Nuggets vs. Rockets Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Nuggets vs. Rockets NBA game on November 21, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA sport icon
NBA
Nuggets
103
101
Toyota Center
Rockets
Toyota Center
TEAM1234T
Nuggets
25 21 57 0 103
Rockets
12 37 52 0 101
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Nuggets
    46%
  • Rockets
    54%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Nuggets
25 21 57 0 103
Rockets
12 37 52 0 101
Q4 00:00 Alperen Sengun misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:05 Rockets makes three point jump shot
Q4 00:11 Rockets makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:20 Rockets makes three point jump shot
Q4 00:37 Peyton Watson blocks Alperen Sengun's two point driving layup
Q4 00:46 Jamal Murray makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:17 Jabari Smith Jr. misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:34 Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:50 Rockets makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:30 Nuggets makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q4
  1. Q4 00:00
    Alperen Sengun misses three point jump shot
  2. Q4 00:00
    Rockets offensive rebound
  3. Q4 00:00
    End of 4th Quarter.
  4. Q4 00:02
    Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson, Aaron Holiday, Kevin Durant)
  5. Q4 00:02
    Rockets personal foul
  6. Q4 00:02
    Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson, Aaron Holiday, Kevin Durant)
  7. Q4 00:02
    +1
    Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    103-101
  8. Q4 00:02
    Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Josh Okogie, Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson, Kevin Durant)
  9. Q4 00:02
    +1
    Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    103-101
  10. Q4 00:02
    Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson, Aaron Holiday, Kevin Durant)
  11. Q4 00:04
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  12. Q4 00:05
    +3
    Rockets makes three point jump shot
    103-101
  13. Q4 00:05
    Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Tim Hardaway Jr., Cameron Johnson, Peyton Watson)
  14. Q4 00:05
    Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson, Aaron Holiday, Kevin Durant)
  15. Q4 00:05
    Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Tim Hardaway Jr., Cameron Johnson, Peyton Watson)
  16. Q4 00:05
    Nuggets 60 second timeout
  17. Q4 00:05
    Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Tim Hardaway Jr., Cameron Johnson, Peyton Watson)
  18. Q4 00:05
    Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr., Aaron Holiday, Kevin Durant)
  19. Q4 00:05
    Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr., Aaron Holiday, Kevin Durant)
  20. Q4 00:10
    Amen Thompson personal foul (Take) (Jamal Murray draws the foul)
  21. Q4 00:10
    Jamal Murray misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  22. Q4 00:10
    +1
    Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    103-101
  23. Q4 00:10
    Nuggets offensive rebound
  24. Q4 00:10
    Rockets 60 second timeout
  25. Q4 00:11
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    103-101
  26. Q4 00:16
    Kevin Durant personal foul (Take) (Cameron Johnson draws the foul)
  27. Q4 00:16
    +1
    Cameron Johnson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    103-101
  28. Q4 00:16
    +1
    Cameron Johnson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    103-101
  29. Q4 00:20
    +3
    Rockets makes three point jump shot
    103-101
  30. Q4 00:23
    Rockets personal foul
  31. Q4 00:23
    +1
    Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    103-101
  32. Q4 00:23
    +1
    Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    103-101
  33. Q4 00:23
    Rockets 60 second timeout
  34. Q4 00:23
    Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Cameron Johnson, Peyton Watson, Spencer Jones)
  35. Q4 00:34
    Cameron Johnson defensive rebound
  36. Q4 00:37
    Peyton Watson blocks Alperen Sengun's two point driving layup
  37. Q4 00:46
    +2
    Jamal Murray makes two point jump shot
    103-101
  38. Q4 1:04
    Alperen Sengun turnover
  39. Q4 1:16
    Rockets offensive rebound
  40. Q4 1:16
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  41. Q4 1:17
    Jabari Smith Jr. misses three point jump shot
  42. Q4 1:31
    Kevin Durant defensive rebound
  43. Q4 1:34
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  44. Q4 1:50
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    103-101
  45. Q4 2:01
    Cameron Johnson turnover
  46. Q4 2:12
    Rockets 60 second timeout
  47. Q4 2:12
