Nuggets vs. Hawks prediction: Why Denver is favored to win Friday's NBA game [12/5/2025]

The Atlanta Hawks and Denver Nuggets are scheduled to meet in NBA action at State Farm Arena on Friday, starting at 7:30PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations and today’s injury reports, Dimers' proven NBA model projects the Nuggets as the most likely winner of the Nuggets vs. Hawks game.

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Hawks lineup will feature stars like Jalen Johnson, Nickeil Alexander-Walker and Onyeka Okongwu, while the Nuggets will be led by Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray and Cameron Johnson.

This article offers a closer look at Friday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.

Nuggets vs. Hawks prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Friday's NBA game between the Nuggets and Hawks 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Nuggets a 65% chance of beating the Hawks. Our predicted final score has the Nuggets winning 121-116.

According to our model, the Nuggets (-4) have a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the 238.5-point over/under has a 52% chance of staying under.

Nuggets vs. Hawks odds

We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Nuggets	Hawks
Spread	-4 (-106)	+4 (-114)
Moneyline	-160	+136
Total	o238.5 (-112)	u238.5 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Nuggets vs. Hawks picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Nuggets -4	-106
Moneyline	Nuggets	-160
Total	Under 238.5	-105

According to our best NBA bets for Friday, the top play to make on this game is Nuggets to win.

Nuggets vs. Hawks player props

Looking for Nuggets vs. Hawks NBA player props? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at State Farm Arena.

Nikola Jokic is expected to lead the Nuggets with 27 points, 11 rebounds and 10 assists, while Jalen Johnson is projected to have 21 points, 9 rebounds and 7 assists for the Hawks.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every game this season.

Nuggets prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Nuggets are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Nikola Jokic	27	11	10	2	62
Jamal Murray	24	4	6	3	45
Cameron Johnson	17	5	4	3	34
Tim Hardaway	13	2	2	3	22
Peyton Watson	13	6	2	1	30

Hawks prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Hawks:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Jalen Johnson	21	9	7	1	49
N. Alexander-Walker	18	4	4	3	33
Onyeka Okongwu	15	7	3	2	33
K. Porzingis	14	4	2	2	28
Z. Risacher	13	3	2	2	24

Nuggets vs. Hawks game-day updates and essential details

Friday's game between the Hawks and Nuggets at State Farm Arena is scheduled to start at 7:30PM ET.

• Who: Denver Nuggets vs. Atlanta Hawks
• Date: Friday, December 5, 2025
• Time: 7:30PM ET/4:30PM PT
• Venue: State Farm Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Nuggets, with a 65% win probability, will likely beat the Hawks on Friday, with Nikola Jokic projected for a game-high 62 fantasy points.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Nuggets vs. Hawks insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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