Pacers vs. Pistons Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Pacers vs. Pistons NBA game on January 17, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NBA
Pacers
78
121
Little Caesars Arena
Pistons
Little Caesars Arena
TEAM1234T
Pacers
11 14 46 7 78
Pistons
31 28 51 11 121
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Pacers
    <1%
  • Pistons
    >99%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Pacers
11 14 46 7 78
Pistons
31 28 51 11 121
Q4 1:11 Pacers misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:46 Pistons makes two point jump shot
Q4 3:08 Pacers makes two point jump shot
Q4 3:16 Marcus Sasser misses three point jump shot
Q4 3:39 Tony Bradley makes two point jump shot
Q4 3:44 Pistons misses two point jump shot
Q4 3:55 Micah Potter misses three point jump shot
Q4 4:16 Pacers makes two point jump shot
Q4 5:13 Taelon Peter makes two point jump shot (Micah Potter assists)
Q4 5:54 Marcus Sasser makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
  1. Q4 00:13
    Pistons turnover
  2. Q4 00:35
    Paul Reed defensive rebound
  3. Q4 1:11
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  4. Q4 1:36
    Ethan Thompson defensive rebound
  5. Q4 2:46
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    73-112
  6. Q4 3:08
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    73-110
  7. Q4 3:16
    Marcus Sasser misses three point jump shot
  8. Q4 3:39
    +2
    Tony Bradley makes two point jump shot
    71-110
  9. Q4 3:39
    Marcus Sasser personal foul
  10. Q4 3:39
    +1
    Tony Bradley makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    71-110
  11. Q4 3:41
    Tony Bradley defensive rebound
  12. Q4 3:44
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  13. Q4 3:51
    Ronald Holland II defensive rebound
  14. Q4 3:55
    Micah Potter misses three point jump shot
  15. Q4 3:58
    Pistons turnover
  16. Q4 4:16
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    71-110
  17. Q4 4:39
    Tony Bradley personal foul (Daniss Jenkins draws the foul)
  18. Q4 4:39
    Tony Bradley turnover
  19. Q4 4:39
    Tony Bradley turnover (lost ball)
  20. Q4 5:00
    Pacers personal foul
  21. Q4 5:00
    Marcus Sasser misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  22. Q4 5:13
    +2
    Taelon Peter makes two point jump shot (Micah Potter assists)
    66-109
  23. Q4 5:24
    Paul Reed defensive rebound
  24. Q4 5:54
    +2
    Marcus Sasser makes two point jump shot
    64-109
  25. Q4 5:58
    Pacers turnover
  26. Q4 6:43
    +3
    Taelon Peter makes three point jump shot
    64-109
  27. Q4 6:46
    Taelon Peter defensive rebound
  28. Q4 6:56
    Pistons misses three point jump shot
  29. Q4 7:06
    Marcus Sasser defensive rebound
  30. Q4 7:10
    Ethan Thompson misses three point jump shot
  31. Q4 7:47
    Pistons misses three point jump shot
  32. Q4 7:59
    Caris LeVert defensive rebound
  33. Q4 8:11
    Pistons personal foul
  34. Q4 8:23
    Pacers lineup change (Kam Jones, Tony Bradley, Taelon Peter, Micah Potter, Ethan Thompson)
  35. Q4 8:23
    Pacers 60 second timeout
  36. Q4 8:24
    +2
    Caris LeVert makes two point dunk
    71-110
  37. Q4 8:53
    Taelon Peter turnover (bad pass) (Caris LeVert steals)
  38. Q4 9:11
    Paul Reed misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  39. Q4 9:11
    Ethan Thompson shooting foul (Paul Reed draws the foul)
  40. Q4 9:11
    Pistons offensive rebound
  41. Q4 9:11
    Pistons lineup change (Marcus Sasser, Caris LeVert, Paul Reed, Jaden Ivey, Daniss Jenkins)
  42. Q4 9:17
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  43. Q4 9:23
    Ronald Holland II turnover (Taelon Peter steals)
  44. Q4 9:33
    Ethan Thompson misses two point jump shot
  45. Q4 10:05
    Pistons personal foul
  46. Q4 10:05
    Pacers offensive rebound
  47. Q4 10:14
    Pacers lineup change (Kam Jones, Taelon Peter, Micah Potter, Ethan Thompson, Isaiah Jackson)
  48. Q4 10:23
    Pistons lineup change (Ronald Holland II, Marcus Sasser, Caris LeVert, Paul Reed, Daniss Jenkins)
