Elche vs. Atletico Madrid Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Elche vs. Atletico Madrid La Liga match on April 22, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
Atletico Madrid
2
3
Apr 22, 1:00 PM ET
Elche
Apr 22, 1:00 PM ET
ElcheELC
Score Summary
Atletico MadridATM
D. Affengruber (18')
Soccer ball icon
Andre Silva (pen.) (33')
Soccer ball icon
Andre Silva (75')
Soccer ball icon
N. Gonzalez (10')
Soccer ball icon
T. Almada (30')
Red Card icon
N. Gonzalez (34')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Elche
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Atletico Madrid
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Elche: P. Bigas replaces L. Petrot
75'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Elche by Andre Silva, assisted by D. Affengruber
2-3
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Elche: Josan replaces Tete Morente
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Elche: A. Rodriguez replaces R. Mir
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Elche: L. Cepeda replaces M. Neto
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: P. Barrios replaces O. Vargas
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: A. Griezmann replaces R. Mendoza
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: G. Simeone replaces A. Baena
60'
Substitution
Substitution for Elche: V. Chust replaces Buba Sangare
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: N. Molina replaces R. Le Normand
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: M. Pubill replaces J. Diaz
45'
Yellow Card
A. Febas (Elche) cautioned
45'
Yellow Card
Buba Sangare (Elche) cautioned
38'
Yellow Card
J. Diaz (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
36'
Yellow Card
C. Lenglet (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
34'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by N. Gonzalez, assisted by R. Le Normand
2-2
33'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Elche by Andre Silva (pen.)
1-2
30'
Red Card
T. Almada (Atl. Madrid) sent off with a straight red card
18'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Elche by D. Affengruber, assisted by Tete Morente
1-1
10'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by N. Gonzalez, assisted by R. Mendoza
1-0

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Elche vs. Atletico Madrid: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Elche vs. Atletico Madrid
  • Date: Wednesday, April 22, 2026
  • Time: 1:00 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Elche +140, Atletico Madrid +190, draw +270
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-125/+112)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Elche: 36.7%
  • Atletico Madrid: 37.9%
  • Draw: 25.4%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Elche 1-1 Atletico Madrid (12.0%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Elche vs. Atletico Madrid? Prediction & correct score

Atletico Madrid is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 37.9%.

The most likely correct score is Elche 1-1 Atletico Madrid.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Elche vs. Atletico Madrid, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.