Jun 3, 2026
Adelaide Crows vs. Geelong Cats prediction: Why Cats are favored to win Thursday's AFL Round 13 matchup [6/4/2026]
Read Article St Kilda Saints vs. Brisbane Lions prediction: Lions favored to win Friday's AFL Round 3 matchup [3/27/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Damien Souness, Chief Experience Officer
Get St Kilda Saints vs Brisbane Lions predictions for AFL Friday.
The St Kilda Saints and Brisbane Lions will meet in the Australian Football League (AFL) at Marvel Stadium on Friday, starting at 9:35 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven AFL model predicts the Lions as the most likely winner of the Lions vs. Saints game.
This article offers further insights into Friday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Saints vs. Lions prediction: Who will win Round 3 game?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's AFL matchup between the Lions and Saints, forming part of our AFL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Lions a 62% chance of defeating the Saints.
According to our model, the Lions (-9.5) have a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the 187.5-point over/under has a 52% chance of staying under.
Brisbane vs. St Kilda odds
We have researched the best AFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Lions | Saints |
|---|---|---|
| H2H (Moneyline) | -161 | +125 |
| Line (Spread) | -9.5 (-115) | +9.5 (-115) |
| Total | o187.5 (-115) | u187.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Lions vs. Saints picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Lions -9.5 | -115 |
| Moneyline | Lions | -161 |
| Total | Under 187.5 | -115 |
According to our AFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Lions to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Saints vs. Lions game-day updates and essential details
Friday's Australian rules football game between the Saints and Lions at Marvel Stadium is scheduled to commence at 9:35 PM ET.
- Who: Brisbane Lions vs. St Kilda Saints
- Date: Friday, March 27, 2026
- Time: 9:35 PM ET/6:35PM PT
- Venue: Marvel Stadium
The AFL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with fans highlighting the high-octane 360-degree nature of the sport as a top reason to follow it.
Conclusion
We predict the Lions, with a 62% win probability, will likely beat the Saints on Friday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Lions vs. Saints insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our responsible gambling hub.
Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.
Damien Souness is Chief Experience Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, helping lead sports media brands such as Dimers. He specializes in creating trustworthy and data-driven content for sports fans, with experience working for globally recognized sports and media organizations.
Advertiser disclosure
