...
...
Read Article
- Predictions
Nuggets vs. Hawks Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Nuggets vs. Hawks NBA game on December 5, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
Loading...
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
134
133
Dec 6, 12:30AM State Farm Arena
Dec 6, 12:30AM State Farm Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nuggets | 23 | 31 | 40 | 40 | 134 |
Hawks | 41 | 32 | 30 | 30 | 133 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
61%
39%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nuggets | 23 | 31 | 40 | 40 | 134 |
Hawks | 41 | 32 | 30 | 30 | 133 |
Q4 00:00 Jamal Murray misses two point driving layup
Q4 1:59 Jalen Johnson makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:27 Hawks makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:40 Nuggets makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:58 Hawks makes three point jump shot
Q4 5:16 Nuggets makes three point jump shot
Q4 5:34 Nickeil Alexander-Walker makes two point jump shot
Q4 5:44 Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q4 6:11 Cameron Johnson makes three point jump shot
Q4 6:41 Nickeil Alexander-Walker misses two point pullup jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Jamal Murray misses two point driving layup
Nuggets offensive rebound
End of 4th Quarter.
Nuggets lineup change (Spencer Jones, Bruce Brown, Peyton Watson, Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray)
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
134-133
+2
Jalen Johnson makes two point jump shot
127-124
Jamal Murray turnover (bad pass) (Jalen Johnson steals)
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
134-133
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
134-133
Nuggets 60 second timeout
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
134-133
Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
134-133
+2
Nickeil Alexander-Walker makes two point jump shot
120-111
Jonas Valanciunas shooting foul (Nickeil Alexander-Walker draws the foul)
Zaccharie Risacher defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
+3
Cameron Johnson makes three point jump shot
120-111
Bruce Brown personal foul (Jalen Johnson draws the foul)
Onyeka Okongwu offensive rebound
Nickeil Alexander-Walker misses two point pullup jump shot
+3
Tim Hardaway Jr. makes three point jump shot
117-106
Cameron Johnson defensive rebound
Jalen Johnson misses three point jump shot
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
114-106
Jamal Murray defensive rebound
Nuggets personal foul
Bruce Brown personal foul (Onyeka Okongwu draws the foul)
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
134-133
Luke Kennard personal foul
Hawks lineup change (Zaccharie Risacher, Dyson Daniels, Jalen Johnson, Onyeka Okongwu, Nickeil Alexander-Walker)
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 1
134-133
Jalen Johnson turnover (traveling)
+2
Jonas Valanciunas makes two point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)
111-106
+3
Cameron Johnson makes three point jump shot
106-106
Hawks turnover
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Vit Krejci misses three point jump shot
Cameron Johnson misses two point pullup jump shot
Tim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
+3
Mouhamed Gueye makes three point jump shot (Vit Krejci assists)
117-106
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
117-106
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Nuggets lineup change (Cameron Johnson, Bruce Brown, Jonas Valanciunas, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray)
+3
Vit Krejci makes three point jump shot
117-106
+3
Tim Hardaway Jr. makes three point jump shot
117-106
Luke Kennard defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Nuggets turnover
Kristaps Porzingis personal foul
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
134-133
Peyton Watson personal foul (Kristaps Porzingis draws the foul)
Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
Kristaps Porzingis personal foul
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
117-106
+2
Nikola Jokic makes two point jump shot
88-91
Hawks lineup change (Dyson Daniels, Jalen Johnson, Kristaps Porzingis, Luke Kennard, Vit Krejci)
+2
Dyson Daniels makes two point running layup (Jalen Johnson assists)
88-91
Nuggets lineup change (Bruce Brown, Peyton Watson, Nikola Jokic, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray)
Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
Jamal Murray misses three point stepback jump shot
Hawks personal foul
Jalen Johnson misses two point jump shot
Cameron Johnson turnover
Cameron Johnson defensive rebound
Jalen Johnson misses three point jump shot
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
106-106
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
106-106
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
106-106
Spencer Jones offensive rebound
Cameron Johnson misses two point jump shot
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
106-106
+1
Spencer Jones makes regular free throw 2 of 2
89-96
Zaccharie Risacher shooting foul (Spencer Jones draws the foul)
Hawks lineup change (Zaccharie Risacher, Dyson Daniels, Jalen Johnson, Kristaps Porzingis, Nickeil Alexander-Walker)
+2
Zaccharie Risacher makes two point putback layup
106-106
Spencer Jones defensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Spencer Jones personal foul
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
134-133
Peyton Watson defensive rebound
Nickeil Alexander-Walker misses two point jump shot
+3
Jamal Murray makes three point jump shot (Peyton Watson assists)
89-96
Jalen Johnson misses two point pullup jump shot
+2
Jamal Murray makes two point running layup
134-133
Peyton Watson defensive rebound
Onyeka Okongwu misses three point jump shot
Spencer Jones shooting foul (Jalen Johnson draws the foul)
Jalen Johnson offensive rebound
Nickeil Alexander-Walker misses three point jump shot
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Jalen Johnson personal foul (Jamal Murray draws the foul)
Cameron Johnson shooting foul (Onyeka Okongwu draws the foul)
+2
Nikola Jokic makes two point driving hook shot (Jamal Murray assists)
106-106
Cameron Johnson defensive rebound
Onyeka Okongwu misses three point jump shot
Nuggets lineup change (Spencer Jones, Cameron Johnson, Peyton Watson, Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray)
Hawks lineup change (Zaccharie Risacher, Dyson Daniels, Jalen Johnson, Onyeka Okongwu, Nickeil Alexander-Walker)
End of 1st Half.
