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Celtics vs. Hawks prediction: Why Boston is favored to win Saturday's NBA game [1/17/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Boston Celtics vs Atlanta Hawks predictions for NBA Saturday.
The Atlanta Hawks will take on the Boston Celtics in NBA action at State Farm Arena on Saturday, starting at 7:30 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations and today’s injury reports, Dimers' proven NBA model predicts the Celtics as the most likely winner of the Celtics vs. Hawks game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Hawks lineup will feature stars like Jalen Johnson, Nickeil Alexander-Walker and Onyeka Okongwu, while the Celtics will rely on Jaylen Brown, Derrick White and Anfernee Simons.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Celtics vs. Hawks prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's NBA game between the Celtics and Hawks 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Celtics a 63% chance of defeating the Hawks. Our predicted final score has the Celtics winning 115-111.
According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Celtics and Hawks each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 229.5 points has a 53% chance of staying under.
Celtics vs. Hawks odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Celtics | Hawks |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -3.5 (-105) | +3.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | -154 | +136 |
| Total | o229.5 (-108) | u229.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Celtics vs. Hawks picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Celtics -3.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Celtics | -154 |
| Total | Under 229.5 | -110 |
According to our NBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Celtics to win.
Celtics vs. Hawks player props
NBA prop bets are a common way to wager on the Celtics vs. Hawks game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at State Farm Arena.
Jaylen Brown is expected to lead the Celtics with 32 points, 8 rebounds and 6 assists, while Jalen Johnson is projected to have 22 points, 10 rebounds and 7 assists for the Hawks.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Celtics prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Celtics are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Brown | 32 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 57 |
| Derrick White | 21 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 44 |
| Anfernee Simons | 18 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 32 |
| Sam Hauser | 11 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 24 |
| Neemias Queta | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 30 |
Hawks prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Hawks:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Johnson | 22 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 52 |
| N. Alexander-Walker | 17 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 31 |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 16 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 38 |
| CJ McCollum | 16 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 28 |
| Dyson Daniels | 11 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 33 |
Celtics vs. Hawks game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's game between the Hawks and Celtics at State Farm Arena is scheduled to commence at 7:30 PM ET.
- Who: Boston Celtics vs. Atlanta Hawks
- Date: Saturday, January 17, 2026
- Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
- Venue: State Farm Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Celtics, with a 63% win probability, will likely beat the Hawks on Saturday, with Jaylen Brown projected for a game-high 57 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Celtics vs. Hawks insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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