Jazz vs. Mavericks Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Jazz vs. Mavericks NBA game on January 17, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NBA sport icon
NBA
Jazz
116
132
American Airlines Center
Mavericks
American Airlines Center
TEAM1234T
Jazz
29 30 35 22 116
Mavericks
42 29 35 26 132
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Jazz
    <1%
  • Mavericks
    >99%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Jazz
29 30 35 22 116
Mavericks
42 29 35 26 132
Q4 1:04 Jazz misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:50 Jazz makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:51 Keyonte George misses two point stepback jump shot
Q4 3:30 Jazz makes two point jump shot
Q4 4:02 Cody Williams makes three point jump shot (Kyle Filipowski assists)
Q4 4:09 Cody Williams misses two point driving layup
Q4 4:23 Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Q4 5:14 Jaden Hardy misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
Q4 5:29 Jazz makes two point jump shot
Q4 5:56 Brice Sensabaugh misses two point cutting layup
Play by Play
  1. Q4 00:00
    End of 4th Quarter.
  2. Q4 00:38
    Moussa Cisse defensive rebound
  3. Q4 1:01
    Miles Kelly defensive rebound
  4. Q4 1:04
    Jazz misses three point jump shot
  5. Q4 1:23
    Jaden Hardy misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  6. Q4 1:23
    Jaden Hardy misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  7. Q4 1:23
    Mavericks offensive rebound
  8. Q4 1:27
    Moussa Cisse defensive rebound
  9. Q4 1:39
    Mavericks turnover
  10. Q4 1:50
    +2
    Jazz makes two point jump shot
    120-133
  11. Q4 2:07
    Moussa Cisse offensive rebound
  12. Q4 2:07
    Jazz personal foul
  13. Q4 2:07
    Moussa Cisse misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  14. Q4 2:07
    +1
    Moussa Cisse makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    118-133
  15. Q4 2:22
    Jazz 60 second timeout
  16. Q4 2:22
    +1
    Keyonte George makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    118-132
  17. Q4 2:23
    Kyle Filipowski defensive rebound
  18. Q4 2:38
    Miles Kelly offensive rebound
  19. Q4 2:42
    Miles Kelly offensive rebound
  20. Q4 2:47
    Jeremiah Robinson-Earl defensive rebound
  21. Q4 2:51
    Jazz personal foul
  22. Q4 2:51
    Keyonte George misses two point stepback jump shot
  23. Q4 3:09
    Mavericks offensive rebound
  24. Q4 3:09
    Moussa Cisse misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  25. Q4 3:09
    Moussa Cisse misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  26. Q4 3:30
    +2
    Jazz makes two point jump shot
    116-132
  27. Q4 4:02
    +3
    Cody Williams makes three point jump shot (Kyle Filipowski assists)
    114-129
  28. Q4 4:09
    Cody Williams misses two point driving layup
  29. Q4 4:23
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  30. Q4 4:43
    Mavericks turnover
  31. Q4 5:03
    +1
    Keyonte George makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    111-129
  32. Q4 5:03
    Jazz lineup change (Ace Bailey, Kyle Filipowski, Cody Williams, Keyonte George, Walter Clayton Jr.)