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Peyton Watson defensive rebound
Nuggets offensive rebound
Hawks personal foul
+1
Bruce Brown makes regular free throw 2 of 2
134-133
Bruce Brown misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Nuggets lineup change (Spencer Jones, Bruce Brown, Peyton Watson, Zeke Nnaji, Jamal Murray)
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
120-111
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Nickeil Alexander-Walker personal foul (Loose ball) (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)
Dyson Daniels offensive rebound
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Dyson Daniels misses two point putback layup
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
106-106
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
106-106
Hawks lineup change (Zaccharie Risacher, Dyson Daniels, Jalen Johnson, Kristaps Porzingis, Vit Krejci)
Hawks misses three point jump shot
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
48-67
+2
Kristaps Porzingis makes two point running dunk
48-67
Bruce Brown turnover (Kristaps Porzingis steals)
+2
Jalen Johnson makes two point jump shot
48-67
Jalen Johnson offensive rebound
Jalen Johnson offensive rebound
Peyton Watson blocks Jalen Johnson's two point putback layup
Zaccharie Risacher misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Spencer Jones makes two point jump shot
48-67
Hawks turnover
Nickeil Alexander-Walker shooting foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
48-67
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
48-67
+3
Nickeil Alexander-Walker makes three point jump shot
48-67
+1
Bruce Brown makes regular free throw 1 of 2
48-67
Zaccharie Risacher personal foul (Bruce Brown draws the foul)
+1
Bruce Brown makes regular free throw 2 of 2
120-111
Jamal Murray defensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
Nikola Jokic misses three point jump shot
Peyton Watson defensive rebound
Peyton Watson personal foul (Kristaps Porzingis draws the foul)
Kristaps Porzingis misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+1
Kristaps Porzingis makes regular free throw 1 of 2
120-111
Jalen Johnson shooting foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)
Nikola Jokic offensive rebound
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
120-111
Hawks lineup change (Zaccharie Risacher, Dyson Daniels, Jalen Johnson, Kristaps Porzingis, Nickeil Alexander-Walker)
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
120-111
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Jamal Murray defensive rebound
Dyson Daniels misses two point jump shot
Dyson Daniels offensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Nikola Jokic turnover (lost ball) (Jalen Johnson steals)
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
73-79
Jamal Murray turnover (Dyson Daniels steals)
Hawks turnover
Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Nickeil Alexander-Walker offensive rebound
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
120-111
Hawks misses two point jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
120-111
Hawks turnover
Bruce Brown turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Hawks turnover
Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Nuggets lineup change (Spencer Jones, Bruce Brown, Peyton Watson, Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray)
Nuggets lineup change (Spencer Jones, Bruce Brown, Peyton Watson, Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray)
+2
Nickeil Alexander-Walker makes two point jump shot (Jalen Johnson assists)
58-75
Nuggets turnover
Dyson Daniels personal foul (Jamal Murray draws the foul)
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Hawks lineup change (Dyson Daniels, Jalen Johnson, Onyeka Okongwu, Vit Krejci, Nickeil Alexander-Walker)
Nuggets lineup change (Cameron Johnson, Bruce Brown, Peyton Watson, Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray)
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
48-67
Jonas Valanciunas offensive rebound
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
48-67
Tim Hardaway Jr. misses two point driving layup
Tim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Nuggets turnover
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
32-49
+2
Jonas Valanciunas makes two point driving layup
48-67
+2
Jalen Johnson makes two point jump shot
48-67
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
48-67
Bruce Brown defensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Tim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
48-67
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
48-67
Hawks 60 second timeout
Hawks lineup change (Jalen Johnson, Onyeka Okongwu, Luke Kennard, Vit Krejci, Nickeil Alexander-Walker)
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
40-63
Luke Kennard turnover (Bruce Brown steals)
Nuggets turnover
+3
Vit Krejci makes three point jump shot
40-63
Onyeka Okongwu defensive rebound
Tim Hardaway Jr. misses three point jump shot
Jonas Valanciunas defensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
40-63
Zeke Nnaji defensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Hawks personal foul
Tim Hardaway Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 3
Nuggets offensive rebound
+1
Tim Hardaway Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 3
40-63
+1
Tim Hardaway Jr. makes regular free throw 3 of 3
40-63
+3
Vit Krejci makes three point jump shot
24-44
Keaton Wallace defensive rebound
+1
Tim Hardaway Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
24-41
Tim Hardaway Jr. misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Hawks personal foul
Bruce Brown defensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Jump ball. (Tim Hardaway Jr. gains possession)
Nuggets offensive rebound
End of 1st Quarter.
