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Celtics vs. Hawks Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Celtics vs. Hawks NBA game on January 17, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
132
106
Jan 18, 12:30AM State Farm Arena
Jan 18, 12:30AM State Farm Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Celtics | 30 | 52 | 35 | 15 | 132 |
Hawks | 23 | 28 | 26 | 29 | 106 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
>99%
<1%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Celtics | 30 | 52 | 35 | 15 | 132 |
Hawks | 23 | 28 | 26 | 29 | 106 |
Q4 1:22 Hawks makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:54 Asa Newell makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:00 Hawks misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:55 Hawks misses three point jump shot
Q4 3:28 Xavier Tillman misses three point jump shot
Q4 4:14 RayJ Dennis misses three point jump shot
Q4 4:25 Celtics makes three point jump shot
Q4 4:59 Celtics misses three point jump shot
Q4 5:16 CJ McCollum misses two point driving layup
Q4 5:31 Celtics misses three point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Celtics turnover
Baylor Scheierman turnover
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
132-106
Celtics personal foul
+1
Keaton Wallace makes regular free throw 1 of 1
132-106
+2
Asa Newell makes two point jump shot
132-106
Baylor Scheierman turnover (lost ball) (RayJ Dennis steals)
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Amari Williams offensive rebound
+1
Amari Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
132-106
Hawks personal foul
+1
Amari Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
132-106
Ron Harper Jr. defensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Hugo Gonzalez turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Keaton Wallace defensive rebound
Xavier Tillman misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
RayJ Dennis misses three point jump shot
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
132-106
Hawks lineup change (Caleb Houstan, Mouhamed Gueye, RayJ Dennis, Asa Newell, Keaton Wallace)
Hawks 60 second timeout
Mouhamed Gueye defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Baylor Scheierman defensive rebound
Asa Newell offensive rebound
CJ McCollum misses two point driving layup
Ron Harper Jr. turnover (lost ball) (Mouhamed Gueye steals)
Ron Harper Jr. offensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
+2
CJ McCollum makes two point jump shot
126-87
Celtics lineup change (Ron Harper Jr., Baylor Scheierman, Amari Williams, Hugo Gonzalez, Sam Hauser)
Hawks lineup change (Mouhamed Gueye, Asa Newell, Keaton Wallace, CJ McCollum, Corey Kispert)
Luke Kennard defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Celtics misses three point jump shot
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
132-106
Sam Hauser turnover
Amari Williams defensive rebound
Jalen Johnson misses two point jump shot
Anfernee Simons offensive rebound
CJ McCollum turnover (bad pass) (Baylor Scheierman steals)
Hawks turnover
Hawks 60 second timeout
Hawks lineup change (Onyeka Okongwu, Luke Kennard, CJ McCollum, Jalen Johnson, Corey Kispert)
+3
Sam Hauser makes three point jump shot (Anfernee Simons assists)
126-83
+3
Sam Hauser makes three point running jump shot (Baylor Scheierman assists)
132-106
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Baylor Scheierman misses three point pullup jump shot
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Amari Williams defensive goaltending violation
Corey Kispert defensive rebound
Amari Williams personal foul (Jalen Johnson draws the foul)
Hawks offensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Amari Williams defensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Corey Kispert offensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Onyeka Okongwu offensive foul (Off the ball) (Sam Hauser draws the foul)
Amari Williams turnover (offensive foul)
Luke Kennard defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Celtics lineup change (Baylor Scheierman, Amari Williams, Hugo Gonzalez, Sam Hauser, Anfernee Simons)
Hawks offensive rebound
+3
Anfernee Simons makes three point jump shot
117-77
Jordan Walsh defensive rebound
Neemias Queta turnover (Luke Kennard steals)
Corey Kispert defensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Mouhamed Gueye misses three point running jump shot
+3
Onyeka Okongwu makes three point jump shot (Luke Kennard assists)
117-77
Hawks lineup change (Onyeka Okongwu, Mouhamed Gueye, Luke Kennard, Keaton Wallace, Corey Kispert)
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
117-77
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Neemias Queta misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Jalen Johnson personal foul (Neemias Queta draws the foul)
Celtics offensive rebound
+1
Neemias Queta makes regular free throw 2 of 2
117-77
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Hugo Gonzalez turnover
Celtics lineup change (Neemias Queta, Jordan Walsh, Hugo Gonzalez, Jaylen Brown, Anfernee Simons)
+2
Jalen Johnson makes two point running layup
114-74
Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Luka Garza offensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Jalen Johnson misses two point driving floating bank jump shot
Hawks lineup change (Mouhamed Gueye, Luke Kennard, Keaton Wallace, Jalen Johnson, Corey Kispert)
Keaton Wallace shooting foul (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)
Hawks lineup change (Mouhamed Gueye, Luke Kennard, Keaton Wallace, Jalen Johnson, Corey Kispert)
+1
Jaylen Brown makes regular free throw 2 of 2
108-66
Hawks lineup change (Mouhamed Gueye, Luke Kennard, Keaton Wallace, Jalen Johnson, Corey Kispert)
Hawks offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Hugo Gonzalez defensive rebound
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
108-66
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Jaylen Brown misses two point fadeaway jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
108-66
Celtics lineup change (Luka Garza, Baylor Scheierman, Hugo Gonzalez, Jaylen Brown, Derrick White)
Hawks turnover
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Baylor Scheierman defensive rebound
Onyeka Okongwu offensive rebound
Nickeil Alexander-Walker misses three point running jump shot
Jaylen Brown misses three point pullup jump shot
+3
Onyeka Okongwu makes three point jump shot
86-53
Hawks offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Celtics turnover
Sam Hauser defensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
+3
Baylor Scheierman makes three point stepback jump shot (Derrick White assists)
86-53
+2
Jalen Johnson makes two point jump shot (Onyeka Okongwu assists)
86-53
+1
Neemias Queta makes regular free throw 1 of 2
86-53
Jaylen Brown defensive rebound
Nickeil Alexander-Walker misses two point jump shot
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
86-53
Hawks personal foul
+1
Neemias Queta makes regular free throw 1 of 1
86-53
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
86-53
Hawks turnover
Celtics offensive rebound
End of 1st Half.
