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Reds vs. Phillies Prediction: Philadelphia Predicted to Win Friday's MLB Matchup [7/4/2025]

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Written by Dave Garofolo

Our expert prediction for Friday's Cincinnati Reds vs Philadelphia Phillies matchup.

Cincinnati Reds-Philadelphia Phillies Predictions and Game Preview.
Citizens Bank Park sets the stage for the MLB matchup between the Cincinnati Reds and Philadelphia Phillies this Friday.

The Philadelphia Phillies will take on the Cincinnati Reds in MLB action at Citizens Bank Park on Friday, starting at 1:05PM ET.

The Phillies will start Jesús Luzardo (7-4, 4.06 ERA), while the Reds will counter with Andrew Abbott (7-1, 1.79 ERA).

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced MLB model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Phillies as the most likely winner of today's game.

For further insights into Friday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Reds vs. Phillies predictions page.

Phillies vs. Reds Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Run Line?

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's MLB game between the Reds and Phillies 10,000 times as part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Phillies a 59% chance of beating the Reds.

According to our model, the Reds (+1.5) have a 60% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 8 runs has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

 

Reds vs. Phillies Odds [7/4/2025]

We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Reds Phillies
Run Line +1.5 (-155) -1.5 (+134)
Moneyline +140 -156
Total o8 (-115) u8 (-102)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Reds vs. Phillies Picks and Best Bets

Our model's strongest edge in today's Reds vs. Phillies matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the best odds, reveal the best MLB picks and MLB best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Calling Our Shot's Free ⚾️ Picks

Calling Our Shot produces daily MLB betting content, including the free picks featured below.

Reds vs. Phillies Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Friday's MLB action between the Phillies and Reds at Citizens Bank Park is scheduled to commence at 1:05PM ET.

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Friday's Reds vs. Phillies matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Reds vs. Phillies picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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Conclusion

We predict the Phillies, with a 59% win probability, will likely beat the Reds on Friday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Reds vs. Phillies insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on MLB

Stay informed with the latest MLB betting news and MLB parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our World Series odds offer the most up-to-date probabilities for the World Series, American League, National League and each division.

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.

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