Frances Tiafoe vs. Matteo Arnaldi Prediction, Odds, Picks for ATP Madrid Open 2025

Frances Tiafoe will square off with Matteo Arnaldi in the round of 16 at the ATP Madrid event on Wednesday.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced tennis model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts Frances Tiafoe as the most likely winner of the match.

"We have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's Tiafoe-Arnaldi match 10,000 times," said Dimers data analyst Greg Butyn.

"With the latest updates and numerous other variables, we estimate Frances Tiafoe's chance of winning at 52%, with Matteo Arnaldi at 48%."

For further insights into Wednesday's match, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Tiafoe vs. Arnaldi predictions page.

Tiafoe vs. Arnaldi Prediction: Who Will Win and Advance to the Quarterfinals?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's Tiafoe-Arnaldi men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives Tiafoe a 52% chance of beating Arnaldi at the ATP Madrid Open tournament.

Additionally, Tiafoe has a 51% chance of winning the first set, according to our model.

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Frances Tiafoe vs. Matteo Arnaldi Odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Tiafoe	Arnaldi
Moneyline	+110	-139
First Set	+110	-139

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Tiafoe vs. Arnaldi Picks and Best Bets

Our model's strongest edge in today's Tiafoe vs. Arnaldi match is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the current odds, reveal the best tennis picks and tennis best bets for every tournament throughout the year.

Unlimited access to our complete set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Tiafoe vs. Arnaldi Updates and Essential Details

The ATP Madrid Open match between Frances Tiafoe and Matteo Arnaldi is scheduled to start on Wednesday at 7:00AM ET.

• Who: Frances Tiafoe vs. Matteo Arnaldi
• Date: Wednesday, April 30, 2025
• Approx. Time: 7:00AM ET/4:00AM PT
• Tournament: ATP Madrid, Spain Men's Singles 2025
• Round: Round of 16

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Wednesday's Tiafoe vs. Arnaldi match includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Frances Tiafoe vs. Matteo Arnaldi picks, be sure to check out the latest tennis predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Key Tennis Betting Guides and Insights

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• Explore where sports odds come from and how they’re applied to tennis matches
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Conclusion

We predict Frances Tiafoe, with a 52% win probability, will likely beat Matteo Arnaldi at the ATP Madrid Open tournament.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Tiafoe vs. Arnaldi insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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