  33. Q4 5:03
    Jaden Hardy shooting foul (Keyonte George draws the foul)
  34. Q4 5:10
    Brice Sensabaugh defensive rebound
  35. Q4 5:14
    Jaden Hardy misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
  36. Q4 5:29
    +2
    Jazz makes two point jump shot
    110-129
  37. Q4 5:34
    Jaden Hardy offensive rebound
  38. Q4 5:54
    Mavericks defensive rebound
  39. Q4 5:54
    Mavericks 60 second timeout
  40. Q4 5:54
    Mavericks lineup change (Moussa Cisse, Jeremiah Robinson-Earl, Jaden Hardy, Miles Kelly, Ryan Nembhard)
  41. Q4 5:56
    Kyle Anderson offensive rebound
  42. Q4 5:56
    Brice Sensabaugh misses two point cutting layup
  43. Q4 6:00
    Brice Sensabaugh misses three point jump shot
  44. Q4 6:13
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    108-129
  45. Q4 6:45
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    106-127
  46. Q4 7:03
    Jazz personal foul
  47. Q4 7:03
    +1
    Dwight Powell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    106-125
  48. Q4 7:28
    +2
    Jaden Hardy makes two point driving floating bank jump shot (Brandon Williams assists)
    106-123
  49. Q4 7:42
    +2
    Ace Bailey makes two point alley-oop dunk (Keyonte George assists)
    106-121
  50. Q4 7:50
    Caleb Martin misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  51. Q4 7:50
    Jazz lineup change (Ace Bailey, Brice Sensabaugh, Kyle Anderson, Cody Williams, Keyonte George)
  52. Q4 7:51
    +1
    Caleb Martin makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    104-121
  53. Q4 7:51
    Mavericks lineup change (Caleb Martin, Dwight Powell, Jeremiah Robinson-Earl, Jaden Hardy, Brandon Williams)
  54. Q4 7:59
    +2
    Brice Sensabaugh makes two point pullup jump shot
    104-120
  55. Q4 8:10
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    102-120
  56. Q4 8:22
    Isaiah Collier offensive foul (Off the ball) (Caleb Martin draws the foul)
  57. Q4 8:42
    Isaiah Collier personal foul (Brandon Williams draws the foul)
  58. Q4 8:42
    +1
    Brandon Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    102-117
  59. Q4 8:42
    +1
    Brandon Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    102-118
  60. Q4 8:53
    +2
    Kyle Anderson makes two point driving layup (Isaiah Collier assists)
    102-116
  61. Q4 9:06
    Taylor Hendricks shooting foul (Brandon Williams draws the foul)
  62. Q4 9:06
    +1
    Brandon Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    100-116
  63. Q4 9:11
    Jazz turnover
  64. Q4 9:17
    Taylor Hendricks defensive rebound
  65. Q4 9:21
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  66. Q4 9:26
    Max Christie defensive rebound
  67. Q4 9:29
    Jazz misses three point jump shot
  68. Q4 9:39
    +1
    Max Christie makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    100-112
  69. Q4 9:39
    +2
    Max Christie makes two point running layup
    100-113
  70. Q4 9:39
    Kyle Anderson shooting foul (Max Christie draws the foul)
  71. Q4 9:44
    Naji Marshall defensive rebound
  72. Q4 9:46
    Brice Sensabaugh misses two point driving floating jump shot
  73. Q4 9:55
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    100-111
  74. Q4 10:11
    +2
    Ace Bailey makes two point putback layup
    100-109
  75. Q4 10:15
    Brice Sensabaugh misses two point fadeaway jump shot
  76. Q4 10:27
    Taylor Hendricks defensive rebound
  77. Q4 10:29
    Kyle Anderson shooting foul (Naji Marshall draws the foul)
  78. Q4 10:29
    Naji Marshall misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  79. Q4 10:34
    Caleb Martin defensive rebound
  80. Q4 10:36
    Jazz misses two point jump shot
  81. Q4 10:39
    Ace Bailey offensive rebound
  82. Q4 10:39
    Dwight Powell personal foul (Ace Bailey draws the foul)
  83. Q4 10:42
    Kyle Anderson misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
  84. Q4 10:59
    Mavericks turnover
  85. Q4 11:03
    Taylor Hendricks offensive rebound
  86. Q4 11:07
    Ace Bailey misses two point driving reverse layup
  87. Q4 11:21
    Walter Clayton Jr. shooting foul (Max Christie draws the foul)
  88. Q4 11:21
    +1
    Max Christie makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    96-108
  89. Q4 11:33
    +2
    Walter Clayton Jr. makes two point running layup (Ace Bailey assists)
    96-106
  90. Q4 11:37
    Ace Bailey defensive rebound
  91. Q4 11:41
    Max Christie misses two point fadeaway jump shot
  92. Q3 00:00
    Jazz offensive rebound
  93. Q4 12:00
    Mavericks lineup change (Caleb Martin, Dwight Powell, Max Christie, Naji Marshall, Brandon Williams)
  94. Q3 00:00
    End of 3rd Quarter.
