Melbourne Demons vs. Gold Coast Suns prediction: Why Suns are favored to win Sunday's AFL Round 4 matchup [4/5/2026]

The Melbourne Demons and Gold Coast Suns will lock horns in the Australian Football League (AFL) at Melbourne Cricket Ground on Sunday, starting at 1:15 AM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven AFL model predicts the Suns as the most likely winner of the Suns vs. Demons game.

This article offers a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks.

Demons vs. Suns prediction: Who will win Round 4 game?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's AFL matchup between the Suns and Demons, forming part of our AFL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Suns a 68% chance of defeating the Demons.

According to our model, the Demons (+21.5) have a 58% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 190.5 points has a 52% chance of staying under.

Gold Coast vs. Melbourne odds

We have researched the best AFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Suns vs. Demons picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below: