Jun 5, 2026
North Melbourne Kangaroos vs. Fremantle Dockers prediction: Dockers favored to win Saturday's AFL Round 13 matchup [6/6/2026]
Read Article Gold Coast Suns vs. Brisbane Lions prediction: Suns favored to win Saturday's AFL Round 13 matchup [6/6/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Gold Coast Suns vs Brisbane Lions predictions for AFL Saturday.
The Gold Coast Suns and Brisbane Lions will lock horns in the Australian Football League (AFL) at Metricon Stadium on Saturday, starting at 3:15 AM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced AFL model projects the Suns as the most likely winner of the Lions vs. Suns game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Suns vs. Lions prediction: Who will win Round 13 game?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's AFL matchup between the Lions and Suns, forming part of our AFL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Suns a 68% chance of beating the Lions.
According to our model, the Suns (-13.5) have a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 186.5 points has a 52% chance of staying under.
Brisbane vs. Gold Coast odds
We have sourced the best AFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Lions | Suns |
|---|---|---|
| H2H (Moneyline) | +165 | -213 |
| Line (Spread) | +13.5 (-115) | -13.5 (-115) |
| Total | o186.5 (-115) | u186.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Lions vs. Suns picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Suns -13.5 | -115 |
| Moneyline | Suns | -213 |
| Total | Under 186.5 | -115 |
According to our AFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Suns to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Suns vs. Lions game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's Australian rules football matchup between the Suns and Lions at Metricon Stadium is scheduled to start at 3:15 AM ET.
- Who: Brisbane Lions vs. Gold Coast Suns
- Date: Saturday, June 6, 2026
- Time: 3:15 AM ET/12:15AM PT
- Venue: Metricon Stadium
The AFL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with fans highlighting the high-octane 360-degree nature of the sport as a top reason to follow it.
Conclusion
We predict the Suns, with a 68% win probability, will likely beat the Lions in Saturday's AFL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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