  95. Q3 00:01
    Walter Clayton Jr. defensive rebound
  96. Q3 00:01
    Jazz misses heave shot
  97. Q3 00:04
    Jeremiah Robinson-Earl misses three point jump shot
  98. Q3 00:24
    +1
    Keyonte George makes regular free throw 1 of 3
    92-106
  99. Q3 00:24
    +1
    Keyonte George makes regular free throw 3 of 3
    94-106
  100. Q3 00:24
    Ryan Nembhard shooting foul (Keyonte George draws the foul)
  101. Q3 00:34
    Ryan Nembhard misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  102. Q3 00:34
    +1
    Ryan Nembhard makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    91-106
  103. Q3 00:34
    Walter Clayton Jr. personal foul (Ryan Nembhard draws the foul)
  104. Q3 00:42
    Jeremiah Robinson-Earl defensive rebound
  105. Q3 00:44
    Brice Sensabaugh misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  106. Q3 00:44
    +1
    Brice Sensabaugh makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    91-105
  107. Q3 00:46
    Kyle Anderson defensive rebound
  108. Q3 00:50
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  109. Q3 1:06
    Taylor Hendricks defensive rebound
  110. Q3 1:10
    Jaden Hardy misses three point jump shot
  111. Q3 1:20
    +2
    Jazz makes two point jump shot
    85-107
  112. Q3 1:20
    +1
    Keyonte George makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    86-107
  113. Q3 1:20
    Klay Thompson shooting foul (Keyonte George draws the foul)
  114. Q3 1:43
    +2
    Jaden Hardy makes two point driving layup (Ryan Nembhard assists)
    84-105
  115. Q3 1:47
    +2
    Jazz makes two point jump shot
    83-105
  116. Q3 2:10
    +3
    Mavericks makes three point jump shot
    81-105
  117. Q3 2:20
    +2
    Brice Sensabaugh makes two point running layup (Walter Clayton Jr. assists)
    82-100
  118. Q3 2:22
    Brice Sensabaugh defensive rebound
  119. Q3 2:36
    +2
    Jazz makes two point jump shot
    79-102
  120. Q3 2:44
    Brice Sensabaugh offensive rebound
  121. Q3 2:44
    Klay Thompson personal foul (Brice Sensabaugh draws the foul)
  122. Q3 2:52
    Jazz misses two point jump shot
  123. Q3 2:52
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  124. Q3 2:58
    +2
    Moussa Cisse makes two point putback layup
    78-100
  125. Q3 2:59
    Moussa Cisse offensive rebound
  126. Q3 3:12
    +2
    Jazz makes two point jump shot
    77-100
  127. Q3 3:30
    Jeremiah Robinson-Earl offensive rebound
  128. Q3 3:30
    +2
    Jeremiah Robinson-Earl makes two point putback layup
    76-98
  129. Q3 3:36
    Moussa Cisse offensive rebound
  130. Q3 3:40
    Klay Thompson misses three point jump shot
  131. Q3 3:54
    +1
    Walter Clayton Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    75-98
  132. Q3 3:54
    Moussa Cisse shooting foul (Walter Clayton Jr. draws the foul)
  133. Q3 4:02
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    73-98
  134. Q3 4:02
    Instant replay
  135. Q3 4:02
    Mavericks lineup change (Moussa Cisse, Jeremiah Robinson-Earl, Jaden Hardy, Klay Thompson, Ryan Nembhard)
  136. Q3 4:02
    Walter Clayton Jr. misses flagrant free throw 1 of 2
  137. Q3 4:02
    +1
    Walter Clayton Jr. makes flagrant free throw 2 of 2
    90-107
  138. Q3 4:02
    Mavericks lineup change (Moussa Cisse, Jeremiah Robinson-Earl, Jaden Hardy, Klay Thompson, Ryan Nembhard)
  139. Q3 4:02
    Jazz offensive rebound
  140. Q3 4:02
    Jazz 60 second timeout
  141. Q3 4:06
    Naji Marshall defensive rebound
  142. Q3 4:11
    Brice Sensabaugh misses three point jump shot
  143. Q3 4:29
    Jazz lineup change (Brice Sensabaugh, Kyle Anderson, Keyonte George, Taylor Hendricks, Walter Clayton Jr.)
  144. Q3 4:43
    +2
    Max Christie makes two point fadeaway bank jump shot
    73-96
  145. Q3 4:51
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  146. Q3 5:09
    Dwight Powell defensive rebound
  147. Q3 5:13
    Ace Bailey misses three point jump shot
  148. Q3 5:42
    +2
    Jazz makes two point jump shot
    73-92
  149. Q3 6:09
    +3
    Naji Marshall makes three point jump shot (Klay Thompson assists)
    71-92
  150. Q3 6:21
    Dwight Powell misses flagrant free throw 1 of 2
  151. Q3 6:21
    Jazz lineup change (Ace Bailey, Kyle Filipowski, Kyle Anderson, Keyonte George, Walter Clayton Jr.)
