Mavericks vs. Lakers prediction: Lakers to win, Luka Doncic projected for 33 points in Black Friday NBA game [11/28/2025]

The Los Angeles Lakers will square off with the Dallas Mavericks in NBA Cup Black Friday action at Crypto.com Arena on Friday, starting at 10:00PM ET.

Based on updated simulations and today’s injury reports, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Lakers as the most likely winner of the Mavericks vs. Lakers game.

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Lakers lineup will feature players like Luka Doncic, LeBron James and Austin Reaves, while the Mavericks will rely on Anthony Davis, P.J. Washington and Cooper Flagg.

Doncic is expected to shine with a projected 33 points and 4 threes.

This article offers a closer look at Friday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.

Mavs vs. Lakers prediction: Who will win NBA Cup game?

As part of Dimers' NBA predictions coverage—and following a review of recent results—our pregame model has generated moneyline, spread, and over/under probabilities for Friday's clash between the Mavericks and Lakers.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Lakers a 78% chance of beating the Mavericks. Our predicted final score has the Lakers winning 120-111.

According to our model, the Mavericks (+9.5) have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the 232.5-point over/under has a 51% chance of staying under.

Mavericks vs. Lakers odds

We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Mavericks vs. Lakers picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

According to our best NBA bets for Friday, the top play to make on this game is Mavericks +9.5 at the spread.

Mavericks vs. Lakers player props

NBA prop bets are an enjoyable way to wager on Friday's Mavericks vs. Lakers matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Crypto.com Arena.

Anthony Davis is expected to lead the Mavericks with 19 points, 8 rebounds and 3 assists, while Luka Doncic is projected to have 33 points, 9 rebounds and 9 assists for the Lakers.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every game this season.

Mavericks prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Mavericks are:

Lakers prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Lakers:

Mavs vs. Lakers game-day updates and essential details

Friday's game between the Lakers and Mavericks at Crypto.com Arena is scheduled to commence at 10:00PM ET.

• Who: Dallas Mavericks vs. Los Angeles Lakers
• Date: Friday, November 28, 2025 (Black Friday)
• Time: 10:00PM ET/7:00PM PT
• Venue: Crypto.com Arena
• Tournament details: 2025 Emirates NBA Cup

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Conclusion

We predict the Lakers, with a 78% win probability, will likely beat the Mavericks on Black Friday, with Luka Doncic projected for a game-high 65 fantasy points.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Mavericks vs. Lakers insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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