Port Adelaide Power vs. Carlton Blues prediction: Why Power are favored to win Saturday's AFL Round 11 matchup [5/23/2026]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Get Port Adelaide Power vs Carlton Blues predictions for AFL Saturday.

Port Adelaide Power-Carlton Blues Predictions and Game Preview.
Port Adelaide Power vs. Carlton Blues AFL prediction for Saturday, May 23, 2026.

The Port Adelaide Power and Carlton Blues will meet in the Australian Football League (AFL) at Adelaide Oval on Saturday, starting at 5:35 AM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced AFL model projects the Power as the most likely winner of the Blues vs. Power game.

This article offers further insights into Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.

Power vs. Blues prediction: Who will win Round 11 game?

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's AFL matchup between the Blues and Power, forming part of our AFL predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Power a 62% chance of defeating the Blues.

According to our model, the Blues (+13.5) have a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 167.5 points has a 51% chance of staying under.

 

Carlton vs. Port Adelaide odds

We have researched the best AFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Blues Power
H2H (Moneyline) +190 -244
Line (Spread) +13.5 (-115) -13.5 (-115)
Total o167.5 (-115) u167.5 (-115)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Blues vs. Power picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Spread Blues +13.5 -115
Moneyline Blues +190
Total Under 167.5 -115

According to our AFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Blues to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

 

Power vs. Blues game-day updates and essential details

Saturday's Australian rules football matchup between the Power and Blues at Adelaide Oval is scheduled to commence at 5:35 AM ET.

  • Who: Carlton Blues vs. Port Adelaide Power
  • Date: Saturday, May 23, 2026
  • Time: 5:35 AM ET/2:35AM PT
  • Venue: Adelaide Oval

The AFL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with fans highlighting the high-octane 360-degree nature of the sport as a top reason to follow it.

Conclusion

We predict the Power, with a 62% win probability, will likely beat the Blues in Saturday's AFL matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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