  152. Q3 6:21
    +1
    Dwight Powell makes flagrant free throw 2 of 2
    71-89
  153. Q3 6:21
    Mavericks lineup change (Dwight Powell, Max Christie, Naji Marshall, Klay Thompson, Brandon Williams)
  154. Q3 6:21
    Mavericks 60 second timeout
  155. Q3 6:21
    Instant replay (Request: Ruling Overturned)
  156. Q3 6:21
    Mavericks offensive rebound
  157. Q3 6:21
    Jazz lineup change (Ace Bailey, Kyle Filipowski, Brice Sensabaugh, Keyonte George, Walter Clayton Jr.)
  158. Q3 6:21
    Keyonte George flagrant 1 (Dwight Powell draws the foul)
  159. Q3 6:35
    +3
    Jazz makes three point jump shot
    69-83
  160. Q3 6:49
    +3
    Brandon Williams makes three point jump shot
    66-83
  161. Q3 6:54
    Cody Williams turnover (lost ball) (Naji Marshall steals)
  162. Q3 7:12
    +2
    Naji Marshall makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Max Christie assists)
    68-85
  163. Q3 7:34
    +3
    Mavericks makes three point jump shot
    63-78
  164. Q3 7:43
    Mavericks offensive rebound
  165. Q3 7:43
    Kyle Filipowski blocks Brandon Williams's two point driving layup
  166. Q3 7:57
    +2
    Jazz makes two point jump shot
    63-75
  167. Q3 8:14
    Ace Bailey defensive rebound
  168. Q3 8:17
    Dwight Powell misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  169. Q3 8:17
    Dwight Powell misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  170. Q3 8:17
    Mavericks offensive rebound
  171. Q3 8:24
    +2
    Keyonte George makes two point driving floating jump shot
    63-80
  172. Q3 8:42
    Kyle Filipowski shooting foul (Naji Marshall draws the foul)
  173. Q3 8:42
    Jazz lineup change (Ace Bailey, Kyle Filipowski, Cody Williams, Keyonte George, Walter Clayton Jr.)
  174. Q3 8:42
    Naji Marshall misses regular free throw 1 of 1
  175. Q3 8:44
    Caleb Martin defensive rebound
  176. Q3 8:48
    Isaiah Collier misses three point jump shot
  177. Q3 8:52
    Kyle Filipowski defensive rebound
  178. Q3 9:05
    Isaiah Collier misses three point jump shot
  179. Q3 9:26
    +2
    Dwight Powell makes two point cutting layup (Max Christie assists)
    61-78
  180. Q3 9:38
    Brandon Williams defensive rebound
  181. Q3 9:48
    Cody Williams offensive rebound
  182. Q3 9:52
    Keyonte George misses two point stepback jump shot
  183. Q3 10:05
    Naji Marshall misses two point driving floating jump shot
  184. Q3 10:34
    +2
    Ace Bailey makes two point pullup jump shot
    61-74
  185. Q3 10:51
    Brandon Williams turnover (bad pass)
  186. Q3 10:51
    Brandon Williams turnover (bad pass)
  187. Q3 10:53
    Brandon Williams misses two point driving floating jump shot
  188. Q3 11:03
    Isaiah Collier personal foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)
  189. Q3 11:06
    Ace Bailey personal foul
  190. Q3 11:16
    Kyle Filipowski offensive foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)
  191. Q3 11:34
    +3
    Max Christie makes three point jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)
    59-74
  192. Q2 00:00
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  193. Q2 00:00
    End of 1st Half.
