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Collingwood Magpies vs. Fremantle Dockers prediction: Why Dockers are favored to win Friday's AFL Round 5 matchup [4/10/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Damien Souness, Chief Innovation Officer
Get Collingwood Magpies vs Fremantle Dockers predictions for AFL Friday.
The Collingwood Magpies and Fremantle Dockers will lock horns in the Australian Football League (AFL) at Adelaide Oval on Friday, starting at 5:40 AM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced AFL model predicts the Dockers as the most likely winner of the Dockers vs. Magpies game.
This article offers a closer look at Friday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Magpies vs. Dockers prediction: Who will win Round 5 game?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's AFL game between the Dockers and Magpies, forming part of our AFL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Dockers a 63% chance of beating the Magpies.
According to our model, the Magpies (+12.5) have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 170.5 points has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Fremantle vs. Collingwood odds
We have researched the best AFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Dockers | Magpies |
|---|---|---|
| H2H (Moneyline) | -208 | +165 |
| Line (Spread) | -12.5 (-115) | +12.5 (-115) |
| Total | o170.5 (-115) | u170.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Dockers vs. Magpies picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Magpies +12.5 | -115 |
| Moneyline | Magpies | +165 |
| Total | Under 170.5 | -115 |
According to our AFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Magpies to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Magpies vs. Dockers game-day updates and essential details
Friday's Australian rules football game between the Magpies and Dockers at Adelaide Oval is scheduled to begin at 5:40 AM ET.
- Who: Fremantle Dockers vs. Collingwood Magpies
- Date: Friday, April 10, 2026
- Time: 5:40 AM ET/2:40AM PT
- Venue: Adelaide Oval
The AFL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with fans highlighting the high-octane 360-degree nature of the sport as a top reason to follow it.
Conclusion
We predict the Dockers, with a 63% win probability, will likely beat the Magpies in Friday's AFL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Damien Souness leverages over 15 years of experience to create engaging content focused on sports, online gaming and wagering. As Chief Innovation Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, the parent company of Dimers, he offers strategic insights and innovative solutions to enhance the player experience.
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