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Wings vs. Fever prediction: Caitlin Clark projected to ccore 19 points in Saturday's WNBA matchup [5/9/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Dallas Wings vs Indiana Fever predictions for WNBA Saturday.
The Indiana Fever will take on the Dallas Wings in WNBA action at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Saturday, commencing at 1:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven WNBA model predicts the Fever as the most likely winner of the Wings vs. Fever game.
The Fever, with stars such as Kelsey Mitchell, Caitlin Clark and Aliyah Boston, are set to take on the Wings, who feature Paige Bueckers, Arike Ogunbowale and Maddy Siegrist.
Clark, the Fever's No. 1 pick in the 2024 WNBA draft, is expected to deliver a standout performance with a projected 19 points and 3 threes.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Wings vs. Fever prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's WNBA game between the Wings and Fever, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Fever a 76% chance of beating the Wings.
According to our model, the Fever (-5.5) have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 177.5 points has a 61% chance of staying under.
Wings vs. Fever odds
We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Wings | Fever |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +5.5 (-105) | -5.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | +200 | -245 |
| Total | o177.5 (-110) | u177.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Wings vs. Fever picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Fever -5.5 | -110 |
| Moneyline | Fever | -245 |
| Total | Under 177.5 | -110 |
According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 177.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Wings vs. Fever player props
Looking for Wings vs. Fever WNBA prop bets? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Gainbridge Fieldhouse.
Paige Bueckers is expected to lead the Wings with 16 points, 3 rebounds and 5 assists, while Kelsey Mitchell is projected to have 21 points, 2 rebounds and 4 assists for the Fever.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's WNBA first basket picks.
Wings prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Wings are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paige Bueckers | 16 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 32 |
| A. Ogunbowale | 14 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 28 |
| Maddy Siegrist | 13 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 23 |
| Azzi Fudd | 11 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 22 |
| Alanna Smith | 10 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 28 |
Fever prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Fever:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Mitchell | 21 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 34 |
| Caitlin Clark | 19 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 48 |
| Aliyah Boston | 17 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 40 |
| M. Hines-Allen | 10 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 29 |
| M. Billings | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17 |
Wings vs. Fever game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's matchup between the Fever and Wings at Gainbridge Fieldhouse is scheduled to commence at 1:00 PM ET.
- Who: Dallas Wings vs. Indiana Fever
- Date: Saturday, May 9, 2026
- Time: 1:00 PM ET/10:00AM PT
- Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse
Conclusion
We predict the Fever, with a 76% win probability, will likely beat the Wings in Saturday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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