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Read Article Brisbane Lions vs. Carlton Blues prediction: Lions favored to win Friday's AFL Round 9 matchup [5/8/2026]
Updated: | First published:
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Written by Damien Souness, Chief Experience Officer
Get Brisbane Lions vs Carlton Blues predictions for AFL Friday.
The Brisbane Lions and Carlton Blues are scheduled to meet in the Australian Football League (AFL) at The Gabba on Friday, starting at 5:30 AM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced AFL model predicts the Lions as the most likely winner of the Blues vs. Lions game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Friday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Lions vs. Blues prediction: Who will win Round 9 game?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's AFL matchup between the Blues and Lions, forming part of our AFL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Lions a 92% chance of defeating the Blues.
According to our model, the Lions (-41.5) have a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 184.5 points has a 51% chance of staying under.
Carlton vs. Brisbane odds
We have researched the best AFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Blues | Lions |
|---|---|---|
| H2H (Moneyline) | +650 | -1250 |
| Line (Spread) | +41.5 (-115) | -41.5 (-115) |
| Total | o184.5 (-115) | u184.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Blues vs. Lions picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Lions -41.5 | -115 |
| Moneyline | Lions | -1250 |
| Total | Under 184.5 | -115 |
According to our AFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Lions -41.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Lions vs. Blues game-day updates and essential details
Friday's Australian rules football matchup between the Lions and Blues at The Gabba is scheduled to commence at 5:30 AM ET.
- Who: Carlton Blues vs. Brisbane Lions
- Date: Friday, May 8, 2026
- Time: 5:30 AM ET/2:30AM PT
- Venue: The Gabba
The AFL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with fans highlighting the high-octane 360-degree nature of the sport as a top reason to follow it.
Conclusion
We predict the Lions, with a 92% win probability, will likely beat the Blues in Friday's AFL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Damien Souness is Chief Experience Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, helping lead sports media brands such as Dimers. He specializes in creating trustworthy and data-driven content for sports fans, with experience working for globally recognized sports and media organizations.
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