  194. Q3 12:00
    Mavericks lineup change (Caleb Martin, Dwight Powell, Max Christie, Naji Marshall, Brandon Williams)
  195. Q3 12:00
    Start of 3rd Quarter
  196. Q2 00:01
    Kyle Filipowski offensive rebound
  197. Q2 00:20
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  198. Q2 00:22
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  199. Q2 00:50
    +3
    Mavericks makes three point jump shot
    55-71
  200. Q2 1:14
    +3
    Mavericks makes three point jump shot
    53-68
  201. Q2 1:21
    Jazz misses two point jump shot
  202. Q2 1:41
    Jazz personal foul
  203. Q2 1:41
    +1
    Klay Thompson makes regular free throw 2 of 3
    53-64
  204. Q2 2:11
    +3
    Mavericks makes three point jump shot
    50-62
  205. Q2 2:38
    Kyle Filipowski offensive rebound
  206. Q2 2:45
    Mavericks turnover
  207. Q2 2:56
    Moussa Cisse defensive rebound
  208. Q2 2:56
    Jazz lineup change (Ace Bailey, Isaiah Collier, Kyle Filipowski, Cody Williams, Keyonte George)
  209. Q2 3:13
    Keyonte George defensive rebound
  210. Q2 3:28
    +2
    Jazz makes two point jump shot
    48-59
  211. Q2 3:35
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  212. Q2 3:46
    Jazz misses three point jump shot
  213. Q2 4:24
    +2
    Jazz makes two point jump shot
    46-57
  214. Q2 4:34
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  215. Q2 4:43
    Jazz misses three point jump shot
  216. Q2 5:05
    Jazz turnover
  217. Q2 5:31
    +2
    Jazz makes two point jump shot
    44-52
  218. Q2 5:47
    Jazz personal foul
  219. Q2 5:47
    Max Christie misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  220. Q2 6:03
    Mavericks defensive rebound
  221. Q2 6:22
    Jazz personal foul
  222. Q2 6:22
    Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Moussa Cisse, Naji Marshall, Klay Thompson, Ryan Nembhard)
  223. Q2 6:23
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  224. Q2 6:44
    Cody Williams defensive rebound
  225. Q2 6:59
    Mavericks 60 second timeout
  226. Q2 7:02
    Ryan Nembhard defensive rebound
  227. Q2 7:06
    +1
    Brice Sensabaugh makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    40-51
  228. Q2 7:06
    Jazz lineup change (Isaiah Collier, Kyle Filipowski, Brice Sensabaugh, Cody Williams, Keyonte George)
  229. Q2 7:11
    Kyle Filipowski defensive rebound
  230. Q2 7:35
    Ace Bailey turnover (offensive foul)
  231. Q2 7:39
    Ace Bailey defensive rebound
  232. Q2 8:00
    +3
    Jazz makes three point jump shot
    39-51
  233. Q2 8:04
    Mavericks lineup change (Caleb Martin, Moussa Cisse, Naji Marshall, Miles Kelly, Brandon Williams)
  234. Q2 8:23
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    36-51
  235. Q2 8:30
    Brice Sensabaugh defensive rebound
  236. Q2 8:46
    Mavericks personal foul
  237. Q2 8:46
    +1
    Brice Sensabaugh makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    35-49
  238. Q2 8:46
    Mavericks lineup change (Caleb Martin, Moussa Cisse, Jeremiah Robinson-Earl, Naji Marshall, Brandon Williams)
  239. Q2 8:58
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  240. Q2 8:58
    Mavericks lineup change (Caleb Martin, Moussa Cisse, Jeremiah Robinson-Earl, Miles Kelly, Brandon Williams)
  241. Q2 8:59
    Jazz misses two point jump shot
  242. Q2 9:16
    Brandon Williams offensive rebound
  243. Q2 9:31
    Brandon Williams offensive rebound
  244. Q2 9:48
    +3
    Jazz makes three point jump shot
    34-47
  245. Q2 9:55
    Jazz misses three point jump shot
  246. Q2 10:11
    +1
    Jeremiah Robinson-Earl makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    31-46
  247. Q2 10:15
    Jazz turnover
  248. Q2 10:23
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  249. Q2 10:32
    Jazz misses three point jump shot
  250. Q2 11:08
    +2
    Jazz makes two point jump shot
    31-43
  251. Q2 11:27
    Jazz personal foul
  252. Q2 11:27
    Mavericks offensive rebound
  253. Q2 11:34
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  254. Q2 11:48
    Jazz misses three point jump shot
  255. Q1 00:00
    Mavericks offensive rebound
  256. Q2 12:00
    Mavericks lineup change (Caleb Martin, Dwight Powell, Jeremiah Robinson-Earl, Miles Kelly, Brandon Williams)
  257. Q1 00:16
    +2
    Jazz makes two point jump shot
    29-42
  258. Q1 00:37
    +2
    Jazz makes two point jump shot
    27-39
  259. Q1 00:53
    +2
    Jazz makes two point jump shot
    25-36
  260. Q1 1:27
    +2
    Jazz makes two point jump shot
    23-33
  261. Q1 1:49
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    21-33
  262. Q1 2:05
    Mavericks personal foul
  263. Q1 2:05
    Kyle Anderson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  264. Q1 2:05
    Kyle Anderson misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  265. Q1 2:20
    Mavericks turnover
  266. Q1 2:42
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    19-31
  267. Q1 3:28
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  268. Q1 3:46
    Jazz personal foul
  269. Q1 3:46
    Kyle Anderson turnover (offensive foul)
  270. Q1 3:46
    Jazz lineup change (Ace Bailey, Brice Sensabaugh, Kyle Anderson, Keyonte George, Walter Clayton Jr.)
