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Elche vs. Atletico Madrid prediction, odds, La Liga picks [4/22/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Elche vs Atletico Madrid predictions for La Liga Wednesday.
Elche and Atletico Madrid will meet in La Liga on Wednesday, with kickoff at 1:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven La Liga model predicts Atletico Madrid as the most likely winner of the Elche vs. Atletico Madrid game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Wednesday's match, including best bets and picks.
Elche vs. Atletico Madrid prediction: Who will win?
Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's La Liga match between Elche and Atletico Madrid, forming part of our La Liga predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently indicates a 34.7% chance of Elche winning, a 40.1% chance for Atletico Madrid, and a 25.3% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 53% chance of going over, according to our model.
Elche vs. Atletico Madrid odds
We have sourced the best La Liga odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Elche | Atletico Madrid | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +165 | +155 | +270 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -155 | +110 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Elche vs. Atletico Madrid picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Atletico Madrid | +155 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | +110 |
According to our La Liga best bets, the top play to make on this game is Atletico Madrid to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Elche vs. Atletico Madrid: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Elche 1-1 ATM | 11.9% |
| Elche 0-1 ATM | 8.9% |
| Elche 1-2 ATM | 8.7% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 56.6% chance of both sides finding the net and a 43.4% chance that at least one doesn’t.
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, which means the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.
Elche vs. Atletico Madrid game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's La Liga action between Elche and Atletico Madrid is scheduled to commence in the USA at 1:00 PM ET.
- Who: Elche vs. Atletico Madrid
- Date: Wednesday, April 22, 2026
- Time: 1:00 PM ET/10:00AM PT
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Elche has a 34.7% win probability on Wednesday, Atletico Madrid has a 40.1% win probability, and there is a 25.3% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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