Celtics lineup change (Neemias Queta, Baylor Scheierman, Sam Hauser, Jaylen Brown, Derrick White)
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
82-51
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
82-48
Hugo Gonzalez defensive rebound
Hawks turnover
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
77-48
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
77-46
Hugo Gonzalez defensive rebound
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
75-46
Hawks misses three point jump shot
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
71-46
Hawks personal foul
Neemias Queta defensive rebound
CJ McCollum offensive rebound
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
69-46
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
67-46
Hugo Gonzalez defensive rebound
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
65-43
Celtics defensive rebound
Celtics lineup change (Neemias Queta, Hugo Gonzalez, Sam Hauser, Jaylen Brown, Derrick White)
Hawks lineup change (Onyeka Okongwu, Nickeil Alexander-Walker, CJ McCollum, Vit Krejci, Jalen Johnson)
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
Hawks turnover
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
59-43
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
57-43
Celtics misses three point jump shot
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
57-37
Derrick White defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
54-37
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
51-37
Hawks misses three point jump shot
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
51-34
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
46-34
Anfernee Simons defensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Hawks turnover
Celtics turnover
Celtics personal foul
+1
Corey Kispert makes regular free throw 1 of 3
41-32
+1
Corey Kispert makes regular free throw 2 of 3
41-33
Hawks 60 second timeout
Hawks misses two point jump shot
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
39-31
+1
Nickeil Alexander-Walker makes regular free throw 2 of 2
36-31
Corey Kispert misses three point jump shot
Mouhamed Gueye defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
33-29
Nickeil Alexander-Walker defensive rebound
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
33-27
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
30-25
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Celtics lineup change (Neemias Queta, Baylor Scheierman, Sam Hauser, Anfernee Simons, Derrick White)
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Corey Kispert offensive rebound
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
30-21
Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
28-18
Hawks personal foul
Jalen Johnson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Jalen Johnson offensive rebound
Hawks personal foul
+1
Jaylen Brown makes regular free throw 2 of 3
25-17
+1
Jaylen Brown makes regular free throw 3 of 3
26-17
Celtics personal foul
+1
Onyeka Okongwu makes regular free throw 1 of 2
23-16
+1
Onyeka Okongwu makes regular free throw 2 of 2
23-17
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
21-15
Luke Kennard defensive rebound
Hawks personal foul
Luka Garza misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Hawks offensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Celtics 60 second timeout
Hawks lineup change (Mouhamed Gueye, Luke Kennard, Keaton Wallace, CJ McCollum, Jalen Johnson)
Nickeil Alexander-Walker defensive rebound
Sam Hauser defensive rebound
Derrick White defensive rebound
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
12-6
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
10-6
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Hawks 60 second timeout
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
10-4
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
7-2
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Neemias Queta defensive rebound
Neemias Queta offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jaylen Brown defensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Celtics personal foul
Hawks violation
Hawks misses two point jump shot
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
3-2
Celtics offensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Celtics turnover
Onyeka Okongwu defensive rebound
Hawks lineup change (Onyeka Okongwu, Nickeil Alexander-Walker, CJ McCollum, Vit Krejci, Jalen Johnson)
Onyeka Okongwu (Derrick White gains possession)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Celtics vs. Hawks: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Celtics vs. Hawks
- Date: Saturday, January 17, 2026
- Time: 7:30 PM ET
- Venue: State Farm Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Celtics favored at -3.5
- Total (Over/Under): 230.5
- Moneyline Odds: Celtics -162, Hawks +143
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Celtics: 63%
- Hawks: 37%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Celtics 116-112 Hawks.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Celtics a win probability of 63%, while the Hawks have a win probability of 37%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Celtics are more likely to beat the Hawks in the NBA game at State Farm Arena on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Celtics vs. Hawks predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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