Corentin Moutet vs. Daniil Medvedev prediction, odds, picks for ATP Almaty 2025

Corentin Moutet and Daniil Medvedev will lock horns in the final of the ATP Almaty event on Sunday.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven tennis model projects Daniil Medvedev as the most likely winner of the match.

"Using the most recent data, we ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Moutet-Medvedev match," said Dimers data analyst Greg Butyn.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows Daniil Medvedev with a win probability of 65%, while Corentin Moutet has 35%."

For further insights into Sunday's match, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Moutet vs. Medvedev predictions page.

Moutet vs. Medvedev prediction: Who will win the final?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's Moutet-Medvedev men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives Medvedev a 65% chance of winning against Moutet at the ATP Almaty tournament.

Additionally, Medvedev has a 61% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Moutet (+3.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 22.5 games has a 53% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Corentin Moutet vs. Daniil Medvedev odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Moutet	Medvedev
Moneyline	+240	-250
First Set	+175	-227
Game Spread	-3.5 (-110)	+3.5 (-120)
Total Games	o22.5 (-115)	u22.5 (-116)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Moutet vs. Medvedev picks and best bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Moutet vs. Medvedev match is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the current odds, reveal the best tennis picks and tennis best bets for every tournament throughout the year.

Unlimited access to our complete set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Moutet vs. Medvedev updates and essential details

The ATP Almaty match between Corentin Moutet and Daniil Medvedev is scheduled to commence on Sunday at 6:00AM ET.

• Who: Corentin Moutet vs. Daniil Medvedev
• Date: Sunday, October 19, 2025
• Approx. Time: 6:00AM ET/3:00AM PT
• Tournament: ATP Almaty, Kazakhstan Men's Singles 2025
• Round: Final

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Dimers' full preview of Sunday's Moutet vs. Medvedev match includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Corentin Moutet vs. Daniil Medvedev picks, be sure to check out the latest tennis predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Key tennis betting guides and insights

• Learn how to bet on tennis and understand how tennis odds work
• Explore where sports odds come from and how they’re applied to tennis matches
• Stay informed with guides on where online sports betting is currently legal and which states could legalize next
• Improve your chances with proven sports betting strategies that apply to tennis and more

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Conclusion

We predict Daniil Medvedev, with a 65% win probability, will likely beat Corentin Moutet at the ATP Almaty tournament.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Moutet vs. Medvedev insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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