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Nuggets vs. Hawks prediction: Why Denver is favored to win Friday's NBA game [12/5/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Denver Nuggets vs Atlanta Hawks predictions for NBA Friday.
The Atlanta Hawks will square off with the Denver Nuggets in NBA action at State Farm Arena on Friday, beginning at 7:30PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations and today’s injury news, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Nuggets as the most likely winner of the Nuggets vs. Hawks game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Hawks lineup will feature stars like Jalen Johnson, Nickeil Alexander-Walker and Kristaps Porzingis, while the Nuggets will rely on Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray and Cameron Johnson.
This article offers a closer look at Friday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Nuggets vs. Hawks prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's NBA game between the Nuggets and Hawks 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Nuggets a 68% chance of beating the Hawks. Our predicted final score has the Nuggets winning 121-116.
According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Nuggets and Hawks each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 238.5 points has a 52% chance of staying under.
Nuggets vs. Hawks odds
We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Nuggets | Hawks |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -5.5 (-105) | +5.5 (-115) |
| Moneyline | -190 | +170 |
| Total | o238.5 (-108) | u238.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Nuggets vs. Hawks picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Nuggets -5.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Nuggets | -190 |
| Total | Under 238.5 | -110 |
According to our best NBA bets for Friday, the top play to make on this game is Nuggets to win.
Nuggets vs. Hawks player props
Looking for Denver vs. Atlanta NBA prop bets? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at State Farm Arena.
Nikola Jokic is expected to lead the Nuggets with 27 points, 12 rebounds and 10 assists, while Jalen Johnson is projected to have 21 points, 9 rebounds and 7 assists for the Hawks.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every game this season.
Nuggets prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Nuggets are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic | 27 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 63 |
| Jamal Murray | 24 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 44 |
| Cameron Johnson | 17 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 34 |
| Tim Hardaway | 13 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 22 |
| Peyton Watson | 13 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 30 |
Hawks prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Hawks:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Johnson | 21 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 49 |
| N. Alexander-Walker | 18 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 34 |
| K. Porzingis | 17 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 34 |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 15 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 33 |
| Z. Risacher | 13 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 25 |
Nuggets vs. Hawks game-day updates and essential details
Friday's action between the Hawks and Nuggets at State Farm Arena is scheduled to commence at 7:30PM ET.
- Who: Denver Nuggets vs. Atlanta Hawks
- Date: Friday, December 5, 2025
- Time: 7:30PM ET/4:30PM PT
- Venue: State Farm Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Nuggets, with a 68% win probability, will likely beat the Hawks on Friday, with Nikola Jokic projected for a game-high 63 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Nuggets vs. Hawks insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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