Valencia vs. Real Madrid prediction, odds, La Liga picks [11/7/2026]

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the result of Saturday's La Liga match between Valencia and Real Madrid, forming part of our La Liga predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently suggests a 13.9% chance of Valencia winning, a 67.5% chance for Real Madrid, and an 18.6% chance of a draw. Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 61.1% chance of going over., with a 53.6% chance that both teams score.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best La Liga odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Real Madrid -325, Valencia +1011
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-213/+203)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Valencia @ +1011 via Polymarket
• Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ +203 via Novig

According to our La Liga best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 2.5 total goals.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score and BTTS projections

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 2-0 Real Madrid win being the most probable:

• Valencia 0-2 Real Madrid (10.7% probability)
• Valencia 1-2 Real Madrid (9.8%)
• Valencia 0-1 Real Madrid (9.5%)

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 53.6% chance of both Valencia and Real Madrid finding the net and a 46.4% chance that at least one doesn’t.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's La Liga action between Valencia and Real Madrid at Estadio de Mestalla is scheduled to commence in the United States at 3:00 PM ET.

• Who: Valencia vs. Real Madrid
• Date: Saturday, November 7, 2026
• Time: 3:00 PM ET/12:00 PM PT
• Venue: Estadio de Mestalla

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Valencia has a 13.9% win probability on Saturday, Real Madrid has a 67.5% win probability, and there is an 18.6% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary La Liga prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.