  49. Q4 10:53
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    53-95
  50. Q4 10:58
    Johnny Furphy defensive rebound
  51. Q4 11:02
    Pistons misses three point jump shot
  52. Q4 11:22
    Pistons personal foul
  53. Q4 11:22
    +1
    Ben Sheppard makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    71-110
  54. Q4 11:22
    +1
    Ben Sheppard makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    71-110
  55. Q3 00:00
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  56. Q3 00:24
    Instant replay
  57. Q3 00:24
    +1
    Ethan Thompson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    71-110
  58. Q3 00:24
    Pacers lineup change (Ben Sheppard, Johnny Furphy, Tony Bradley, Micah Potter, Ethan Thompson)
  59. Q3 00:26
    Pacers lineup change (Ben Sheppard, Johnny Furphy, Tony Bradley, Micah Potter, Ethan Thompson)
  60. Q3 00:56
    Isaiah Stewart defensive rebound
  61. Q3 00:59
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  62. Q3 1:42
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  63. Q3 1:54
    Pacers turnover
  64. Q3 2:11
    Pistons offensive rebound
  65. Q3 2:19
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  66. Q3 2:19
    Pacers lineup change (Jarace Walker, Kam Jones, Tony Bradley, Micah Potter, Ethan Thompson)
  67. Q3 2:43
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  68. Q3 2:48
    Jaden Ivey defensive rebound
  69. Q3 3:04
    Pacers defensive rebound
  70. Q3 3:27
    Isaiah Jackson defensive rebound
  71. Q3 3:50
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  72. Q3 3:53
    Kam Jones defensive rebound
  73. Q3 3:54
    Isaiah Stewart misses two point jump shot
  74. Q3 3:54
    Isaiah Stewart offensive rebound
  75. Q3 4:10
    +1
    Jarace Walker makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    43-86
  76. Q3 4:22
    Ronald Holland II offensive rebound
  77. Q3 4:40
    Ethan Thompson misses three point jump shot
  78. Q3 4:55
    Isaiah Stewart defensive rebound
  79. Q3 4:59
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  80. Q3 5:16
    +2
    Ronald Holland II makes two point jump shot (Cade Cunningham assists)
    42-82
  81. Q3 5:16
    +1
    Ronald Holland II makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    44-86
  82. Q3 5:34
    Pacers offensive rebound
  83. Q3 5:49
    Ausar Thompson personal foul (Loose ball) (Quenton Jackson draws the foul)
  84. Q3 5:49
    +3
    Pistons makes three point jump shot
    44-86
  85. Q3 5:49
    Pistons lineup change (Isaiah Stewart, Ronald Holland II, Jalen Duren, Cade Cunningham, Duncan Robinson)
  86. Q3 5:49
    Pacers personal foul
  87. Q3 5:58
    Isaiah Jackson turnover (offensive foul)
  88. Q3 5:58
    Micah Potter defensive rebound
  89. Q3 6:00
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  90. Q3 6:26
    Pacers lineup change (Jarace Walker, Ben Sheppard, Quenton Jackson, Micah Potter, Isaiah Jackson)
  91. Q3 6:26
    Ben Sheppard shooting foul (Ausar Thompson draws the foul)
  92. Q3 6:41
    +3
    Pacers makes three point jump shot
    44-86
  93. Q3 6:55
    +2
    Jalen Duren makes two point jump shot
    44-86
  94. Q3 7:05
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  95. Q3 7:07
    Pacers turnover
  96. Q3 7:07
    Pacers offensive rebound
  97. Q3 7:22
    Ausar Thompson personal foul
  98. Q3 7:42
    Quenton Jackson turnover (lost ball)
  99. Q3 7:46
    Ausar Thompson turnover (lost ball) (Quenton Jackson steals)
  100. Q3 7:50
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  101. Q3 8:00
    +3
    Cade Cunningham makes three point jump shot
    39-73
  102. Q3 8:04
    Ausar Thompson offensive rebound
  103. Q3 9:08
    Pistons personal foul
  104. Q3 9:08
    +1
    Quenton Jackson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    42-82
  105. Q3 9:29
    Jalen Duren shooting foul (Ben Sheppard draws the foul)
  106. Q3 9:29
    +1
    Ben Sheppard makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    39-71
  107. Q3 9:42
    Pistons turnover