    Rockets turnover
  48. Q4 2:12
    Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr., Kevin Durant)
  49. Q4 2:30
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    103-101
  50. Q4 2:53
    Steven Adams offensive rebound
  51. Q4 2:53
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    103-101
  52. Q4 2:59
    Jabari Smith Jr. misses two point driving floating jump shot
  53. Q4 3:16
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    101-99
  54. Q4 3:40
    Amen Thompson offensive rebound
  55. Q4 3:40
    Nuggets personal foul
  56. Q4 3:40
    Rockets offensive rebound
  57. Q4 3:40
    Reed Sheppard misses regular free throw 2 of 3
  58. Q4 3:40
    Reed Sheppard misses regular free throw 3 of 3
  59. Q4 3:40
    +1
    Reed Sheppard makes regular free throw 1 of 3
    103-101
  60. Q4 3:40
    Peyton Watson defensive rebound
  61. Q4 3:40
    Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr., Steven Adams, Kevin Durant)
  62. Q4 3:42
    Kevin Durant misses three point jump shot
  63. Q4 3:45
    Alperen Sengun offensive rebound
  64. Q4 3:47
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  65. Q4 3:58
    Kevin Durant defensive rebound
  66. Q4 4:02
    Nikola Jokic misses two point jump shot
  67. Q4 4:11
    Peyton Watson defensive rebound
  68. Q4 4:14
    Kevin Durant misses two point jump shot
  69. Q4 4:23
    Amen Thompson defensive rebound
  70. Q4 4:25
    Jamal Murray misses three point jump shot
  71. Q4 4:40
    Rockets turnover
  72. Q4 4:40
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  73. Q4 4:54
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  74. Q4 4:54
    +1
    Cameron Johnson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    98-96
  75. Q4 4:54
    +1
    Cameron Johnson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    99-96
  76. Q4 4:54
    Nuggets defensive rebound
  77. Q4 4:54
    Alperen Sengun personal foul (Cameron Johnson draws the foul)
  78. Q4 5:09
    +3
    Nuggets makes three point jump shot
    103-101
  79. Q4 5:19
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  80. Q4 5:19
    Alperen Sengun personal foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)
  81. Q4 5:19
    Nuggets offensive rebound
  82. Q4 5:32
    Rockets personal foul
  83. Q4 5:32
    Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
  84. Q4 5:32
    Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Tim Hardaway Jr., Cameron Johnson, Peyton Watson)
  85. Q4 5:33
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  86. Q4 5:52
    Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
  87. Q4 5:56
    Nikola Jokic misses three point jump shot
  88. Q4 6:22
    +2
    Alperen Sengun makes two point driving hook shot
    98-96
  89. Q4 6:40
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    103-101
  90. Q4 7:01
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  91. Q4 7:01
    Nuggets defensive rebound
  92. Q4 7:01
    Amen Thompson personal foul
  93. Q4 7:03
    Jabari Smith Jr. offensive rebound
  94. Q4 7:04
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  95. Q4 7:19
    Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
  96. Q4 7:19
    Nuggets personal foul
  97. Q4 7:19
    Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr., Kevin Durant)
  98. Q4 7:21
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  99. Q4 7:22
    Spencer Jones offensive rebound
  100. Q4 7:24
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  101. Q4 7:38
    Rockets offensive rebound
  102. Q4 7:39
    Rockets turnover
  103. Q4 7:39
    Alperen Sengun misses two point jump shot
  104. Q4 8:05
    +3
    Spencer Jones makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)
    92-94
  105. Q4 8:17
    Rockets violation
  106. Q4 8:24
    +2
    Alperen Sengun makes two point turnaround jump shot
    89-94
  107. Q4 8:42
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    89-92
  108. Q4 8:54
    +2
    Amen Thompson makes two point pullup jump shot (Steven Adams assists)
    89-92
  109. Q4 8:54
    Nuggets 60 second timeout
  110. Q4 8:54
    Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Tim Hardaway Jr., Cameron Johnson, Spencer Jones)
  111. Q4 8:54
    Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr., Aaron Holiday)
  112. Q4 9:08
    Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
  113. Q4 9:11
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  114. Q4 9:25
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    89-92
  115. Q4 9:42
    +2
    Bruce Brown makes two point layup (Jamal Murray assists)
    92-94
  116. Q4 9:58
    Nuggets personal foul
  117. Q4 9:58
    +1
    Reed Sheppard makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    92-94
