WNBA
Caitlin Clark Prop Projections for WNBA Playoffs: Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun
Will this be the final game with Caitlin Clark until next WNBA season?
The stage is set for a thrilling WNBA Postseason matchup as the Caitlin Clark and the Indiana Fever face the Connecticut Sun in Game 2 of first round of the WNBA playoffs. The spotlight will be on Rookie of the Year winner Caitlin Clark, who's historic rookie season could come to an end if the Fever fail to secure a victory on Wednesday night.
Caitlin Clark's Historic Rookie Season
From before draft night, Caitlin Clark had already begun to make waves in the WNBA, which has experienced skyrocketing ratings, attendance and hype around the league.
Through 40 regular season games, Caitlin Clark has recorded 769 points, 227 rebounds and 337 assists on 41.7% FG shooting.
Her 337 assists are the most in a single season in history among all players and she became the first rookie to record a triple double as well as owning the most three-pointers made by a rookie in history with 122.
Caitlin Clark’s Projections for WNBA Playoffs on Wednesday
After simulating tonight's playoff game between the Fever and Sun over 10,000 times, we've identified the following stat projections for star Caitlin Clark:
- Points: 22.7
- Rebounds: 5.5
- Assists: 8.0
- Three-pointers: 3.6
Clark struggled in her playoff debut, but these projections suggest she'll find her footing and get into a rhythm on Wednesday night as the Fever look to avoid elimination from the WNBA playoffs.
For more analysis on this postseason matchup, I go deeper into the Fever vs. Sun game in our full betting preview.
Best Caitlin Clark Prop Bets Today
There are three Caitlin Clark prop bets supported by the projections above.
The first prop focuses on Caitlin Clark making over 3.5 three-pointers, with a projected 3.6 and odds of +140, showing a solid 50.9% probability and a notable edge of 9.3%.
The second prop highlights her rebounding skills, betting over 5.5 total rebounds, with a projection of exactly 5.5, odds of +120, and a probability of 50.1%, offering a smaller but steady edge of 4.6%.
The final prop is centered on Clark's scoring ability, where bettors can take the over on 20.5 points. This prop comes with a projection of 22.7 points with -105 odds and a 54.7% probability, accompanied by a modest edge of 3.4%.
Other Key Players to Watch in Fever vs. Sun
Kelsey Mitchell: The six-year veteran has been a key player for the Fever's success this season and is our model's most likely player to score first in tonight's game.
Marina Mabrey: The Sun look to close out the first round of the playoffs behind Marina Mabrey, a midseason trade acquisition who is our highest projected scorer for Connecticut in this game with 16 points.
MORE: Full Fever vs. Sun Player Projections
Dimers' Predictions for Fever vs. Sun in WNBA playoffs on Wednesday
According to Dimers, the Moneyline, Spread, and Total predictions for the game are:
- Moneyline: The Fever have a 31% moneyline probability
- Spread: The Fever have a 55% probability to cover the 6.5-point spread
- Total: The game total is projected to go over 163 points
How to Watch Caitlin Clark and Indiana Fever
Tonight's Fever vs. Sun game will be available on local tv markets as well as via streaming on WNBA League Pass.
Bet365 Bonus Code "DIMERS" for Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun
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WNBA Playoffs and What’s Next
The WNBA playoff schedule continues to bring exciting matchups, with the first games of the semifinals taking place on Sunday, September 29 between the New York Liberty and Las Vegas Aces.
Dimers' WNBA Betting Resources for the 2024 WNBA Playoffs
- WNBA Predictions: Our data-backed previews for every playoff game
- WNBA Best Bets: Our Top Picks for every game of the postseason
- Championship Odds: Who will be crowned the champion in 2024?
- WNBA Best Props: Player edges and projections from our predictive analytics model
- WNBA Betting News: The latest promos, storylines and more around the league
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