Belgium vs. Iran prediction, odds, props, World Cup 2026 picks [Group Stage]

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's World Cup 2026 matchup between Belgium and Iran, forming part of our World Cup 2026 predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently indicates a 65.3% chance of Belgium winning, a 14.5% chance for Iran, and a 20.2% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 54.9% chance of going over, with a 50.6% probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet. In the win to nil market, Belgium holds a 37.6% probability to win without conceding, with Iran given a 7.4% chance.

For bettors looking to cover multiple outcomes, the most likely double chance result is Belgium to win or draw at 85.5%.

Iran vs. Belgium odds

We have sourced the best World Cup 2026 odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

Belgium	Iran	Draw
-235	+650	+380

Total Goals

Over 2.5	Under 2.5
-125	+106

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Belgium vs. Iran picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Iran @ +650 via DraftKings
• Total Goals: Over 2.5 @ -125 via DraftKings
• Win to Nil: Iran @ +900 via BetMGM
• Double Chance: Iran or Draw @ +190 via FanDuel
• Both Teams To Score: Yes @ +105 via BetMGM

According to our best World Cup 2026 bets, the top play to make on this game is Iran to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Although they are not the most likely winner of the match, the edge provided on Iran's odds provide the best value right now.

Belgium vs. Iran: Correct score and BTTS predictions

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 2-0 Belgium win being the most probable:

Final Score	Probability
Belgium 2-0 Iran	11.7%
Belgium 1-0 Iran	11.5%
Belgium 2-1 Iran	9.8%

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 49.4% chance of both sides finding the net and a 50.6% chance that at least one doesn’t.

Belgium vs. Iran player props: Anytime goal scorer predictions

Our World Cup 2026 player projections for Sunday highlight the top candidates to score a goal in Belgium-Iran:

Belgium

• Charles De Ketelaere: 29.7% probability
• Kevin De Bruyne: 28.0% probability
• Leandro Trossard: 25.3% probability
• Alexis Saelemaekers: 18.1% probability
• Youri Tielemans: 14.6% probability

Iran

• Mehdi Taremi: 15.3% probability
• Shahriyar Moghanlou: 11.3% probability
• Mohammad Mohebi: 10.6% probability
• Ramin Rezaeian: 5.4% probability
• Saman Ghoddos: 4.8% probability

Belgium vs. Iran game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's FIFA World Cup matchup between Belgium and Iran at SoFi Stadium is scheduled to start at 3:00 PM ET.

• Who: Belgium vs. Iran
• Date: Sunday, June 21, 2026
• Time: 3:00 PM ET/12:00PM PT
• Venue: SoFi Stadium

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

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Conclusion

According to our computer model, Belgium has a 65.3% win probability on Sunday, Iran has a 14.5% win probability, and there is a 20.2% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.