  108. Q3 10:02
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  109. Q3 10:02
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  110. Q3 10:02
    Tobias Harris defensive rebound
  111. Q3 10:16
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    31-66
  112. Q3 10:46
    +3
    Pistons makes three point jump shot
    31-66
  113. Q3 10:48
    Ausar Thompson defensive rebound
  114. Q3 10:55
    Jarace Walker defensive rebound
  115. Q3 10:59
    Cade Cunningham misses two point jump shot
  116. Q3 11:48
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  117. Q3 11:58
    Pacers offensive rebound
  118. Q2 00:00
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  119. Q2 00:00
    Pacers offensive rebound
  120. Q2 00:00
    Isaiah Stewart technical foul
  121. Q2 00:00
    Pistons defensive rebound
  122. Q2 00:00
    Instant replay
  123. Q2 00:00
    End of 1st Half.
  124. Q2 00:00
    Pistons personal foul
  125. Q2 00:02
    Pistons turnover
  126. Q2 00:24
    Pistons personal foul
  127. Q2 00:24
    Jarace Walker misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  128. Q2 00:24
    Isaiah Stewart misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  129. Q2 00:24
    Pacers lineup change (Jarace Walker, Ben Sheppard, Johnny Furphy, Kam Jones, Ethan Thompson)
  130. Q2 00:24
    Pacers lineup change (Jarace Walker, Ben Sheppard, Johnny Furphy, Kam Jones, Ethan Thompson)
  131. Q2 00:24
    Isaiah Stewart shooting foul (Jarace Walker draws the foul)
  132. Q2 00:24
    Pacers lineup change (Jarace Walker, Ben Sheppard, Johnny Furphy, Kam Jones, Tony Bradley)
  133. Q2 00:24
    Pacers lineup change (Jarace Walker, Ben Sheppard, Johnny Furphy, Kam Jones, Ethan Thompson)
  134. Q2 00:24
    Pistons offensive rebound
  135. Q2 00:32
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    24-59
  136. Q2 00:44
    Pacers personal foul
  137. Q2 00:44
    Pacers lineup change (Jarace Walker, Johnny Furphy, Kam Jones, Micah Potter, Ethan Thompson)
  138. Q2 00:58
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  139. Q2 1:18
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    24-57
  140. Q2 1:29
    Pacers turnover
  141. Q2 1:47
    Jalen Duren defensive rebound
  142. Q2 2:04
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    24-52
  143. Q2 2:04
    Pacers lineup change (Johnny Furphy, Tony Bradley, Quenton Jackson, Micah Potter, Ethan Thompson)
  144. Q2 2:04
    Pistons lineup change (Isaiah Stewart, Ronald Holland II, Jalen Duren, Jaden Ivey, Duncan Robinson)
  145. Q2 2:09
    Ausar Thompson offensive rebound
  146. Q2 2:19
    Ausar Thompson defensive rebound
  147. Q2 2:38
    +3
    Pistons makes three point jump shot
    24-50
  148. Q2 3:01
    +3
    Pacers makes three point jump shot
    24-47
  149. Q2 3:11
    Isaiah Jackson defensive rebound
  150. Q2 3:25
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  151. Q2 3:27
    Isaiah Jackson offensive rebound
  152. Q2 3:52
    Johnny Furphy defensive rebound
  153. Q2 3:55
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    21-47
  154. Q2 3:55
    Pacers personal foul
  155. Q2 3:55
    Ausar Thompson misses regular free throw 1 of 1
  156. Q2 4:02
    Isaiah Stewart defensive rebound
  157. Q2 4:05
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    21-45
  158. Q2 4:30
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  159. Q2 4:40
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  160. Q2 5:04
    Ronald Holland II defensive rebound
  161. Q2 5:23
    Pistons misses three point jump shot
  162. Q2 5:40
    Pacers personal foul
  163. Q2 5:40
    Pistons 60 second timeout
  164. Q2 5:40
    Pacers lineup change (Ben Sheppard, Johnny Furphy, Kam Jones, Taelon Peter, Isaiah Jackson)
  165. Q2 5:57
    Jarace Walker defensive rebound
  166. Q2 5:59
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  167. Q2 6:22
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    19-41
  168. Q2 6:36
    Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
  169. Q2 6:51