  271. Q1 3:52
    Mavericks personal foul
  272. Q1 3:59
    Jazz misses three point jump shot
  273. Q1 4:05
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  274. Q1 4:31
    +3
    Mavericks makes three point jump shot
    15-29
  275. Q1 4:56
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    12-26
  276. Q1 5:00
    Jazz personal foul
  277. Q1 5:00
    Jazz lineup change (Ace Bailey, Isaiah Collier, Brice Sensabaugh, Kyle Anderson, Walter Clayton Jr.)
  278. Q1 5:20
    Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Moussa Cisse, Naji Marshall, Klay Thompson, Ryan Nembhard)
  279. Q1 5:29
    +3
    Mavericks makes three point jump shot
    12-24
  280. Q1 5:55
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    10-20
  281. Q1 5:55
    +1
    Max Christie makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    10-21
  282. Q1 6:00
    Jazz misses two point jump shot
  283. Q1 6:37
    +3
    Jazz makes three point jump shot
    10-15
  284. Q1 6:42
    Jazz misses three point jump shot
  285. Q1 7:15
    +3
    Jazz makes three point jump shot
    7-13
  286. Q1 7:22
    Jazz lineup change (Isaiah Collier, Kyle Filipowski, Brice Sensabaugh, Cody Williams, Walter Clayton Jr.)
  287. Q1 7:23
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    4-13
  288. Q1 7:31
    Jazz misses two point jump shot
  289. Q1 7:54
    Dwight Powell defensive rebound
  290. Q1 8:00
    Cody Williams defensive rebound
  291. Q1 8:18
    +2
    Jazz makes two point jump shot
    4-8
  292. Q1 8:30
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  293. Q1 8:54
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot (Brandon Williams assists)
    2-8
  294. Q1 9:04
    Jazz misses three point jump shot
  295. Q1 9:28
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  296. Q1 9:56
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    0-6
  297. Q1 10:02
    Jazz misses three point jump shot
  298. Q1 10:11
    Mavericks personal foul
  299. Q1 10:49
    Naji Marshall defensive rebound
  300. Q1 11:07
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    0-2
  301. Q1 11:17
    Jazz misses three point jump shot
  302. Q1 11:27
    Mavericks turnover
  303. Q1 11:40
    Ace Bailey defensive rebound
  304. Q1 12:00
    Jazz lineup change (Ace Bailey, Isaiah Collier, Kyle Filipowski, Cody Williams, Keyonte George)
  305. Q1 12:00
    Mavericks lineup change (Caleb Martin, Dwight Powell, Max Christie, Naji Marshall, Brandon Williams)
Box Score
Jazz
PosPlayerPts
Mavericks
PosPlayerPts

Jazz vs. Mavericks: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Jazz vs. Mavericks
  • Date: Saturday, January 17, 2026
  • Time: 5:00 PM ET
  • Venue: American Airlines Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Mavericks favored at -3.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 241
  • Moneyline Odds: Jazz +140, Mavericks -152

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Jazz: 35%
  • Mavericks: 65%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Jazz 117-121 Mavericks.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Jazz a win probability of 35%, while the Mavericks have a win probability of 65%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Mavericks are more likely to beat the Jazz in the NBA game at American Airlines Center on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Jazz vs. Mavericks predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.