  118. Q4 9:58
    +1
    Reed Sheppard makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    103-101
  119. Q4 9:58
    Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Tim Hardaway Jr., Spencer Jones, Bruce Brown)
  120. Q4 10:13
    +3
    Jamal Murray makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)
    92-94
  121. Q4 10:36
    +3
    Rockets makes three point jump shot
    82-86
  122. Q4 10:41
    Nuggets turnover
  123. Q4 10:57
    +3
    Rockets makes three point jump shot
    92-94
  124. Q4 11:22
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    92-94
  125. Q4 11:34
    +2
    Amen Thompson makes two point jump shot
    92-94
  126. Q4 11:38
    Amen Thompson defensive rebound
  127. Q4 11:41
    Nikola Jokic misses three point jump shot
  128. Q4 11:46
    Aaron Holiday personal foul (Tim Hardaway Jr. draws the foul)
  129. Q4 12:00
    Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr., Steven Adams, Aaron Holiday)
  130. Q3 00:00
    Josh Okogie misses three point jump shot
  131. Q3 00:00
    Rockets offensive rebound
  132. Q3 00:00
    End of 3rd Quarter.
  133. Q4 12:00
    Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Jonas Valanciunas, Nikola Jokic, Tim Hardaway Jr., Bruce Brown)
  134. Q3 00:15
    Steven Adams defensive rebound
  135. Q3 00:17
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  136. Q3 00:32
    Amen Thompson turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
  137. Q3 00:42
    +3
    Tim Hardaway Jr. makes three point jump shot
    89-92
  138. Q3 00:50
    Tim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound
  139. Q3 00:53
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  140. Q3 1:20
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    103-101
  141. Q3 1:36
    Alperen Sengun misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  142. Q3 1:36
    Rockets offensive rebound
  143. Q3 1:36
    +1
    Alperen Sengun makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    92-94
  144. Q3 1:36
    Nuggets personal foul
  145. Q3 1:36
    Peyton Watson turnover
  146. Q3 1:41
    Jonas Valanciunas personal foul (Away from play) (Steven Adams draws the foul)
  147. Q3 1:41
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  148. Q3 1:41
    Rockets offensive rebound
  149. Q3 1:41
    Instant replay
  150. Q3 1:41
    +1
    Aaron Holiday makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    103-101
  151. Q3 1:41
    Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson, Steven Adams, Aaron Holiday)
  152. Q3 1:41
    Stoppage (Other)
  153. Q3 1:42
    Bruce Brown blocks Josh Okogie's three point jump shot
  154. Q3 1:53
    Josh Okogie offensive rebound
  155. Q3 1:58
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  156. Q3 2:08
    Kevin Durant defensive rebound
  157. Q3 2:17
    +2
    Tim Hardaway Jr. makes two point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)
    75-76
  158. Q3 2:17
    Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Jonas Valanciunas, Tim Hardaway Jr., Peyton Watson, Bruce Brown)
  159. Q3 2:17
    Rockets personal foul
  160. Q3 2:17
    Tim Hardaway Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 1
  161. Q3 2:17
    Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, Amen Thompson, Steven Adams, Aaron Holiday, Kevin Durant)
  162. Q3 2:27
    +3
    Jabari Smith Jr. makes three point jump shot
    73-76
  163. Q3 2:30
    Steven Adams defensive rebound
  164. Q3 2:33
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  165. Q3 2:44
    Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
  166. Q3 2:46
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  167. Q3 2:59
    Kevin Durant shooting foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)
  168. Q3 2:59
    +1
    Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    103-101
  169. Q3 2:59
    +1
    Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    103-101
  170. Q3 2:59
    Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Tim Hardaway Jr., Peyton Watson, Bruce Brown)
  171. Q3 3:20
    +3
    Rockets makes three point jump shot
    103-101
  172. Q3 3:25
    Kevin Durant offensive rebound
  173. Q3 3:26
    Kevin Durant misses two point pullup jump shot
  174. Q3 3:39
    Nuggets turnover
  175. Q3 3:58
    Bruce Brown turnover
  176. Q3 3:58
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    103-101
  177. Q3 3:58
    Nuggets personal foul
  178. Q3 3:58
    +1
    Steven Adams makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    103-101
  179. Q3 4:18
    Rockets personal foul
  180. Q3 4:18
    +1
    Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    103-101
  181. Q3 4:18
    +1
    Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    103-101
  182. Q3 4:29
    Nuggets 60 second timeout
  183. Q3 4:32
    +3
    Jabari Smith Jr. makes three point jump shot
    69-57
  184. Q3 4:35
    Josh Okogie offensive rebound
  185. Q3 4:36
    Bruce Brown personal foul (Kevin Durant draws the foul)
  186. Q3 4:36
    +1
    Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    69-57
  187. Q3 4:36
    Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Tim Hardaway Jr., Cameron Johnson, Peyton Watson, Bruce Brown)
  188. Q3 4:36
    Kevin Durant misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  189. Q3 4:40
    Kevin Durant defensive rebound
  190. Q3 4:42
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  191. Q3 4:48
    +2
    Jabari Smith Jr. makes two point driving finger roll layup (Reed Sheppard assists)
    69-57
  192. Q3 5:08
    Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
  193. Q3 5:10
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  194. Q3 5:21
    Rockets personal foul
  195. Q3 5:30
    Spencer Jones personal foul
  196. Q3 5:30
    +1
    Reed Sheppard makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    92-94
  197. Q3 5:30
    +3
    Rockets makes three point jump shot
    103-101
  198. Q3 5:30
    Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Cameron Johnson, Peyton Watson, Bruce Brown)
  199. Q3 5:30
    Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Josh Okogie, Jabari Smith Jr., Steven Adams, Kevin Durant)
  200. Q3 5:42
    Nikola Jokic personal foul (Alperen Sengun draws the foul)
  201. Q3 5:42
    Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr., Steven Adams, Kevin Durant)
  202. Q3 5:52
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    103-101
  203. Q3 5:58
    Peyton Watson defensive rebound
  204. Q3 6:01
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  205. Q3 6:19
    +3
    Nuggets makes three point jump shot
    67-57
  206. Q3 6:28
    Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
  207. Q3 6:34
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    101-99
  208. Q3 6:36
    Jabari Smith Jr. offensive rebound
  209. Q3 6:38
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  210. Q3 6:46
    Nikola Jokic personal foul
  211. Q3 6:47
    Nuggets personal foul
  212. Q3 6:54
    Rockets personal foul
  213. Q3 6:54
    +1
    Peyton Watson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    101-99
  214. Q3 6:54
    +1
    Peyton Watson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    101-99
  215. Q3 6:57
    Rockets turnover
  216. Q3 7:21
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    101-99
  217. Q3 7:31
    Jamal Murray defensive rebound
  218. Q3 7:33
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  219. Q3 7:51
    +3
    Jamal Murray makes three point jump shot (Peyton Watson assists)
    101-99
  220. Q3 8:13
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    101-99
  221. Q3 8:18
    Nuggets turnover
  222. Q3 8:32
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    101-99
  223. Q3 8:33
    Amen Thompson offensive rebound
  224. Q3 8:35
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  225. Q3 8:39
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  226. Q3 8:48
    Jabari Smith Jr. offensive rebound
  227. Q3 8:49
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  228. Q3 8:49
    Rockets offensive rebound
  229. Q3 8:49
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  230. Q3 8:50
    Amen Thompson misses two point jump shot
  231. Q3 8:51
    Amen Thompson offensive rebound
  232. Q3 8:54
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  233. Q3 9:12
    Peyton Watson defensive rebound
  234. Q3 9:12
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    99-96
  235. Q3 9:12
    Rockets 60 second timeout
  236. Q3 9:16
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  237. Q3 9:37
    Stoppage (Other)
  238. Q3 9:38
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    99-96
  239. Q3 9:59
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    98-96
  240. Q3 10:12
    Nuggets personal foul
  241. Q3 10:19
    +3
    Nuggets makes three point jump shot
    97-96
  242. Q3 10:35
    Peyton Watson defensive rebound
  243. Q3 10:37
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  244. Q3 10:53
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    94-96
  245. Q3 11:06
    Alperen Sengun turnover
  246. Q3 11:28
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    94-96
  247. Q3 11:38
    Kevin Durant turnover
  248. Q2 00:00
    Peyton Watson misses heave shot
  249. Q2 00:00
    Nuggets offensive rebound
  250. Q2 00:00
    End of 1st Half.
