Elche vs. Atletico Madrid Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Elche vs. Atletico Madrid La Liga match on April 22, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
Atletico Madrid
2
3
Elche
ElcheELC
Score Summary
Atletico MadridATM
D. Affengruber (18')
Soccer ball icon
Andre Silva (pen.) (33')
Soccer ball icon
Andre Silva (75')
Soccer ball icon
N. Gonzalez (10')
Soccer ball icon
T. Almada (30')
Red Card icon
N. Gonzalez (34')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Elche
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Atletico Madrid
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Elche: P. Bigas replaces L. Petrot
  2. 75'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Elche by Andre Silva, assisted by D. Affengruber
    2-3
  3. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Elche: Josan replaces Tete Morente
  4. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Elche: A. Rodriguez replaces R. Mir
  5. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Elche: L. Cepeda replaces M. Neto
  6. 62'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. Madrid: P. Barrios replaces O. Vargas
  7. 62'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. Madrid: A. Griezmann replaces R. Mendoza
  8. 62'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. Madrid: G. Simeone replaces A. Baena
  9. 60'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Elche: V. Chust replaces Buba Sangare
  10. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. Madrid: N. Molina replaces R. Le Normand
  11. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. Madrid: M. Pubill replaces J. Diaz
  12. 45'
    Yellow Card
    A. Febas (Elche) cautioned
  13. 45'
    Yellow Card
    Buba Sangare (Elche) cautioned
  14. 38'
    Yellow Card
    J. Diaz (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
  15. 36'
    Yellow Card
    C. Lenglet (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
  16. 34'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by N. Gonzalez, assisted by R. Le Normand
    2-2
  17. 33'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Elche by Andre Silva (pen.)
    1-2
  18. 30'
    Red Card
    T. Almada (Atl. Madrid) sent off with a straight red card
  19. 18'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Elche by D. Affengruber, assisted by Tete Morente
    1-1
  20. 10'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by N. Gonzalez, assisted by R. Mendoza
    1-0

Elche vs. Atletico Madrid: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Elche vs. Atletico Madrid
  • Date: Wednesday, April 22, 2026
  • Time: 1:00 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Elche +140, Atletico Madrid +190, draw +270
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-125/+112)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Elche: 36.7%
  • Atletico Madrid: 37.9%
  • Draw: 25.4%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Elche 1-1 Atletico Madrid (12.0%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win Elche vs. Atletico Madrid? Prediction & correct score

Atletico Madrid is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 37.9%.

The most likely correct score is Elche 1-1 Atletico Madrid.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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