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Charlotte FC vs. New York City prediction, odds, MLS Cup first round picks [11/7/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Charlotte FC vs New York City predictions for MLS Cup Friday.
MLS Cup action continues on Friday at 7:00PM ET as NY City takes on Charlotte in the first round at .
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven MLS model predicts Charlotte as the most likely winner of the Charlotte vs. NY City game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Friday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Charlotte FC vs. New York City prediction: Who will win MLS Cup first round matchup?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's MLS game between Charlotte and NY City 10,000 times as part of our MLS predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently suggests a 41.0% chance of Charlotte winning, a 33.0% chance for NY City, and a 26.0% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 51% chance of staying under, according to our model.
Charlotte FC vs. New York City - MLS Cup first round odds
We have researched the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Charlotte | NY City | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +170 | +170 | +225 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| +100 | -122 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Charlotte FC vs. New York City picks and best bet for MLS Cup first round
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Charlotte | +170 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | +100 |
According to our MLS best bets, the top play to make on this game is Charlotte to win.
Charlotte FC vs. New York City: Correct score predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| CLT 1-1 NYC | 12.4% |
| CLT 1-0 NYC | 10% |
| CLT 0-1 NYC | 8.8% |
These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations, meaning the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.
Charlotte FC vs. New York City MLS Cup first round updates and essential details
Friday's game between Charlotte and NY City is scheduled to start at 7:00PM ET.
- Who: Charlotte FC vs. New York City
- Date: Friday, November 7, 2025
- Time: 7:00PM ET/4:00PM PT
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Charlotte has a 41.0% win probability on Friday, NY City has a 33.0% win probability, and there is a 26.0% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Charlotte vs. NY City insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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