Casper Ruud vs. Daniil Medvedev Prediction, Odds, Picks for ATP Madrid Open 2025

Updated: Apr 30, 2025, 6:02 PM ET | First published: Apr 30, 2025, 6:02 PM ET

Written by Damien Souness, Chief Innovation Officer

Our expert prediction for Thursday's Casper Ruud vs Daniil Medvedev matchup.

Casper Ruud vs Daniil Medvedev Tennis Prediction. — Our Casper Ruud and Daniil Medvedev tennis prediction is based on thousands of simulations of the upcoming match.

Casper Ruud and Daniil Medvedev are scheduled to meet in the quarterfinals of the ATP Madrid Open event on Thursday.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven tennis model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts Casper Ruud as the most likely winner of the match.

"Using the latest data, we simulated Thursday's Ruud-Medvedev match 10,000 times," said Dimers data analyst Greg Butyn.

"Taking into account recent updates and various additional inputs, we forecast Casper Ruud with a win probability of 54% and Daniil Medvedev with 46%."

For further insights into Thursday's match, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Ruud vs. Medvedev predictions page.

Ruud vs. Medvedev Prediction: Who Will Win and Advance to the Semifinals?

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Thursday's Ruud-Medvedev men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives Ruud a 54% chance of winning against Medvedev at the ATP Madrid Open tournament.

Additionally, Ruud has a 54% chance of winning the first set, according to our model.

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Casper Ruud vs. Daniil Medvedev Odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Ruud	Medvedev
Moneyline	-175	+137
First Set	-164	+130

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Ruud vs. Medvedev Picks and Best Bets

Our model's biggest edge in the Ruud vs. Medvedev match is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, matched against the latest odds, reveal the best tennis picks and tennis best bets for every match throughout the year.

Unlimited access to our complete set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Ruud vs. Medvedev Updates and Essential Details

The ATP Madrid Open match between Casper Ruud and Daniil Medvedev is scheduled to begin on Thursday at 7:00AM ET.

Who: Casper Ruud vs. Daniil Medvedev
Date: Thursday, May 1, 2025
Approx. Time: 7:00AM ET/4:00AM PT
Tournament: ATP Madrid, Spain Men's Singles 2025
Round: Quarterfinals

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Thursday's Ruud vs. Medvedev match includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Casper Ruud vs. Daniil Medvedev picks, be sure to check out the latest tennis predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Key Tennis Betting Guides and Insights

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Improve your chances with proven sports betting strategies that apply to tennis and more

Conclusion

We predict Casper Ruud, with a 54% win probability, will likely beat Daniil Medvedev at the ATP Madrid Open tournament.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Ruud vs. Medvedev insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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Written by

Damien Souness

Chief Innovation Officer

Damien Souness leverages over 15 years of experience to create engaging content focused on sports, online gaming and wagering. As Chief Innovation Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, the parent company of Dimers, he offers strategic insights and innovative solutions to enhance the player experience.

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