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Dusan Lajovic vs. Carlos Alcaraz Prediction, Odds, Picks for ATP Italian Open 2025

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Written by Nick Slade

Our expert prediction for Friday's Dusan Lajovic vs Carlos Alcaraz matchup.

Dusan Lajovic vs Carlos Alcaraz Tennis Prediction.
Our Dusan Lajovic and Carlos Alcaraz tennis prediction is based on thousands of simulations of the upcoming match.

Dusan Lajovic will take on Carlos Alcaraz in the round of 64 at the ATP Rome event on Friday.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced tennis model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts Carlos Alcaraz as the most likely winner of the match.

"Employing the latest data, we simulated Friday's Lajovic-Alcaraz match 10,000 times," said Dimers data analyst Greg Butyn.

"After computing the latest updates and thousands of other inputs, we predict Carlos Alcaraz' chance of winning is 82%, while Dusan Lajovic's is 18%."

For expanded analysis of Friday's match, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Lajovic vs. Alcaraz predictions page.

Lajovic vs. Alcaraz Prediction: Who Will Win and Advance to the Round of 32?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's Lajovic-Alcaraz men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives Alcaraz an 82% chance of defeating Lajovic at the ATP Italian Open tournament.

Additionally, Alcaraz has a 76% chance of winning the first set, according to our model.

 

For more insights into the growing popularity of betting on the sport, check out our comprehensive analysis of tennis' rise in the U.S. sports betting market.

Dusan Lajovic vs. Carlos Alcaraz Odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

Bet Type Lajovic Alcaraz
Moneyline +1000 -2000
First Set +500 -833

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Lajovic vs. Alcaraz Picks and Best Bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Lajovic vs. Alcaraz match is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, matched against the best odds, reveal the best tennis picks and tennis best bets for every tournament throughout the year.

Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Lajovic vs. Alcaraz Updates and Essential Details

The ATP Italian Open match between Dusan Lajovic and Carlos Alcaraz is scheduled to begin on Friday at 7:00AM ET.

  • Who: Dusan Lajovic vs. Carlos Alcaraz
  • Date: Friday, May 9, 2025
  • Approx. Time: 7:00AM ET/4:00AM PT
  • Tournament: ATP Rome, Italy Men's Singles 2025
  • Round: Round of 64

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Dimers.com's full preview of Friday's Lajovic vs. Alcaraz match includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Dusan Lajovic vs. Carlos Alcaraz picks, be sure to check out the latest tennis predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Key Tennis Betting Guides and Insights

Conclusion

We predict Carlos Alcaraz, with an 82% win probability, will likely beat Dusan Lajovic at the ATP Italian Open tournament.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Lajovic vs. Alcaraz insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on Tennis

Stay up-to-date with the latest tennis news and parlay picks throughout the year. Plus, Dimers' ATP and WTA world rankings showcase our in-house approach to accurately ranking every men's and women's player in the world.

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Written by
Nick Slade
Chief Content Officer

Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.

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