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Read Article North Melbourne Kangaroos vs. Gold Coast Suns prediction: Suns favored to win Friday's AFL Round 11 matchup [5/22/2026]
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Written by Damien Souness, Chief Experience Officer
Get North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Gold Coast Suns predictions for AFL Friday.
AFL action continues on Friday at 11:15 PM ET as the Gold Coast Suns square off with the North Melbourne Kangaroos at Marvel Stadium.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven AFL model predicts the Suns as the most likely winner of the Suns vs. Kangaroos game.
This article offers a closer look at Friday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Kangaroos vs. Suns prediction: Who will win Round 11 game?
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's AFL game between the Suns and Kangaroos, forming part of our AFL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Suns a 61% chance of defeating the Kangaroos.
According to our model, the Suns (-7.5) have a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 189.5 points has a 52% chance of staying under.
Gold Coast vs. North Melbourne odds
We have researched the best AFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Suns | Kangaroos |
|---|---|---|
| H2H (Moneyline) | -149 | +115 |
| Line (Spread) | -7.5 (-115) | +7.5 (-115) |
| Total | o189.5 (-115) | u189.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Suns vs. Kangaroos picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Suns -7.5 | -115 |
| Moneyline | Suns | -149 |
| Total | Under 189.5 | -115 |
According to our best AFL bets, the top play to make on this game is Suns to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Kangaroos vs. Suns game-day updates and essential details
Friday's Australian rules football action between the Kangaroos and Suns at Marvel Stadium is scheduled to commence at 11:15 PM ET.
- Who: Gold Coast Suns vs. North Melbourne Kangaroos
- Date: Friday, May 22, 2026
- Time: 11:15 PM ET/8:15PM PT
- Venue: Marvel Stadium
The AFL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with fans highlighting the high-octane 360-degree nature of the sport as a top reason to follow it.
Conclusion
We predict the Suns, with a 61% win probability, will likely beat the Kangaroos in Friday's AFL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Damien Souness is Chief Experience Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, helping lead sports media brands such as Dimers. He specializes in creating trustworthy and data-driven content for sports fans, with experience working for globally recognized sports and media organizations.
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