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Sky vs. Fire prediction: Why Chicago is favored to win Saturday's WNBA matchup [5/9/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Chicago Sky vs Portland Fire predictions for WNBA Saturday.
The Portland Fire will take on the favored Chicago Sky in WNBA action at Moda Center on Saturday, commencing at 9:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced WNBA model predicts the Sky as the most likely winner of the Sky vs. Fire game.
The Fire, who have the likes of Carla Leite, Luisa Geiselsoder and Haley Jones, are set to take on the Sky, featuring Kamilla Cardoso, Rickea Jackson and Skylar Diggins-Smith.
This article offers further insights into Saturday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Sky vs. Fire prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's WNBA matchup between the Sky and Fire, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Sky a 67% chance of defeating the Fire.
According to our model, the Fire (+5.5) have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 161.5 points has a 54% chance of going over.
Sky vs. Fire odds
We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Sky | Fire |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -5.5 (-110) | +5.5 (-108) |
| Moneyline | -225 | +195 |
| Total | o161.5 (-110) | u161.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Sky vs. Fire picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Fire +5.5 | -108 |
| Moneyline | Fire | +195 |
| Total | Over 161.5 | -110 |
According to our best WNBA bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 161.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Sky vs. Fire player props
WNBA player props are an exciting way to wager on the Chicago vs. Portland game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Moda Center.
Kamilla Cardoso is expected to lead the Sky with 16 points, 9 rebounds and 3 assists, while Carla Leite is projected to have 14 points, 2 rebounds and 4 assists for the Fire.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's WNBA first basket picks.
Sky prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Sky are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kamilla Cardoso | 16 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 37 |
| Rickea Jackson | 14 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 25 |
| S. Diggins-Smith | 14 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 31 |
| Rachel Banham | 10 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 20 |
| Jacy Sheldon | 8 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 19 |
Fire prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Fire:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carla Leite | 14 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 27 |
| L. Geiselsoder | 10 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 28 |
| Haley Jones | 10 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 27 |
| B. Carleton | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 19 |
| Emily Engstler | 6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 24 |
Sky vs. Fire game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's game between the Fire and Sky at Moda Center is scheduled to commence at 9:00 PM ET.
- Who: Chicago Sky vs. Portland Fire
- Date: Saturday, May 9, 2026
- Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT
- Venue: Moda Center
Conclusion
We predict the Sky, with a 67% win probability, will likely beat the Fire in Saturday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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