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Read Article Brisbane Lions vs. Essendon Bombers Prediction: Lions Predicted to Win Thursday's AFL Round 12 Matchup [5/29/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Our expert prediction for Thursday's Brisbane Lions vs Essendon Bombers matchup.
The Brisbane Lions will take on the Essendon Bombers in Australian Football League (AFL) action at The Gabba on Thursday, commencing at 5:30AM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven AFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Lions as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Using the latest data, our experts simulated Thursday's Essendon-Brisbane game 10,000 times," said Ryan Leaver from Dimers.
"Taking into account recent updates and various additional inputs, we forecast the Lions with a win probability of 93% and the Bombers with 7%."
For expanded analysis of Thursday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Bombers vs. Lions predictions page.
Get 20% off Dimers Pro With Code 20AFL Get Dimers Pro Lions vs. Bombers Prediction: Who Will Win Round 12 Game?
Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's AFL matchup between the Bombers and Lions 10,000 times as part of our AFL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Lions a 93% chance of defeating the Bombers.
According to our model, the Bombers (+44.5) have a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 169.5 has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 8:29AM, May 29
Moneyline
Spread
Over / Under
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Essendon vs. Brisbane Odds
We have researched the best AFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Bombers | Lions |
|---|---|---|
| H2H (Moneyline) | +650 | -1429 |
| Line (Spread) | +44.5 (-120) | -44.5 (-110) |
| Total | o169.5 (-120) | u169.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
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Lions vs. Bombers Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
Thursday's Australian rules football game between the Lions and Bombers at The Gabba is scheduled to begin at 5:30AM ET.
- Who: Essendon Bombers vs. Brisbane Lions
- Date: Thursday, May 29, 2025
- Time: 5:30AM ET/2:30AM PT
- Venue: The Gabba
The AFL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with fans highlighting the high-octane 360-degree nature of the sport as a top reason to follow it.
Dimers.com's full preview of Thursday's Bombers vs. Lions matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Essendon vs. Brisbane picks, be sure to check out the latest AFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Conclusion
We predict the Lions, with a 93% win probability, will likely beat the Bombers on Thursday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Bombers vs. Lions insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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