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Gold Coast Suns vs. Essendon Bombers prediction: Suns favored to win Friday's AFL Round 6 matchup [4/17/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Damien Souness, Chief Innovation Officer
Get Gold Coast Suns vs Essendon Bombers predictions for AFL Friday.
The Gold Coast Suns will square off with the Essendon Bombers in Australian Football League (AFL) action at Metricon Stadium on Friday, starting at 11:15 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced AFL model predicts the Suns as the most likely winner of the Bombers vs. Suns game.
This article offers further insights into Friday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Suns vs. Bombers prediction: Who will win Round 6 game?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's AFL matchup between the Bombers and Suns, forming part of our AFL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Suns an 89% chance of defeating the Bombers.
According to our model, the Bombers (+41.5) have a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 190.5 points has a 51% chance of staying under.
Essendon vs. Gold Coast odds
We have sourced the best AFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Bombers | Suns |
|---|---|---|
| H2H (Moneyline) | +600 | -1000 |
| Line (Spread) | +41.5 (-115) | -41.5 (-115) |
| Total | o190.5 (-115) | u190.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Bombers vs. Suns picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Bombers +41.5 | -115 |
| Moneyline | Suns | -1000 |
| Total | Under 190.5 | -115 |
According to our AFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Bombers +41.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Suns vs. Bombers game-day updates and essential details
Friday's Australian rules football matchup between the Suns and Bombers at Metricon Stadium is scheduled to start at 11:15 PM ET.
- Who: Essendon Bombers vs. Gold Coast Suns
- Date: Friday, April 17, 2026
- Time: 11:15 PM ET/8:15PM PT
- Venue: Metricon Stadium
The AFL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with fans highlighting the high-octane 360-degree nature of the sport as a top reason to follow it.
Conclusion
We predict the Suns, with an 89% win probability, will likely beat the Bombers in Friday's AFL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Damien Souness leverages over 15 years of experience to create engaging content focused on sports, online gaming and wagering. As Chief Innovation Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, the parent company of Dimers, he offers strategic insights and innovative solutions to enhance the player experience.
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