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Read Article Gold Coast Suns vs. Essendon Bombers prediction: Suns favored to win Friday's AFL Round 6 matchup [4/17/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Damien Souness, Chief Experience Officer
Get Gold Coast Suns vs Essendon Bombers predictions for AFL Friday.
The Gold Coast Suns will take on the Essendon Bombers in Australian Football League (AFL) action at Metricon Stadium on Friday, commencing at 11:15 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven AFL model projects the Suns as the most likely winner of the Bombers vs. Suns game.
This article offers further insights into Friday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Suns vs. Bombers prediction: Who will win Round 6 game?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Friday's AFL game between the Bombers and Suns, forming part of our AFL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Suns an 89% chance of defeating the Bombers.
According to our model, the Bombers (+41.5) have a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 188.5 points has a 51% chance of staying under.
Essendon vs. Gold Coast odds
We have sourced the best AFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Bombers | Suns |
|---|---|---|
| H2H (Moneyline) | +600 | -1000 |
| Line (Spread) | +41.5 (-115) | -41.5 (-115) |
| Total | o188.5 (-115) | u188.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Bombers vs. Suns picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Bombers +41.5 | -115 |
| Moneyline | Suns | -1000 |
| Total | Under 188.5 | -115 |
According to our AFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Bombers +41.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Suns vs. Bombers game-day updates and essential details
Friday's Australian rules football game between the Suns and Bombers at Metricon Stadium is scheduled to start at 11:15 PM ET.
- Who: Essendon Bombers vs. Gold Coast Suns
- Date: Friday, April 17, 2026
- Time: 11:15 PM ET/8:15PM PT
- Venue: Metricon Stadium
The AFL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with fans highlighting the high-octane 360-degree nature of the sport as a top reason to follow it.
Conclusion
We predict the Suns, with an 89% win probability, will likely beat the Bombers in Friday's AFL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Damien Souness is Chief Experience Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, helping lead sports media brands such as Dimers. He specializes in creating trustworthy and data-driven content for sports fans, with experience working for globally recognized sports and media organizations.
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