Red Sox vs. Tigers prediction: Detroit favored to win Wednesday's MLB matchup [5/6/2026]
Get Boston Red Sox vs Detroit Tigers predictions for MLB Wednesday.

The Detroit Tigers and Boston redsox will meet in MLB action at Comerica Park on Wednesday, starting at 6:40 PM ET.
The Tigers will have Jack Flaherty (0-2, 5.90 ERA) as their starting pitcher, pitting him against Sonny Gray (2-1, 4.30 ERA) for the Red Sox.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced MLB model gives the Tigers a slight edge with a 51% win probability over the Red Sox.
This article offers further insights into Wednesday's Red Sox vs. Tigers matchup, including best bets and picks.
Red Sox vs. Tigers prediction: Who will win?
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Tigers a 51% chance of beating the Red Sox.
According to our model, the over/under total of 8.5 runs has a 52% chance of going over.
Red Sox vs. Tigers odds [5/6/2026]
We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Red Sox | Tigers |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -108 | -108 |
| Total | o8.5 (-105) | u8.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Red Sox vs. Tigers picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Tigers | -108 |
| Total | Over 8.5 | -105 |
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 8.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Red Sox vs. Tigers game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's MLB action between the Tigers and Red Sox at Comerica Park is scheduled to start at 6:40 PM ET.
- Who: Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigers
- Date: Wednesday, May 6, 2026
- Time: 6:40 PM ET/3:40PM PT
- Venue: Comerica Park
Conclusion
We predict the Tigers, with a 51% win probability, will likely beat the Red Sox in Wednesday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.



