Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde prediction, odds, props, World Cup 2026 picks [Group Stage]

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's World Cup 2026 matchup between Uruguay and Cabo Verde, forming part of our World Cup 2026 predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model indicates a 65.8% chance of Uruguay winning, an 11.0% chance for Cabo Verde, and a 23.2% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 62.6% chance of staying under, with a 67.3% probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet. In the win to nil market, Uruguay holds a 48.4% probability to win without conceding, with Cabo Verde given a 7.6% chance.

For bettors looking to cover multiple potential outcomes, the most likely double chance result is Uruguay to win or draw at 89.0%.

Cabo Verde vs. Uruguay odds

We have researched the best World Cup 2026 odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

Uruguay	Cabo Verde	Draw
-220	+800	+320

Total Goals

Over 2.5	Under 2.5
+132	-160

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Cabo Verde @ +800 via DraftKings
• Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ -160 via DraftKings
• Win to Nil: Cabo Verde @ +875 via BetMGM
• Double Chance: Cabo Verde or Draw @ +180 via FanDuel
• Both Teams To Score: No @ -195 via DraftKings

According to our World Cup 2026 best bets, the top play to make on this game is Cabo Verde to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Correct score and BTTS predictions

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-0 Uruguay win being the most probable:

Final Score	Probability
Uruguay 1-0 Cabo Verde	18.8%
Uruguay 2-0 Cabo Verde	15.7%
Uruguay 0-0 Cabo Verde	11.2%

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 32.7% chance of both Uruguay and Cabo Verde finding the net and a 67.3% chance that at least one doesn’t.

Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde player props: Anytime goal scorer predictions

Our World Cup 2026 player projections for Sunday highlight the top candidates to score a goal in Uruguay-Cabo Verde:

Uruguay

• Federico Vinas: 30.3% probability
• Agustin Canobbio: 20.4% probability
• Nicolas De La Cruz: 19.9% probability
• Federico Valverde: 18.0% probability
• Maxi Araujo: 17.8% probability

Cabo Verde

• Dailon Livramento: 9.5% probability
• Jovane Cabral: 7.4% probability
• Ryan Mendes: 7.4% probability
• Jamiro Monteiro: 4.6% probability
• Laros Duarte: 4.6% probability

Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's FIFA World Cup game between Uruguay and Cabo Verde at Hard Rock Stadium is scheduled to begin at 6:00 PM ET.

• Who: Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde
• Date: Sunday, June 21, 2026
• Time: 6:00 PM ET/3:00PM PT
• Venue: Hard Rock Stadium

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

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Conclusion

According to our computer model, Uruguay has a 65.8% win probability on Sunday, Cabo Verde has an 11.0% win probability, and there is a 23.2% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.