  251. Q3 12:00
    Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Cameron Johnson, Peyton Watson, Spencer Jones)
  252. Q3 12:00
    Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr., Kevin Durant)
  253. Q2 00:02
    Cameron Johnson shooting foul (Jabari Smith Jr. draws the foul)
  254. Q2 00:02
    +1
    Jabari Smith Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 3
    46-49
  255. Q2 00:02
    +1
    Jabari Smith Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 3
    46-49
  256. Q2 00:02
    Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr., Aaron Holiday, Kevin Durant)
  257. Q2 00:02
    Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Cameron Johnson, Peyton Watson, Bruce Brown)
  258. Q2 00:02
    Jabari Smith Jr. misses regular free throw 3 of 3
  259. Q2 00:02
    Peyton Watson defensive rebound
  260. Q2 00:06
    Nuggets turnover
  261. Q2 00:07
    Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr., Kevin Durant)
  262. Q2 00:07
    Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Cameron Johnson, Peyton Watson, Spencer Jones, Bruce Brown)
  263. Q2 00:31
    +1
    Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    69-57
  264. Q2 00:31
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    75-76
  265. Q2 00:31
    Nuggets personal foul
  266. Q2 00:42
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    46-44
  267. Q2 00:46
    Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
  268. Q2 00:48
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  269. Q2 1:07
    +3
    Nuggets makes three point jump shot
    75-76
  270. Q2 1:28
    +3
    Rockets makes three point jump shot
    75-76
  271. Q2 1:45
    Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
  272. Q2 1:48
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  273. Q2 2:02
    +3
    Rockets makes three point jump shot
    75-76
  274. Q2 2:16
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    69-57
  275. Q2 2:32
    Rockets personal foul
  276. Q2 2:32
    Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Josh Okogie, Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson, Kevin Durant)
  277. Q2 2:41
    Jamal Murray defensive rebound
  278. Q2 2:43
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  279. Q2 3:03
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    39-38
  280. Q2 3:14
    +2
    Amen Thompson makes two point jump shot
    37-38
  281. Q2 3:24
    Kevin Durant defensive rebound
  282. Q2 3:27
    Nikola Jokic misses two point jump shot
  283. Q2 3:50
    +3
    Reed Sheppard makes three point jump shot
    37-36
  284. Q2 3:55
    Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
  285. Q2 3:57
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  286. Q2 4:09
    Nuggets defensive rebound
  287. Q2 4:09
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  288. Q2 4:11
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  289. Q2 4:19
    Nuggets personal foul
  290. Q2 4:19
    +1
    Kevin Durant makes technical free throw 1 of 1
    69-57
  291. Q2 4:32
    Nuggets turnover
  292. Q2 4:42
    +3
    Rockets makes three point jump shot
    46-49
  293. Q2 4:42
    Nuggets 60 second timeout
  294. Q2 4:42
    Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Tim Hardaway Jr., Cameron Johnson, Peyton Watson)
  295. Q2 4:52
    Kevin Durant defensive rebound
  296. Q2 4:55
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  297. Q2 5:04
    +3
    Rockets makes three point jump shot
    37-29
  298. Q2 5:27
    +1
    Bruce Brown makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    46-49
  299. Q2 5:27
    Rockets personal foul
  300. Q2 5:27
    +1
    Bruce Brown makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    46-49
  301. Q2 5:37
    Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Tim Hardaway Jr., Cameron Johnson, Spencer Jones, Bruce Brown)
  302. Q2 5:37
    Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr., Kevin Durant)
  303. Q2 5:37
    Nuggets offensive rebound
  304. Q2 5:37
    Rockets personal foul
  305. Q2 5:38
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  306. Q2 5:44
    Cameron Johnson defensive rebound
  307. Q2 6:00
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    46-49
  308. Q2 6:05
    Spencer Jones defensive rebound
