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Read Article Hawthorn Hawks vs. Brisbane Lions Prediction: Hawks Predicted to Win Saturday's AFL Round 11 Matchup [5/24/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Our expert prediction for Saturday's Hawthorn Hawks vs Brisbane Lions matchup.
The Hawthorn Hawks and Brisbane Lions will meet in the Australian Football League (AFL) at Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday, starting at 2:15AM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven AFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Hawks as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Our team has used the latest data to run 10,000 simulations of Saturday's Brisbane-Hawthorn game," said Ryan Leaver from Dimers.
"By incorporating recent updates and various other inputs, we estimate that the Hawks are more likely to win, while the Lions have a lower chance of victory."
For further insights into Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Lions vs. Hawks predictions page.
Get 20% off Dimers Pro With Code 20AFL Get Dimers Pro Hawks vs. Lions Prediction: Who Will Win Round 11 Game?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's AFL game between the Lions and Hawks 10,000 times as part of our AFL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Hawks a 71% chance of defeating the Lions.
According to our model, the Hawks (-13.5) have a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 175.5 has a 54% chance of staying under.
Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 9:00AM, May 22
Moneyline
Spread
Over / Under
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Brisbane vs. Hawthorn Odds
We have sourced the best AFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Lions | Hawks |
|---|---|---|
| H2H (Moneyline) | +175 | -233 |
| Line (Spread) | +13.5 (-115) | -13.5 (-115) |
| Total | o175.5 (-115) | u175.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
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Hawks vs. Lions Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
Saturday's Australian rules football matchup between the Hawks and Lions at Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to commence at 2:15AM ET.
- Who: Brisbane Lions vs. Hawthorn Hawks
- Date: Saturday, May 24, 2025
- Time: 2:15AM ET/11:15PM PT
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
The AFL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with fans highlighting the high-octane 360-degree nature of the sport as a top reason to follow it.
Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Saturday's Lions vs. Hawks matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Brisbane vs. Hawthorn picks, be sure to check out the latest AFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Conclusion
We predict the Hawks, with a 71% win probability, will likely beat the Lions on Saturday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Lions vs. Hawks insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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More on AFL
Stay up-to-date with the latest AFL betting news and parlay picks throughout the season.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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