Hornets vs. Hawks prediction: Why Atlanta is favored to win Sunday's NBA game [11/23/2025]

The Atlanta Hawks will square off with the Charlotte Hornets in NBA action at State Farm Arena on Sunday, beginning at 6:00PM ET.

Based on updated simulations and today’s injury reports, Dimers' proven NBA model predicts the Hawks as the most likely winner of the Hornets vs. Hawks game.

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Hawks lineup will feature stars like Jalen Johnson, Nickeil Alexander-Walker and Onyeka Okongwu, while the Hornets will be led by Miles Bridges, Kon Knueppel and Collin Sexton.

This article offers further insights into Sunday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.

Hornets vs. Hawks prediction: Who will win and cover?

As part of Dimers' NBA predictions coverage—and following a review of recent results—our pregame model has generated moneyline, spread, and over/under probabilities for Sunday's clash between the Hornets and Hawks.

Our independent predictive model gives the Hawks a 74% chance of beating the Hornets. Our predicted final score has the Hawks winning 117-110.

According to our model, the Hornets (+7.5) have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 228.5 points has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

Hornets vs. Hawks odds

We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Hornets	Hawks
Spread	+7.5 (+100)	-7.5 (-120)
Moneyline	+260	-300
Total	o228.5 (-106)	u228.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Hornets vs. Hawks picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Hornets +7.5	+100
Moneyline	Hawks	-300
Total	Over 228.5	-106

According to our best NBA bets for Sunday, the top play to make on this game is Hornets +7.5 at the spread.

Hornets vs. Hawks player props

Looking for Charlotte vs. Atlanta NBA player props? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at State Farm Arena.

Miles Bridges is expected to lead the Hornets with 24 points, 7 rebounds and 5 assists, while Jalen Johnson is projected to have 23 points, 10 rebounds and 7 assists for the Hawks.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every game this season.

Hornets prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Hornets are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Miles Bridges	24	7	5	3	45
Kon Knueppel	21	6	4	4	39
Collin Sexton	19	3	5	2	35
Moussa Diabate	13	10	2	0	33
Tre Mann	11	3	4	2	26

Hawks prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Hawks:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Jalen Johnson	23	10	7	2	53
N. Alexander-Walker	18	4	4	3	35
Onyeka Okongwu	17	9	3	2	40
Z. Risacher	15	4	2	2	26
Dyson Daniels	13	6	6	1	37

Hornets vs. Hawks game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's game between the Hawks and Hornets at State Farm Arena is scheduled to start at 6:00PM ET.

• Who: Charlotte Hornets vs. Atlanta Hawks
• Date: Sunday, November 23, 2025
• Time: 6:00PM ET/3:00PM PT
• Venue: State Farm Arena

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Conclusion

We predict the Hawks, with a 74% win probability, will likely beat the Hornets on Sunday, with Jalen Johnson projected for a game-high 53 fantasy points.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Hornets vs. Hawks insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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