Daniil Medvedev vs. Alex de Minaur prediction, odds, picks for ATP Shanghai Masters 2025

Daniil Medvedev and Alex de Minaur are scheduled to meet in the quarterfinals of the ATP Shanghai Masters event on Friday.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced tennis model predicts Alex de Minaur as the most likely winner of the match.

For expanded analysis of Friday's match, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Medvedev vs. de Minaur predictions page.

Medvedev vs. de Minaur prediction: Who will win and advance to the semifinals?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's Medvedev-de Minaur men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives de Minaur a 61% chance of defeating Medvedev at the ATP Shanghai Masters tournament.

Additionally, de Minaur has a 58% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show that the bookmakers have got it right with the -2.5 games spread, with each player projected to have a 50-50 chance of covering, while the under 22.5 games has a 54% chance** of hitting, according to our model.

Daniil Medvedev vs. Alex de Minaur odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Medvedev	de Minaur
Moneyline	+162	-190
First Set	+137	-175
Game Spread	-2.5 (-120)	+2.5 (-110)
Total Games	o22.5 (-128)	u22.5 (-102)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Medvedev vs. de Minaur picks and best bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Medvedev vs. de Minaur match is on the first set.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the current odds, reveal the best tennis picks and tennis best bets for every tournament throughout the year.

Unlimited access to our full set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Medvedev vs. de Minaur updates and essential details

The ATP Shanghai Masters match between Daniil Medvedev and Alex de Minaur is scheduled to commence on Friday at 6:30AM ET.

• Who: Daniil Medvedev vs. Alex de Minaur
• Date: Friday, October 10, 2025
• Approx. Time: 6:30AM ET/3:30AM PT
• Tournament: ATP Shanghai, China Men's Singles 2025
• Round: Quarterfinals

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Dimers' comprehensive preview of Friday's Medvedev vs. de Minaur match includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Daniil Medvedev vs. Alex de Minaur picks, be sure to check out the latest tennis predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Key tennis betting guides and insights

• Learn how to bet on tennis and understand how tennis odds work
• Explore where sports odds come from and how they’re applied to tennis matches
• Stay informed with guides on where online sports betting is currently legal and which states could legalize next
• Improve your chances with proven sports betting strategies that apply to tennis and more

Conclusion

We predict Alex de Minaur, with a 61% win probability, will likely beat Daniil Medvedev at the ATP Shanghai Masters tournament.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Medvedev vs. de Minaur insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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