Elise Mertens vs. Jessica Pegula Prediction, Odds, Picks for WTA Italian Open 2025

Elise Mertens and Jessica Pegula are scheduled to meet in the round of 32 of the WTA Italian Open event on Saturday.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced tennis model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts Jessica Pegula as the most likely winner of the match.

"We have used the latest data to run 10,000 simulations of Saturday's Mertens-Pegula match," said Dimers data analyst Greg Butyn.

"By incorporating recent updates and various other inputs, we estimate that Jessica Pegula is more likely to win, while Elise Mertens has a lower chance of victory."

For a closer look at Saturday's match, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Mertens vs. Pegula predictions page.

Mertens vs. Pegula Prediction: Who Will Win and Advance to the Round of 16?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's Mertens-Pegula women's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives Pegula a 68% chance of beating Mertens at the WTA Italian Open tournament.

Additionally, Pegula has a 64% chance of winning the first set, according to our model.

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Elise Mertens vs. Jessica Pegula Odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Mertens	Pegula
Moneyline	+175	-227
First Set	+162	-200

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Mertens vs. Pegula Picks and Best Bets

Our model's strongest edge in today's Mertens vs. Pegula match is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, matched against the best odds, reveal the best tennis picks and tennis best bets for every tournament throughout the year.

Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Mertens vs. Pegula Updates and Essential Details

The WTA Italian Open match between Elise Mertens and Jessica Pegula is scheduled to start on Saturday at 2:30PM ET.

• Who: Elise Mertens vs. Jessica Pegula
• Date: Saturday, May 10, 2025
• Approx. Time: 2:30PM ET/11:30AM PT
• Tournament: WTA Rome, Italy Women's Singles 2025
• Round: Round of 32

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Saturday's Mertens vs. Pegula match includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Elise Mertens vs. Jessica Pegula picks, be sure to check out the latest tennis predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Key Tennis Betting Guides and Insights

• Learn how to bet on tennis and understand how tennis odds work
• Explore where sports odds come from and how they’re applied to tennis matches
• Stay informed with guides on where online sports betting is currently legal and which states could legalize next
• Improve your chances with proven sports betting strategies that apply to tennis and more

Conclusion

We predict Jessica Pegula, with a 68% win probability, will likely beat Elise Mertens at the WTA Italian Open tournament.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Mertens vs. Pegula insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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