    Pistons turnover
  170. Q2 7:01
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  171. Q2 7:09
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  172. Q2 7:09
    Pistons personal foul
  173. Q2 7:11
    Taelon Peter defensive rebound
  174. Q2 7:15
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  175. Q2 7:34
    Jaden Ivey defensive rebound
  176. Q2 7:51
    Jarace Walker defensive rebound
  177. Q2 7:54
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  178. Q2 8:04
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  179. Q2 8:04
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  180. Q2 8:09
    Pacers turnover
  181. Q2 8:12
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  182. Q2 8:24
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    17-41
  183. Q2 8:28
    Pistons turnover
  184. Q2 8:49
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    15-41
  185. Q2 9:05
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    15-39
  186. Q2 9:10
    Pistons personal foul
  187. Q2 9:35
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  188. Q2 9:47
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  189. Q2 9:48
    Pistons misses three point jump shot
  190. Q2 10:02
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  191. Q2 10:14
    Pistons defensive rebound
  192. Q2 10:17
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  193. Q2 10:47
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    13-33
  194. Q2 10:55
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  195. Q2 11:07
    Pacers turnover
  196. Q2 11:26
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    11-33
  197. Q2 11:37
    Isaiah Stewart defensive rebound
  198. Q2 11:47
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  199. Q2 12:00
    Pistons lineup change (Isaiah Stewart, Cade Cunningham, Caris LeVert, Jaden Ivey, Javonte Green)
  200. Q2 12:00
    Isaiah Stewart technical foul
  201. Q1 00:01
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    11-31
  202. Q1 00:11
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  203. Q1 00:11
    Pacers lineup change (Jarace Walker, Kam Jones, Tony Bradley, Micah Potter, Ethan Thompson)
  204. Q1 00:31
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  205. Q1 00:51
    Ethan Thompson defensive rebound
  206. Q1 1:14
    Kam Jones offensive rebound
  207. Q1 1:23
    Micah Potter defensive rebound
  208. Q1 1:32
    Pacers turnover
  209. Q1 1:39
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  210. Q1 1:53
    Pacers turnover
  211. Q1 1:57
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  212. Q1 2:13
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  213. Q1 2:28
    Pacers defensive rebound
  214. Q1 2:43
    Pistons defensive rebound
  215. Q1 2:44
    Pistons personal foul
  216. Q1 2:44
    Pacers offensive rebound
  217. Q1 3:05
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  218. Q1 3:06
    Pistons defensive rebound
  219. Q1 3:19
    +3
    Pistons makes three point jump shot
    9-29
  220. Q1 3:31
    Pistons personal foul
  221. Q1 3:31
    Pacers lineup change (Johnny Furphy, Kam Jones, Tony Bradley, Micah Potter, Ethan Thompson)
  222. Q1 3:31
    +1
    Micah Potter makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    9-26
  223. Q1 3:55
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    7-24
  224. Q1 4:01
    Ethan Thompson defensive rebound
  225. Q1 4:26
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    5-24
  226. Q1 4:56
    Pistons personal foul
  227. Q1 4:56
    Pacers offensive rebound
  228. Q1 4:56
    Pistons lineup change (Isaiah Stewart, Ronald Holland II, Jalen Duren, Caris LeVert, Jaden Ivey)
  229. Q1 5:07
    Pistons offensive rebound
  230. Q1 5:07
    Pacers lineup change (Johnny Furphy, Kam Jones, Micah Potter, Ethan Thompson, Isaiah Jackson)
  231. Q1 5:07
    +1
    Jalen Duren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    2-24
  232. Q1 5:38
    Ronald Holland II offensive rebound
  233. Q1 5:46
    Jalen Duren offensive rebound