  309. Q2 6:07
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  310. Q2 6:32
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    46-49
  311. Q2 6:55
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    46-49
  312. Q2 7:08
    Nuggets turnover
  313. Q2 7:28
    +2
    Reed Sheppard makes two point jump shot
    31-24
  314. Q2 7:28
    Nuggets 60 second timeout
  315. Q2 7:28
    Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr., Steven Adams, Aaron Holiday)
  316. Q2 7:29
    Nuggets turnover
  317. Q2 7:45
    Steven Adams offensive rebound
  318. Q2 7:45
    +2
    Steven Adams makes two point tip layup
    31-24
  319. Q2 7:49
    Amen Thompson misses two point jump shot
  320. Q2 8:01
    Jamal Murray personal foul (Alperen Sengun draws the foul)
  321. Q2 8:01
    Jamal Murray turnover (offensive foul)
  322. Q2 8:17
    +2
    Reed Sheppard makes two point jump shot
    31-24
  323. Q2 8:31
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    31-24
  324. Q2 8:46
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    46-49
  325. Q2 9:01
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    31-24
  326. Q2 9:21
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  327. Q2 9:21
    Nuggets defensive rebound
  328. Q2 9:21
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  329. Q2 9:39
    +2
    Jamal Murray makes two point running alley-oop layup (Bruce Brown assists)
    27-16
  330. Q2 9:43
    Rockets turnover
  331. Q2 9:51
    Steven Adams offensive rebound
  332. Q2 9:54
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  333. Q2 9:58
    Steven Adams defensive rebound
  334. Q2 10:01
    Cameron Johnson misses two point jump shot
  335. Q2 10:13
    Amen Thompson turnover (Bruce Brown steals)
  336. Q2 10:33
    Cameron Johnson turnover (Reed Sheppard steals)
  337. Q2 10:34
    Cameron Johnson offensive rebound
  338. Q2 10:35
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  339. Q2 10:50
    Spencer Jones offensive rebound
  340. Q2 10:53
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  341. Q2 11:06
    Spencer Jones shooting foul (Alperen Sengun draws the foul)
  342. Q2 11:06
    +1
    Alperen Sengun makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    46-49
  343. Q2 11:06
    Steven Adams turnover (lane violation)
  344. Q2 11:12
    Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
  345. Q2 11:14
    Cameron Johnson misses two point pullup jump shot
  346. Q2 11:18
    Cameron Johnson offensive rebound
  347. Q2 11:19
    Jamal Murray misses three point pullup jump shot
  348. Q2 11:39
    +3
    Reed Sheppard makes three point pullup jump shot
    25-15
  349. Q2 11:44
    Spencer Jones personal foul (Loose ball) (Alperen Sengun draws the foul)
  350. Q2 11:44
    Rockets offensive rebound
  351. Q2 11:46
    Reed Sheppard misses three point pullup jump shot
  352. Q2 12:00
    Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson, Steven Adams, Aaron Holiday)
  353. Q2 12:00
    Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Jonas Valanciunas, Cameron Johnson, Spencer Jones, Bruce Brown)
  354. Q1 00:00
    End of 1st Quarter.
  355. Q2 12:00
    Start of 2nd Quarter
  356. Q1 00:01
    Nuggets offensive rebound
  357. Q1 00:01
    Nikola Jokic misses heave shot
Box Score
Nuggets
PosPlayerPts
Rockets
PosPlayerPts

Nuggets vs. Rockets: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Nuggets vs. Rockets
  • Date: Friday, November 21, 2025
  • Time: 9:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Toyota Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Rockets favored at -2.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 233.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Nuggets +130, Rockets -139

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Nuggets: 43%
  • Rockets: 57%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Nuggets 116-118 Rockets.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Nuggets a win probability of 43%, while the Rockets have a win probability of 57%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Rockets are more likely to beat the Nuggets in the NBA game at Toyota Center on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Nuggets vs. Rockets predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.