Tunisia vs. Japan prediction, odds, props, World Cup 2026 picks [Group Stage]

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's World Cup 2026 matchup between Tunisia and Japan, forming part of our World Cup 2026 predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model indicates a 14.3% chance of Tunisia winning, a 63.6% chance for Japan, and a 22.1% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 52.8% chance of staying under, with a 56.5% likelihood of at least one team keeping a clean sheet. In the win to nil market, Japan holds a 40.5% probability to win without conceding, with Tunisia given an 8.3% chance.

For bettors looking to cover multiple possibilities, the most likely double chance result is Japan to win or draw at 85.7%.

Japan vs. Tunisia odds

We have researched the best World Cup 2026 odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

Tunisia	Japan	Draw
+600	-185	+310

Total Goals

Over 2.5	Under 2.5
+110	-132

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Tunisia vs. Japan picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Tunisia @ +600 via DraftKings
• Total Goals: Over 2.5 @ +110 via DraftKings
• Win to Nil: Tunisia @ +775 via BetMGM
• Double Chance: Tunisia or Japan @ -400 via FanDuel
• Both Teams To Score: No @ -140 via DraftKings

According to our World Cup 2026 best bets, the top play to make on this game is Tunisia to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Although they are not the most likely winner of the match, the edge provided on Tunisia's odds provide the best value right now.

Tunisia vs. Japan: Correct score and BTTS predictions

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-0 Japan win being the most probable:

Final Score	Probability
Tunisia 0-1 Japan	14.1%
Tunisia 0-2 Japan	12.9%
Tunisia 1-1 Japan	10.3%

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 43.5% chance of both Tunisia and Japan finding the net and a 56.5% chance that at least one doesn’t.

Tunisia vs. Japan player props: Anytime goal scorer predictions

Our World Cup 2026 player projections for Sunday highlight the top candidates to score a goal in Tunisia-Japan:

Tunisia

• Elias Saad: 12.2% probability
• Anis Slimane: 10.0% probability
• Elias Achouri: 9.6% probability
• Hannibal : 6.3% probability
• Ali Abdi: 5.8% probability

Japan

• Ayase Ueda: 29.8% probability
• Daizen Maeda: 21.2% probability
• Keito Nakamura: 20.0% probability
• Junya Ito: 18.2% probability
• Ritsu Doan: 16.2% probability

Tunisia vs. Japan game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's soccer World Cup game between Tunisia and Japan at Estadio BBVA is scheduled to start at 12:00 AM ET.

• Who: Tunisia vs. Japan
• Date: Sunday, June 21, 2026
• Time: 12:00 AM ET/9:00PM PT
• Venue: Estadio BBVA

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

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Conclusion

According to our computer model, Tunisia has a 14.3% win probability on Sunday, Japan has a 63.6% win probability, and there is a 22.1% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.