourne Kangaroos
- Date: Friday, May 22, 2026
- Time: 11:15 PM ET/8:15PM PT
- Venue: Marvel Stadium
The AFL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with fans highlighting the high-octane 360-degree nature of the sport as a top reason to follow it.
Conclusion
We predict the Suns, with a 61% win probability, will likely beat the Kangaroos in Friday's AFL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Damien Souness is Chief Experience Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, helping lead sports media brands such as Dimers. He specializes in creating trustworthy and data-driven content for sports fans, with experience working for globally recognized sports and media organizations.
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