Hawks lineup change (Mouhamed Gueye, Onyeka Okongwu, Luke Kennard, Keaton Wallace, Vit Krejci)
Nuggets lineup change (Cameron Johnson, Bruce Brown, Jonas Valanciunas, Tim Hardaway Jr., Zeke Nnaji)
Tim Hardaway Jr. misses three point jump shot
Kristaps Porzingis shooting foul
Hawks 60 second timeout
Instant replay
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
+2
Kristaps Porzingis makes two point jump shot
23-41
Kristaps Porzingis defensive rebound
Tim Hardaway Jr. misses three point jump shot
Nuggets defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Hawks misses three point jump shot
+3
Bruce Brown makes three point jump shot (Cameron Johnson assists)
23-39
Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
Nikola Jokic misses two point turnaround jump shot
Nikola Jokic offensive rebound
+2
Kristaps Porzingis makes two point jump shot
23-39
Vit Krejci defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Tim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
+2
Tim Hardaway Jr. makes two point stepback jump shot
23-39
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
23-39
Luke Kennard turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
Hawks 60 second timeout
Instant replay
Nuggets personal foul
Instant replay
Nuggets lineup change (Cameron Johnson, Bruce Brown, Nikola Jokic, Tim Hardaway Jr., Zeke Nnaji)
Hawks challenge timeout
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Mouhamed Gueye defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Peyton Watson defensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Keaton Wallace defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Hawks personal foul
Hawks lineup change (Mouhamed Gueye, Kristaps Porzingis, Luke Kennard, Keaton Wallace, Vit Krejci)
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
18-34
Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
18-32
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
18-29
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Hawks lineup change (Dyson Daniels, Jalen Johnson, Kristaps Porzingis, Luke Kennard, Vit Krejci)
Nuggets lineup change (Bruce Brown, Peyton Watson, Nikola Jokic, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray)
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
15-29
Zaccharie Risacher defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
15-26
Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Tim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
15-23
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
13-23
Nickeil Alexander-Walker defensive rebound
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
23-41
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Hawks personal foul
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
13-19
Nuggets personal foul
+1
Zaccharie Risacher makes regular free throw 1 of 1
13-20
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
13-17
Hawks personal foul
Dyson Daniels turnover (offensive foul)
Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
11-17
Hawks 60 second timeout
Nuggets lineup change (Spencer Jones, Peyton Watson, Nikola Jokic, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray)
Nuggets turnover
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
11-15
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
11-13
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
9-13
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
9-11
Jamal Murray offensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Spencer Jones offensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
6-11
Dyson Daniels defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
6-8
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
6-5
Nikola Jokic offensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Hawks turnover
Onyeka Okongwu defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
4-5
Hawks personal foul
Cameron Johnson misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Hawks turnover
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
2-5
Spencer Jones offensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Hawks turnover
Nuggets violation
Nickeil Alexander-Walker defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
0-5
Onyeka Okongwu defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
0-2
Onyeka Okongwu defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Nuggets offensive rebound
Hawks lineup change (Zaccharie Risacher, Dyson Daniels, Jalen Johnson, Onyeka Okongwu, Nickeil Alexander-Walker)
Nuggets lineup change (Spencer Jones, Cameron Johnson, Peyton Watson, Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray)
Start of 1st Quarter
Nikola Jokic vs. Onyeka Okongwu (Nuggets gains possession)
Best Sportsbook Promotions
Why Join Multiple Sportsbooks? Loading...
Nuggets vs. Hawks: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Nuggets vs. Hawks
- Date: Friday, December 5, 2025
- Time: 7:30 PM ET
- Venue: State Farm Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Hawks favored at -5.5
- Total (Over/Under): 245.5
- Moneyline Odds: Nuggets +150, Hawks +135
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Nuggets: 63%
- Hawks: 37%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Nuggets 121-117 Hawks.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Nuggets a win probability of 63%, while the Hawks have a win probability of 37%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Nuggets are more likely to beat the Hawks in the NBA game at State Farm Arena on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Nuggets vs. Hawks predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
Related Articles
More Articles Loading...
...
...
Read Article
...
...
Read Article