...
...
Read Article
- Predictions
Nuggets vs. Rockets Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Nuggets vs. Rockets NBA game on November 21, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
Loading...
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
103
101
Nov 22, 2:30AM Toyota Center
Nov 22, 2:30AM Toyota Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nuggets | 25 | 21 | 57 | 0 | 103 |
Rockets | 12 | 37 | 52 | 0 | 101 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
46%
54%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nuggets | 25 | 21 | 57 | 0 | 103 |
Rockets | 12 | 37 | 52 | 0 | 101 |
Q4 00:00 Alperen Sengun misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:05 Rockets makes three point jump shot
Q4 00:11 Rockets makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:20 Rockets makes three point jump shot
Q4 00:37 Peyton Watson blocks Alperen Sengun's two point driving layup
Q4 00:46 Jamal Murray makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:17 Jabari Smith Jr. misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:34 Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:50 Rockets makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:30 Nuggets makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Alperen Sengun misses three point jump shot
Rockets offensive rebound
End of 4th Quarter.
Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson, Aaron Holiday, Kevin Durant)
Rockets personal foul
Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson, Aaron Holiday, Kevin Durant)
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
103-101
Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Josh Okogie, Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson, Kevin Durant)
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
103-101
Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson, Aaron Holiday, Kevin Durant)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
103-101
Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Tim Hardaway Jr., Cameron Johnson, Peyton Watson)
Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson, Aaron Holiday, Kevin Durant)
Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Tim Hardaway Jr., Cameron Johnson, Peyton Watson)
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Tim Hardaway Jr., Cameron Johnson, Peyton Watson)
Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr., Aaron Holiday, Kevin Durant)
Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr., Aaron Holiday, Kevin Durant)
Amen Thompson personal foul (Take) (Jamal Murray draws the foul)
Jamal Murray misses regular free throw 1 of 2
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 2
103-101
Nuggets offensive rebound
Rockets 60 second timeout
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
103-101
Kevin Durant personal foul (Take) (Cameron Johnson draws the foul)
+1
Cameron Johnson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
103-101
+1
Cameron Johnson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
103-101
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
103-101
Rockets personal foul
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 2
103-101
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 2
103-101
Rockets 60 second timeout
Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Cameron Johnson, Peyton Watson, Spencer Jones)
Cameron Johnson defensive rebound
Peyton Watson blocks Alperen Sengun's two point driving layup
+2
Jamal Murray makes two point jump shot
103-101
Alperen Sengun turnover
Rockets offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jabari Smith Jr. misses three point jump shot
Kevin Durant defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
103-101
Cameron Johnson turnover
Rockets 60 second timeout
Rockets turnover
Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr., Kevin Durant)
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
103-101
Steven Adams offensive rebound
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
103-101
Jabari Smith Jr. misses two point driving floating jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
101-99
Amen Thompson offensive rebound
Nuggets personal foul
Rockets offensive rebound
Reed Sheppard misses regular free throw 2 of 3
Reed Sheppard misses regular free throw 3 of 3
+1
Reed Sheppard makes regular free throw 1 of 3
103-101
Peyton Watson defensive rebound
Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr., Steven Adams, Kevin Durant)
Kevin Durant misses three point jump shot
Alperen Sengun offensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Kevin Durant defensive rebound
Nikola Jokic misses two point jump shot
Peyton Watson defensive rebound
Kevin Durant misses two point jump shot
Amen Thompson defensive rebound
Jamal Murray misses three point jump shot
Rockets turnover
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Rockets misses three point jump shot
+1
Cameron Johnson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
98-96
+1
Cameron Johnson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
99-96
Nuggets defensive rebound
Alperen Sengun personal foul (Cameron Johnson draws the foul)
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
103-101
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Alperen Sengun personal foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)
Nuggets offensive rebound
Rockets personal foul
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Tim Hardaway Jr., Cameron Johnson, Peyton Watson)
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
Nikola Jokic misses three point jump shot
+2
Alperen Sengun makes two point driving hook shot
98-96
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
103-101
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Nuggets defensive rebound
Amen Thompson personal foul
Jabari Smith Jr. offensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
Nuggets personal foul
Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr., Kevin Durant)
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Spencer Jones offensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Rockets offensive rebound
Rockets turnover
Alperen Sengun misses two point jump shot
+3
Spencer Jones makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)
92-94
Rockets violation
+2
Alperen Sengun makes two point turnaround jump shot
89-94
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
89-92
+2
Amen Thompson makes two point pullup jump shot (Steven Adams assists)
89-92
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Tim Hardaway Jr., Cameron Johnson, Spencer Jones)
Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr., Aaron Holiday)
Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
89-92
+2
Bruce Brown makes two point layup (Jamal Murray assists)
92-94
Nuggets personal foul
+1
Reed Sheppard makes regular free throw 2 of 2
92-94
+1
Reed Sheppard makes regular free throw 1 of 2
103-101
Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Tim Hardaway Jr., Spencer Jones, Bruce Brown)
+3
Jamal Murray makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)
92-94
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
82-86
Nuggets turnover
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
92-94
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
92-94
+2
Amen Thompson makes two point jump shot
92-94
Amen Thompson defensive rebound
Nikola Jokic misses three point jump shot
Aaron Holiday personal foul (Tim Hardaway Jr. draws the foul)
Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr., Steven Adams, Aaron Holiday)
Josh Okogie misses three point jump shot
Rockets offensive rebound
End of 3rd Quarter.
Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Jonas Valanciunas, Nikola Jokic, Tim Hardaway Jr., Bruce Brown)
Steven Adams defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Amen Thompson turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
+3
Tim Hardaway Jr. makes three point jump shot
89-92
Tim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
103-101
Alperen Sengun misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Rockets offensive rebound
+1
Alperen Sengun makes regular free throw 2 of 2
92-94
Nuggets personal foul
Peyton Watson turnover
Jonas Valanciunas personal foul (Away from play) (Steven Adams draws the foul)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Rockets offensive rebound
Instant replay
+1
Aaron Holiday makes regular free throw 1 of 1
103-101
Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson, Steven Adams, Aaron Holiday)
Stoppage (Other)
Bruce Brown blocks Josh Okogie's three point jump shot
Josh Okogie offensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Kevin Durant defensive rebound
+2
Tim Hardaway Jr. makes two point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)
75-76
Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Jonas Valanciunas, Tim Hardaway Jr., Peyton Watson, Bruce Brown)
Rockets personal foul
Tim Hardaway Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, Amen Thompson, Steven Adams, Aaron Holiday, Kevin Durant)
+3
Jabari Smith Jr. makes three point jump shot
73-76
Steven Adams defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Kevin Durant shooting foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
103-101
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
103-101
Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Tim Hardaway Jr., Peyton Watson, Bruce Brown)
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
103-101
Kevin Durant offensive rebound
Kevin Durant misses two point pullup jump shot
Nuggets turnover
Bruce Brown turnover
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
103-101
Nuggets personal foul
+1
Steven Adams makes regular free throw 1 of 1
103-101
Rockets personal foul
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
103-101
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
103-101
Nuggets 60 second timeout
+3
Jabari Smith Jr. makes three point jump shot
69-57
Josh Okogie offensive rebound
Bruce Brown personal foul (Kevin Durant draws the foul)
+1
Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 1 of 2
69-57
Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Tim Hardaway Jr., Cameron Johnson, Peyton Watson, Bruce Brown)
Kevin Durant misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Kevin Durant defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
+2
Jabari Smith Jr. makes two point driving finger roll layup (Reed Sheppard assists)
69-57
Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Rockets personal foul
Spencer Jones personal foul
+1
Reed Sheppard makes regular free throw 1 of 1
92-94
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
103-101
Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Cameron Johnson, Peyton Watson, Bruce Brown)
Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Josh Okogie, Jabari Smith Jr., Steven Adams, Kevin Durant)
Nikola Jokic personal foul (Alperen Sengun draws the foul)
Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr., Steven Adams, Kevin Durant)
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
103-101
Peyton Watson defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
67-57
Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
101-99
Jabari Smith Jr. offensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Nikola Jokic personal foul
Nuggets personal foul
Rockets personal foul
+1
Peyton Watson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
101-99
+1
Peyton Watson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
101-99
Rockets turnover
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
101-99
Jamal Murray defensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
+3
Jamal Murray makes three point jump shot (Peyton Watson assists)
101-99
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
101-99
Nuggets turnover
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
101-99
Amen Thompson offensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jabari Smith Jr. offensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Rockets offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Amen Thompson misses two point jump shot
Amen Thompson offensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Peyton Watson defensive rebound
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
99-96
Rockets 60 second timeout
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Other)
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
99-96
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
98-96
Nuggets personal foul
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
97-96
Peyton Watson defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
94-96
Alperen Sengun turnover
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
94-96
Kevin Durant turnover
Peyton Watson misses heave shot
Nuggets offensive rebound
End of 1st Half.
Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Cameron Johnson, Peyton Watson, Spencer Jones)
Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr., Kevin Durant)
Cameron Johnson shooting foul (Jabari Smith Jr. draws the foul)
+1
Jabari Smith Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 3
46-49
+1
Jabari Smith Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 3
46-49
Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr., Aaron Holiday, Kevin Durant)
Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Cameron Johnson, Peyton Watson, Bruce Brown)
Jabari Smith Jr. misses regular free throw 3 of 3
Peyton Watson defensive rebound
Nuggets turnover
Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr., Kevin Durant)
Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Cameron Johnson, Peyton Watson, Spencer Jones, Bruce Brown)
+1
Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 1 of 1
69-57
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
75-76
Nuggets personal foul
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
46-44
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
75-76
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
75-76
Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
75-76
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
69-57
Rockets personal foul
Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Josh Okogie, Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson, Kevin Durant)
Jamal Murray defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
39-38
+2
Amen Thompson makes two point jump shot
37-38
Kevin Durant defensive rebound
Nikola Jokic misses two point jump shot
+3
Reed Sheppard makes three point jump shot
37-36
Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Nuggets defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Nuggets personal foul
+1
Kevin Durant makes technical free throw 1 of 1
69-57
Nuggets turnover
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
46-49
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Tim Hardaway Jr., Cameron Johnson, Peyton Watson)
Kevin Durant defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
37-29
+1
Bruce Brown makes regular free throw 1 of 2
46-49
Rockets personal foul
+1
Bruce Brown makes regular free throw 2 of 2
46-49
Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Tim Hardaway Jr., Cameron Johnson, Spencer Jones, Bruce Brown)
Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr., Kevin Durant)
Nuggets offensive rebound
Rockets personal foul
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Cameron Johnson defensive rebound
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
46-49
Spencer Jones defensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
46-49
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
46-49
Nuggets turnover
+2
Reed Sheppard makes two point jump shot
31-24
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr., Steven Adams, Aaron Holiday)
Nuggets turnover
Steven Adams offensive rebound
+2
Steven Adams makes two point tip layup
31-24
Amen Thompson misses two point jump shot
Jamal Murray personal foul (Alperen Sengun draws the foul)
Jamal Murray turnover (offensive foul)
+2
Reed Sheppard makes two point jump shot
31-24
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
31-24
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
46-49
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
31-24
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Nuggets defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Jamal Murray makes two point running alley-oop layup (Bruce Brown assists)
27-16
Rockets turnover
Steven Adams offensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Steven Adams defensive rebound
Cameron Johnson misses two point jump shot
Amen Thompson turnover (Bruce Brown steals)
Cameron Johnson turnover (Reed Sheppard steals)
Cameron Johnson offensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Spencer Jones offensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Spencer Jones shooting foul (Alperen Sengun draws the foul)
+1
Alperen Sengun makes regular free throw 1 of 1
46-49
Steven Adams turnover (lane violation)
Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
Cameron Johnson misses two point pullup jump shot
Cameron Johnson offensive rebound
Jamal Murray misses three point pullup jump shot
+3
Reed Sheppard makes three point pullup jump shot
25-15
Spencer Jones personal foul (Loose ball) (Alperen Sengun draws the foul)
Rockets offensive rebound
Reed Sheppard misses three point pullup jump shot
Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson, Steven Adams, Aaron Holiday)
Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Jonas Valanciunas, Cameron Johnson, Spencer Jones, Bruce Brown)
End of 1st Quarter.
Start of 2nd Quarter
Nuggets offensive rebound
Nikola Jokic misses heave shot
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Best Sportsbook Promotions
Why Join Multiple Sportsbooks? Loading...
Nuggets vs. Rockets: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Nuggets vs. Rockets
- Date: Friday, November 21, 2025
- Time: 9:30 PM ET
- Venue: Toyota Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Rockets favored at -2.5
- Total (Over/Under): 233.5
- Moneyline Odds: Nuggets +130, Rockets -139
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Nuggets: 43%
- Rockets: 57%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Nuggets 116-118 Rockets.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Nuggets a win probability of 43%, while the Rockets have a win probability of 57%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Rockets are more likely to beat the Nuggets in the NBA game at Toyota Center on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Nuggets vs. Rockets predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
Related Articles
More Articles Loading...
...
...
Read Article
...
...
Read Article