Nuggets vs. Rockets prediction: Houston to win, Kevin Durant projected for big game in Friday's NBA Cup matchup [11/21/2025]

The Houston Rockets and Denver Nuggets will lock horns in NBA Cup action at Toyota Center on Friday, with tipoff at 9:30PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results and today’s injury updates, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Rockets as the most likely winner of the Nuggets vs. Rockets game.

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Rockets lineup will feature stars like Kevin Durant, Alperen Sengun and Amen Thompson, while the Nuggets will be led by Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray and Aaron Gordon.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Friday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.

Nuggets vs. Rockets prediction: Who will win NBA Cup game?

As part of Dimers' NBA predictions coverage—and following a review of recent results—our pregame model has generated moneyline, spread, and over/under probabilities for Friday's clash between the Nuggets and Rockets.

Our famous predictive model gives the Rockets a 57% chance of beating the Nuggets. Our predicted final score has the Rockets winning 117-115.

According to our model, the Nuggets (+2.5) have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 233.5 points has a 51% chance of staying under.

Nuggets vs. Rockets odds

We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Nuggets vs. Rockets picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

According to our best NBA bets for Friday, the top play to make on this game is Nuggets +2.5 at the spread.

Nuggets vs. Rockets player props

NBA prop bets are a popular way to wager on Friday's Denver vs. Houston game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Toyota Center.

Nikola Jokic is expected to lead the Nuggets with 25 points, 11 rebounds and 10 assists, while Kevin Durant is projected to have 27 points, 5 rebounds and 4 assists for the Rockets.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every game this season.

Nuggets prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Nuggets are:

Rockets prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Rockets:

Nuggets vs. Rockets game-day updates and essential details

Friday's game between the Rockets and Nuggets at Toyota Center is scheduled to commence at 9:30PM ET.

• Who: Denver Nuggets vs. Houston Rockets
• Date: Friday, November 21, 2025
• Time: 9:30PM ET/6:30PM PT
• Venue: Toyota Center
• Tournament details: 2025 Emirates NBA Cup

Conclusion

We predict the Rockets, with a 57% win probability, will likely beat the Nuggets on Friday, with Nikola Jokic projected for a game-high 61 fantasy points.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Nuggets vs. Rockets insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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