  234. Q1 6:01
    Tobias Harris defensive rebound
  235. Q1 6:05
    Pistons personal foul
  236. Q1 6:05
    Jarace Walker misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  237. Q1 6:05
    Jarace Walker misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  238. Q1 6:20
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  239. Q1 6:20
    Pistons 60 second timeout
  240. Q1 6:22
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  241. Q1 6:27
    Cade Cunningham defensive rebound
  242. Q1 6:36
    Micah Potter defensive rebound
  243. Q1 6:44
    Ausar Thompson defensive rebound
  244. Q1 6:48
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  245. Q1 7:02
    Pacers personal foul
  246. Q1 7:02
    +1
    Ausar Thompson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    2-21
  247. Q1 7:02
    Pacers lineup change (Jarace Walker, Kam Jones, Micah Potter, Ethan Thompson, Isaiah Jackson)
  248. Q1 7:02
    Ausar Thompson misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  249. Q1 7:31
    Ausar Thompson defensive rebound
  250. Q1 7:44
    Pistons personal foul
  251. Q1 7:54
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    2-17
  252. Q1 8:05
    Tobias Harris defensive rebound
  253. Q1 8:24
    Jalen Duren turnover
  254. Q1 8:32
    Pacers turnover
  255. Q1 8:39
    Stoppage (Court cleanup)
  256. Q1 8:40
    Pacers personal foul
  257. Q1 8:40
    Pistons offensive rebound
  258. Q1 8:40
    Pacers lineup change (Jarace Walker, Johnny Furphy, Kam Jones, Quenton Jackson, Isaiah Jackson)
  259. Q1 8:44
    Cade Cunningham defensive rebound
  260. Q1 9:03
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    2-13
  261. Q1 9:03
    Pacers 60 second timeout
  262. Q1 9:03
    +1
    Cade Cunningham makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    2-14
  263. Q1 9:21
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  264. Q1 9:48
    Pacers personal foul
  265. Q1 10:06
    Pistons personal foul
  266. Q1 10:06
    +1
    Cade Cunningham makes technical free throw 1 of 1
    0-9
  267. Q1 10:08
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    0-7
  268. Q1 10:08
    +1
    Jalen Duren makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    0-8
  269. Q1 10:21
    Jay Huff defensive rebound
  270. Q1 10:41
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  271. Q1 10:41
    Pistons defensive rebound
  272. Q1 10:44
    Jarace Walker defensive rebound
  273. Q1 11:01
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  274. Q1 11:05
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  275. Q1 11:23
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    0-5
  276. Q1 11:31
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  277. Q1 11:47
    Jalen Duren defensive rebound
  278. Q1 11:52
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  279. Q1 12:00
    Pistons lineup change (Jalen Duren, Cade Cunningham, Ausar Thompson, Tobias Harris, Duncan Robinson)
  280. Q1 12:00
    (Quenton Jackson gains possession)
Box Score
Pacers
PosPlayerPts
Pistons
PosPlayerPts

Pacers vs. Pistons: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Pacers vs. Pistons
  • Date: Saturday, January 17, 2026
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Little Caesars Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Pistons favored at -15.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 225.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Pacers +700, Pistons -900

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Pacers: 12%
  • Pistons: 88%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Pacers 105-118 Pistons.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Pacers a win probability of 12%, while the Pistons have a win probability of 88%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Pistons are more likely to beat the Pacers in the NBA game at Little Caesars Arena on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Pacers vs. Pistons predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.